Sunday 20th October!

Proform

Afternoon campers. I hope you all enjoyed a great days sport yesterday. Champions day went pretty well with a stunning victory for Farhh in the feature. Lots of credit has to go to the team for having him fit and ready off such a long lay off. He will now head straight for stud duties…. lucky sod. Jack Dexter ran an absolute blinder in the sprint but just failed to get to Slade Power. When previewing the race in the morning with Dicko on Coral TV he was worried about the lack of an out and out front runner and he said SP was a solid bet. A really great shout (again). Very pleased with Dark Lover winning at Cheltenham, although a little lucky as Balder Success looked in control when falling two out. Delighted to see Balthazar King lead at a good pace, jump like a stag and win. I know a lot of people fancied him yesterday.

At Wolverhampton things didn’t pan out. Ajeeb ran a stinker and is probably gone at the game. I won’t touch him again unless I see strong early money. He could do with a change of yard. Available ran well to be 3rd but for one who likes to be on the pace he had to go via Milton Keynes to get near the lead after traveling well into the race. Hannah’s Turn was much to keen and didn’t really do herself justice. I cannot wait to see her back on fibresand where she will win!

Nothing from the http://www.proformracing.com horse watcher today. I do think that Fitzwilly (2.30 Bath) is interesting if getting a soft lead. Maybe a play in running!

NFL SUNDAY

Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions

Two improved teams on what we saw last year and I think we are in for a tight one in the early game on Skysports this evening. Both sides have weapons on each side of the ball and I have really enjoyed the progress of Giovani Bernard and Tyler Eifert for the Bengals. They are finally a franchise moving in the right direction. Andy Dalton is not the greatest QB in the game but he is a very good game manager and I expect them to push the Lions all the way. Turnovers could end up being the difference between these two teams today so defense is going to play a huge part. I think the handicap line is so tight here it doesn’t justify a play. I think the under 47 total points is the best play in the game market with the NAP coming on GB to score anytime.

UNDER 47 pts @ 10/11 with William Hill

GIOVANI BERNARD anytime touchdown scorer with Paddy Power at 7/5 (NAP)

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs

The later game on sky is a tale of two franchises in opposite ends of the scale that we expected. Houston we have a problem has been used more times than ever in the last few weeks! QB problems a plenty they will be ripe for the picking at Arrowhead tonight. Kansas are 6-0 but they are not a genuine 6-0 team. They have had a soft schedule so far and we will see them in a much better light when they play Denver in two weeks. I think I’ve found a cracker in here though in the sacks market.

SkyBet are going 10/11 on over 5.5 sacks! Neither offensive line is particularly strong and you should get as much as SkyBet will allow on!

Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts

One simple and easy bet for you here. OVER 55 PTS. Maximum bet material.

New England Patriots at New York Jets

Once again last week Tom Brady showed why he is probably the best ever. The Pats 4th quarter winning drive was just a joy to behold and had his rookie receivers held on to the ball better in recent weeks they would still be unbeaten. I was very disappointed with the Jets last week and I had the Pats in as 7 pt favs here so the fact you can get -3 on the handicap across the board is a bonus.

NEW ENGLAND -3pts @ 10/11.

I may well stick Bernard (7/5), Pats -3 (10/11), over 55 pts (den v ind) in a sexy treble!

Enjoy the games!

MG

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Friday 23rd November!

Morning campers. Well what a fun day yesterday was! the turkey, spuds and gravy was flowing here as we were treated to a couple of NFL crackers for thanksgiving.

My day started with the treat of popping to my nearest Ladbrokes shop, the kind lady behind the counter kindly told me their shop price for the Redskins was 21/11 when I said “bugger, wish I had more cash on me” she looked a little startled.

The hardest game to watch without doubt was the first as Houston never really looked capable of stopping Detroit. For the neutral it was a superb start to the triple header, first the first leg of the treble it was painful to watch and we probably owe the officials a few quid in commission after some barmy penalty calls.

The Redskins game was just about dead and buried by half time. RG3 was imperious and you have to say with their schedule the Skins are still live runners for the NFC East title. My NFL punting guru (@bickers56) keeps telling me I am mad for thinking this, but the Redskins host the Giants next Sunday which all of a sudden is the classic 6 pointer. I would just like to raise a glass collectively to Skybet, Ladbrokes and the lemmings on Betfair that offered baffling prices. Do your research next time. 😉 Thanks for all your messages, it seems plenty of you followed me in on the Redskins and on the treble so we’ve picked up a nice few quid this morning.

My best bet of the day today comes in the form of THE TATTING (6.10 Wolverhampton) He is a progressive horse and looks to be well in under a penalty to me this evening. I expect him to win again. I will be having a saver on Aragorn Rouge as I’ve backed him the last twice and he probably should have won last week.

I really like the chance of KAYLEE (4.10 Wolverhampton) Gary Moore’s lightly raced three-year old has slowly got the hang of things and actually travelled really well last time before being hampered and being given no real chance of winning. This basement mark of 50 looks very nice indeed.She was only half a stride behind Venetia’s Dream that day yet she is priced up as 3/1 fav? Prices are wrong and Kaylee should run a big race and each way at 10/1 is a pretty solid bet for me!

I have also backed IDOL DEPUTY (7.10 Wolv). Looks progressive and a little over priced.

I should wish my sister a happy birthday! She’s currently sunning herself in Australia so at the time I’m writing this she is almost certainly pissed!

Be lucky today

MG

 

Monday Monday……….

A new day, a new week, hopefully plenty more winners!

Good day at Cheltenham yesterday that was almost very good. Close House ran well and looks better than 133 but he just bumped into one on the day.  Coneygree won really nicely and looks a horse with considerable potential. Really pleased for Matt, he deserves another good un.

A lovely winning treble on the NFL last night too as the Redksins, Packers and the Broncos all did the business. The Patriots and the Colts did indeed turn into a scoring fest so hope you did the overs. The bad news coming out of that game is that Rob Gronkowski is having surgery today and will be out for a month. That whatever way you look at it is a massive loss.

It’s the usual Monday fare on the racing front today. I thought the only interesting horse at Leicester was Ciceron in the 2.10 but you can’t back him with any confidence as his seem to leave with Santa last year….. he would beat these comfortably on his hurdles form and with the yard going so well he could be of interest. He will need to bounce back though. I thought Lord Singer (2.20) was mildly interesting at Plumpton. He might be overpriced but I haven’t convinced myself to back him.

My bet of the day by some way though comes over at Wolverhampton in the form of JUNGLE BAY (4.00). Jane Chapple-Hyam’s gelding has been running with real credit of late in some tough races. Today he gets a drop in class, gets in off bottom weight and is actually on a really nice mark. Ian Burns is going to take off a very handy 7lbs and the draw is spot on. He has had one run at Wolverhampton over this course and distance which resulted in a win. Everything is pointing towards a big run and he is massively overpriced at 10/1 this morning and I have arranged for the turkey, stuffing and mince-pie money to be collected each way.

I can’t really leave today without a little mention for everyone bawling on about the X-Factor. The whole thing is a tv farce. Saturday Tullisa was getting on her high horse about how much of a joke it was etc. I should remind her that two Saturdays ago she had the opportunity to send Rylan home and she kept him in. You play the game it bites your arse. I really wish they would stop referring to it as “a singing competition”. It is no such thing, otherwise half the final 12 wouldn’t even make it to live shows. It is a popularity contest. The majority demographic of people actually voting are probably 85% female and 85% 12-18 year olds. Hence why the young shit males acts always do well. Look at the illustrious list of names that have finished in the top 2 that are now world-wide chart toppers……

Ray Quinn…….Leon Jackson………Joe McElderry……..Matt Cardle……..Marcus Collins….

Yes thats right, it’s a popularity contest. James Arthur is by far the most talented person by a country mile yet he was in the bottom two. Speechless. His saving performance of Falling was incredible so at least one good thing has come out of the show. I actually hope Rylan now goes on to win it so the whole thing becomes a complete farce and ITV give up. The whole judging panel needs changing. Just watch one episode of the USA version and you will see the gulf in difference. Mr Cowell knows it is a dying flower this side of the pond and has quite rightly jumped ship. At least Derm still gives it a little credibility.

I would like to finish todays note by saying….”Come on you irons”!! 3 pts tonight against Stoke will push us up to 5th in the table……….there are no sign of any bubbles bursting here!!!!

Be lucky

MG

 

NFL Sunday!!!!

A Sunday off with quality racing and a full NFL program! Lovely jubbly! Shame the parents are away or else I could have slipped in a home cooked roast too!

A brief touch on yesterday. I happen to think that Far West’s performance was very impressive and that quotes of 12/1 for the festival are a bit big. I was absolutely delighted with Our Father! He has always been seen as a chaser and he jumped superbly and won incredibly impressively. I’ve had a bit on at 60’s for the RSA and was pleased to see that he is now 8/1 on the back of yesterdays performance. I was cross with myself for not backing Al Ferof…..even my dad took the time to text me from Australia just to let me know he was on the grey beast!

Wolverhampton was interesting. Backed Charming at massive prices on Betfair. Then watched in delight as his price went from 33/1 into 8/1 just before the off……then watched in horror as he ran a shocker. Gotta love the game.

Today is a not of an anti climax racing wise as we have lots the two main attractions in the form of Sprinter Sacre and Darlan due to the ground. I have backed CLOSE HOUSE (1.45 CHELT) his juvenile form is fairly solid as he finished last season with a solid 4th behind Simonsig at the festival. Plenty of much higher rated horses in behind that day suggest his opening mark of 133 might be lenient.

Also backed CONEYGREE (3.25 CHELT) each way. Looked a decent recruit at Uttoxeter and if he was from a more fashionable yard he would be even money for this. Mattie really likes him.

NFL SUNDAY

Three really interesting games in their own rights tonight on tv! We kick off with Green Bay at Detroit which is a game I am really looking forward too as I still feel that the packers are huge runners for the Superbowl (currently 9/1). They will be the first leg of my treble tonight as I think they will have too many guns for the Lions. Game two is Indy at New England as the proven class of Tom Brady comes up against the new kid on the block, Andrew Luck. Let’s not mess about, Brady is close to the best there has ever been, but Luck looks the real deal and with the Pat’s defence nowhere near the level of the offence I fancy this could be a high scoring game. The late game is also a belter as the Baltimore Ravens travel to Pittsburgh. This is a divisional rivalry and they absolutely hate each other. I have to say I was far from impressed with the Steelers last week and I think that the ravens will pound it towards the right side of the Steelers offensive line. Look for Ray Rice to have a massive game.

My treble this week is GREEN BAY, WASHINGTON AND DENVER.

Have a wicked day,

MG

Friday 26th October – Tom Brady and the Patriots are here!

Apologies once again yesterday for forgetting to add the NFL rundown for last nights game between the Vikings and the Buccaneers. I did tweet last night that the best bet was Tampa +6.5 on the handicap and that they were probably value in the outright market at around 11/5 with some 9/4 about. Well Tampa steam rolled the Vikes 36-17 with the rookie Doug Martin rushing for 136 yards. He looked impressive but the biggest thing this highlighted again is how poor the odds compilers are with the NFL. Every week the games are priced on the teams records rather than the actual ability of the two teams in that particular match up. The home crowd were booing in the first quarter…..wtf???

Hold Court made a pleasing enough hurdling debut to bring home the bacon at Ludlow. He came off the bridle fairly early and didn’t jump too fluently but he was ultimately well on top at the end. He looked to me like he may be in the need of slightly further on a more galloping track.

There has been plenty of chit-chat over the last 48 hours about the new channel 4 racing line up. There have been some good additions to the squad and one or two interesting appointments too. Nick, GC and Gina are all solid additions to the team and well deserved. The one thing that really gets me is why people who can’t broadcast are given jobs as broadcasters? One thing I think you can be sure of from January 1st is that fashion might take up as much air time on the racing program as the actual racing. I also think it’s a real shame that Chris Dixon wasn’t at least put in the squad. I know I am slightly biased as he’s a mate but he honestly walks all over most of the team with his work ethic, knowledge and outright zest for the game. Having said that he has plenty of time and in my book is 1.01 to get there eventually and I’m sure he’ll be propelled up the RUK ranks with others less frequently available.

There are several horses running from the hotlist today……here goes.

Bet of the day material was tough to come by today as all of the list horses are reasonable prices. The hammer came down on DULKASHE (4.00 Newbury). The daughter of Pivitol has only had six starts to date and has shown some steady progression with each run except for a weak effort at Sandown last month on very fast ground. She seemed to appreciate the softer surface when a staying on third at Nottingham last time behind the very well handicapped Art Scholar. That form has a real solid look to it and back on a soft surface she jumps off the page at me this afternoon. She’s generally available at 9/2 and 5/1.

Also at Newbury I like the chances of KING DRAGON (4.00). The Brian Meehan trained gelding has been mixing it with some big guns for most of the season and has largely been running with credit. Today represents his easiest challenge for a while with the drop down to nursery company and I thought he represented some value at around 8/1 this morning with Stan James.

ARCHIE STEVENS (6.10 Wolv) is not the most straight forward by any means, but having said that he has shown glimpses that make me think he would be well handicapped off his current mark in a handicap so that makes him of interest dropped to a seller. The yard continue to go well and if the money came that could be significantfor this drop in grade.

Then there are the two slightly more speculative horses that have managed to weasel their way onto the interesting list. The first of them is EDGEWARE ROAD (8.10 Wolv). A short stint over hurdles must have given the yard the impression that he wants a trip. Well Either that or they have been setting this up for a touch. A strong traveller who likes to lead and he has been in front at the 9f pole on most of his recent starts before blatantly not seeing out the final 2/3f. The drop back in trip looks absolutely ideal tonight and the blinkers are going back on. Very interesting at around 13/2 this morning.

The last bet of the day will be FORTUNATE BID 9.10 Wolv. Although it is a speculative one.  He’s caught my eye on more than one occasion in the process of dropping in the weights and is definitely handicapped to win. He is though probably better over 7/8f so this just does stretch him a little although if he is ridden with patience he does see it out. Patience will be needed but as a result 12/1 is much too big and is an each way play.

It’s the last day of four on the sidelines today and the dreaded flu has stopped me from getting half the things done that I wanted to. I am on Timeform Radio tomorrow for Racing Post Trophy day at Donny and then I’m off to Wembley on Sunday for the NFL matchup between the Pats and Rams so a busy weekend lies in store.

Be lucky today. Back some winners.

@markagrantham

MG

Tuesday 23rd Oct – Time to crack on!

The lord has been kind enough to grant me 4 days off from today which is probably a good thing considering the late night NFL action last night. Biggs had been on (@Bickers56) to advise that the unders were a certainty in the Monday night football between the Bears and the Lions in the windy city. The line was set at 46.5 and with the game ending on 20 pts, this was never ever in doubt. If your on Twitter, then follow him. Very shrewd NFL judge. Only five days to go until I’ll be at Wembley with the troops watching one of my all time heroes in Tom Brady. I can’t wait. His last-minute drive on Sunday just sums him up, pure class.

Whilst working on Turf Tv yesterday we had 20 minute gaps between races and the more I looked at the card the more I liked THE TIGER and CHEVETON in the last two races. I expect there were plenty of pissed off betting shop managers when the guy on the audio in their shop says “The Tiger looks like a standout win bet and by far the best bet of the day” to then watch as it goes from 11/2 into 7/2 and wins on the bridle. Me and Anthony Kemp my parter in crime for the day were counting the cash about half a mile out. I could have put up several pounds overweight on him myself and won.

Today has actually turned into a very busy day. Several list horses are running and a couple of very strong win bets are required.

LANGHAM LILY (2.00 Ling) is without doubt the bet of the day. Chris Wall’s filly has only had four starts to date and really appreciated the step up to 9f last time at Wolverhampton in what is turning out to be interesting form. She went down a nose that day to Kathleensluckylad who looked well handicapped and has gone on to win off a five-pound higher mark since. They kicked clear and the further step up in trip could bring about even more improvement. Back in 4th that day was TARO TYWOD, you all know the improvement that has come there. The one danger in the race was going to be Mutual Regard but that was taken out first thing this morning. I fully expect Langahm Lilly to win and continue her progress. I’ve chunked on at 11/4 but I dont know how long it will last.

A nice each way bet could well be in order in the form of AARTI (3.20 Yarmouth) today. The Oasis Dream filly has dropped 10lb from her opening mark and is starting to drop hints that she is ready to strike. The switch to bad ground might aid her today as she tends to get a bit tapped for toe before staying on. There are lines in her pedigree that suggest she should go on it and with William Buick booked for her in form yard she represents a little value at 9/1 with SportingBet.

WINTER HILL (4.00 Ling) has looked like a horse for a while that is ready to strike. Having dropped a total of 12lbs since her opening mark of 69, the Tom Dascombe filly has run some creditable races without winning. Today she drops into a seller for the first time after catching the eye on her last run. Strictly she has a few pounds to find with a few of these on her current mark but I have no doubt she is better than that so potentially is very well in here off bottom weight. Very interesting at around 8/1. Ooi Long is also on the interesting list in the same race so may be saved on.

In Yarmouth’s 4.50 both GEEAITCH and EXCEEDEXPECTATIONS remain firmly on the hotlist. Geeaitch won for us last week and looks well ahead of his mark but you could also say the same for the latter. I will play them both with split stakes slightly favouring Geeaitch.

A real busy day and hopefully a big winning one!

I’m off back to bed with a Lemsip max to try and shed this flu once and for all. Come on the Lily.

Be lucky today campers,
MG

From Frankel to NFL Sunday!

What a spectacle yesterday was. 38,000 people packed into Ascot racecourse to see the last run from the horse of a lifetime and he didn’t disappoint. After missing the break and giving away five lengths at the start he sauntered through the race and then came alongside Cirrus Des Aigles on the bridle. Ground irrelevant, opposition irrelevant he just takes it in his stride and cruises to victory. I have been cursing myself for the error that meant I wasn’t there. It was great to see so many youngsters in the crowd and hopefully a new generation of racing fans was born at Ascot yesterday. How I wish they had chosen to go to Santa Anita for the Breeders Cup. Imagine the media frenzy and the British following over there.

Frankel the perfect 14 from 14, the best horse I have ever and will ever see. He is off to strut around the stud and do his thing…….happy retirement fella.

After Chelsea and West Ham did the hard work the shorty (Gooners) let the treble down. How on earth were Chelsea 9/5??? West Ham were gravy! Irons!

From a punting point of view we continue to bang our heads against the crossbar. Bold cross drifted out to 12/1 then ran a blinder to finish…..yes you guessed it…..2nd. The same fate fell upon Galaxy Rock (2nd) and Hold On Julio (3rd). They travelled like the two best horses in the race and both looked like winning turning for home. Levi Draper got punted off the boards though and made it a winning day.

You would think I should be in the Bahamas right now with the amount of big priced runners-up I’ve had in the last two weeks.

There is only one notebook runner going today and it requires a large leap of faith in the form of REPLICATOR (5.15 Bath). He hasn’t won for a while but just showed last time that all is not forgotten. He won off 71 a few years back but is now doing his racing off just 42 on the turf which means he is 4lbs out of the handicap today. He is far less exposed on the turf though with only 13 starts compared to 38 on the all-weather. He likes to race with the pace which is a plus around here and has stall 7 which is fine. It might be barmy and on Betfair he could be any price you like but he is generally 33/1 and is worth noting and following. I’ll be having a few quid on each way.

I’m off to splutter my way through the day on Timeform Radio as I’m full of cold and flu again.

I have two selections for you tonight on the NFL live games.

Game one ARIAN FOSTER to go OVER 99.5 yards with SKYBET

Game two TOM BRADY to go OVER 300.5 yards with SKYBET.
Will try to update todays blog with more in-depth NFL review when I arrive in London. This time next week I will be on route to wembley to watch the great master at his best! I simply cannot wait!

Peace out, have a lucky day and listen in to Timeform this afternoon if you get the chance.

MG (@markagrantham)