Monday Monday……….

A new day, a new week, hopefully plenty more winners!

Good day at Cheltenham yesterday that was almost very good. Close House ran well and looks better than 133 but he just bumped into one on the day.  Coneygree won really nicely and looks a horse with considerable potential. Really pleased for Matt, he deserves another good un.

A lovely winning treble on the NFL last night too as the Redksins, Packers and the Broncos all did the business. The Patriots and the Colts did indeed turn into a scoring fest so hope you did the overs. The bad news coming out of that game is that Rob Gronkowski is having surgery today and will be out for a month. That whatever way you look at it is a massive loss.

It’s the usual Monday fare on the racing front today. I thought the only interesting horse at Leicester was Ciceron in the 2.10 but you can’t back him with any confidence as his seem to leave with Santa last year….. he would beat these comfortably on his hurdles form and with the yard going so well he could be of interest. He will need to bounce back though. I thought Lord Singer (2.20) was mildly interesting at Plumpton. He might be overpriced but I haven’t convinced myself to back him.

My bet of the day by some way though comes over at Wolverhampton in the form of JUNGLE BAY (4.00). Jane Chapple-Hyam’s gelding has been running with real credit of late in some tough races. Today he gets a drop in class, gets in off bottom weight and is actually on a really nice mark. Ian Burns is going to take off a very handy 7lbs and the draw is spot on. He has had one run at Wolverhampton over this course and distance which resulted in a win. Everything is pointing towards a big run and he is massively overpriced at 10/1 this morning and I have arranged for the turkey, stuffing and mince-pie money to be collected each way.

I can’t really leave today without a little mention for everyone bawling on about the X-Factor. The whole thing is a tv farce. Saturday Tullisa was getting on her high horse about how much of a joke it was etc. I should remind her that two Saturdays ago she had the opportunity to send Rylan home and she kept him in. You play the game it bites your arse. I really wish they would stop referring to it as “a singing competition”. It is no such thing, otherwise half the final 12 wouldn’t even make it to live shows. It is a popularity contest. The majority demographic of people actually voting are probably 85% female and 85% 12-18 year olds. Hence why the young shit males acts always do well. Look at the illustrious list of names that have finished in the top 2 that are now world-wide chart toppers……

Ray Quinn…….Leon Jackson………Joe McElderry……..Matt Cardle……..Marcus Collins….

Yes thats right, it’s a popularity contest. James Arthur is by far the most talented person by a country mile yet he was in the bottom two. Speechless. His saving performance of Falling was incredible so at least one good thing has come out of the show. I actually hope Rylan now goes on to win it so the whole thing becomes a complete farce and ITV give up. The whole judging panel needs changing. Just watch one episode of the USA version and you will see the gulf in difference. Mr Cowell knows it is a dying flower this side of the pond and has quite rightly jumped ship. At least Derm still gives it a little credibility.

I would like to finish todays note by saying….”Come on you irons”!! 3 pts tonight against Stoke will push us up to 5th in the table……….there are no sign of any bubbles bursting here!!!!

Be lucky

MG

 

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Sunday Blues – NFL Time!

Yesterday was as tough as we all thought it would be. I feel Countrywide Flame would have won with a better ride. Jimmy was switching in and out for a good half a mile looking for a run, he should have gone on earlier. Brae Hill went about half a furlong then seemed to go wrong. I have no idea what happened to Baltic Prince. Looked the winner three out and stopped to a walk, I think it is fair to say it has been one of those weeks.

Sat and watched the X-Factor for my sins last night. What a load of shite. It is not a singing competition, it’s a popularity contest. The groups are all average and the overs are karaoke singers! I know a lot of it is just done for TV with the judges arguing like little kids but some of it is terrible to watch. Rylan Clark is the joke of the series. Still don’t understand why when what is still ultimately a singing competition, they feel the need to add the novelty act every year that can’t sing. The highlight of the night was Gary Barlow’s comeback on the taxi comment, genius. Ella Henderson however is extremely talented and they have found a star there.

Difficult day on the racing front today. Tough card at Goodwood with plenty of runners. I think that Presto Volante will complete the hat-trick in the first but the price is just a little skinny for a bet. If he touches 3/1 I will probably get involved. He looked better the further he went at Salisbury and I think he is still ahead of the handicapper over staying trips and the extra two furlongs may bring about even more.

DETROIT LIONS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

The tale of two underachievers at the Linc gets the Sky coverage underway tonight. Michael Vick and the Eagles have real ball security issues. More turnovers than a dj with Insomnia. Whilst the Lions have been struggling on Defence and with their terrible special teams. There is always the danger that the Eagles will click into gear at some point and if that happens, someone is going to get a real hiding. I don’t really see that happening tonight but I do see a lot of offense. If this is the case, the Lions tend to desert the run pretty quickly and start slinging it to Megatron (Calvin Johnson). I think Stafford’s passing yards is a value play.

MATT STAFFORD OVER 275.5 YARDS @ 5/6 WITH PADDY POWER

NEW YORK GIANTS @ SAN FRANSISCO 49ERS

This is the big re-match of the NFC Championship game from last year and I feel there is a bit of an over reaction to how well the 49ers are doing. Yes granted, their run D is amazing and it is almost impossible to run on them. Will this bother the Giants? No. Manning loves a good 500 yard passing game and also loves the odd shootout. On the flip side I still really don’t rate Alex Smith under centre for the 49ers. He has a good unit around him, but if they had an elite quarterback they would be different gravy. This is a game the Giants will be so pumped up for so watch out for a few special team plays that could swing it. the giants getting 6.5 here is too big in my opinion. They are always in the game with manning.

NEW YORK GIANTS +6.5 pts @ 10/11 generally.

Early start tomorrow so I’m going to have to record the late game. The Texans are amazing at home and should win comfortably.

Be lucky

MG.