2018 horses to follow blog with a difference. 21 Horses to add to your trackers for the coming weeks. Photo credit to @FranAltoftPhoto

With the festival just days away, most of the racing community is firmly in the jumps mould but for myself this is my favourite time of year for a multitude of reasons. It’s like the last hour before dark when you’re carp fishing. Simply the best time of the sporting year. Not only do we have Cheltenham and Aintree but also the start of the cricket season, the snooker World Champs and of course The Masters at Augusta. Throw in to the mix all the football ante-post bets winning or losing and of course the main course is the start of the flat season!

I seem to be looking forward to it more than ever this time around. Probably due to the fact that I missed a lot of it last year due to my work commitments abroad. This time though I am raring to go.

So I thought I would do something a little different. There are so many “horses to follow” pieces that you can read. Most of them concentrate on potential stars or three-year-olds likely to make it to pattern company from handicaps. What I’ve done is compile a list of 21 horses from my Proform Horse Watcher that will hopefully win you some money over the first few weeks of the turf season. They are  a mixture of promising types, well handicapped horses at the bottom of the scale and indeed a couple that seem ready to win either on turf or the all-weather. I have also thrown a few wild cards in at the bottom that may also make an unexpected appearance in the winners enclosure in 2018.

The Three-Year-Olds

Rather than strength of interest I will do them in age order and you can easily add them to your trackers.

BATTLE LINES – JAMES TATE – OR 77

Nothing too flashy to start with. A horse that has had six starts to date and seems to be better than his current mark of 77. I’m not pointing you in the direction of a superstar and he has been well found (favourite first three handicap runs) but I believe he is better than 77. His main trait so far has been his keenness in his races. If you go back to his handicap debut at Newcastle he clearly didn’t relish a stiff ten furlongs so the drop back to eight/nine will be his optimum at the moment. It looks very much like we could squeeze a win out of him before going for some headgear. He actually should have won at Wolverhampton last time in my opinion, just getting trapped in a pocket as the leader took advantage on a day it paid to be handy. He will be winning soon.

DANDIESQUE – RICHARD HANNON – OR 67

A nice handicapper for the upcoming season to follow. I’m sure she went into a few notebooks on the back of her second at Salisbury under Ryan Moore back in September on handicap debut. That booking alone may have hinted Hannon thought she was better than her opening mark of 67. She was lazy early on but as the race progressed she warmed to the task but got into a bit of bother against the rail before finishing nicely. Next time out she got messed about at the start and on her final start she was given a very clever ride out the back at Lingfield. She was dropped 1lb for that last run too. I think we have a potentially well handicapped filly on our hands here who could win us a few races over a mile this season.

GALACTIC – RICHARD HANNON – OR 61

Awarded an opening mark of 68 on the back of three average runs in novice events mid-season. He has dropped 7lbs in the weights on the back of six further win-less efforts. Several of those though caught my attention and although beaten by five lengths on his final start at HQ, the winner there was absolutely lobbed in and I’m sure we have something to work with. He’s by Roderic O’Connor. His progeny all show a level stakes profit in all race types.

All-Weather +95.50 pts

Turf +82.44 pts

Interestingly though stick them on soft ground and his figures improve (+125.09 pts). So I will be interested to see him appear early season when there is some soft in the description. Either way with a winter in him, growth and natural progression I think the Hannon’s have another potentially well handicapped animal to go to war with.

INDIAN WARRIOR – ED DUNLOP – OR 72

Looks a sure-fire winner waiting to happen. He was backed off the boards at Wolverhampton in September (first AW run) but got into all sorts of trouble turning for home and had no chance. On the back of that he was too keen to finish off up the hill at Newcastle and then hated being out the back at Chelmsford on his last run. I found it interesting that he was allowed to drift to 25/1 on this occasion having been so well backed previously. It was no surprise to see him out the back early. He has been gelded on the back of that run and given some time off. We may well see a different horse when he returns, but be very aware of when the money comes for him.

SANDAMA – RICHARD FAHEY – OR 51

One right at the bottom of the scale to add to the squad. Pedigree suggests that at least a mile but likely further will really suit the daughter of Footstepsinthesand. It was very interesting how she was campaigned over mostly six furlongs at two. Even on her final start (most interesting) at Newcastle over seven, she struggled to lie up with them early doors. The further she went the better she went in a race where the front two had gone clear. She finished with loads of running left in her and can be marked up for that run even though the handicapper dropped her another 3lbs. When stepped up in trip this season I think she could be absolutely chucked in off 51.

TRANQUIL SOUL – DAVID LANIGAN – OR 65

Another filly but this time for David Lanigan. David always gives his horses plenty of time to mature and they tend to blossom as they get to three and sometimes even four. The real eye-catching moment was her run at Kempton in September where she showed that she is clearly going to be better than her current mark at some stage (held up off the pace and flew home) ridden by Ted Durcan the last three runs, I like the angle of horses finishing their two-year-old careers at Chelmsford as you can put a line through so many races there for one reason or another. She will win races this season.

ZOFFINIA – RICHARD FAHEY – OR 57

Most punters find it difficult to get excited about a filly rated 57 that has shown very little so far but for me it makes the game at times. If you have a spare five minutes today, take the time to watch back her videos. All five runs were at seven furlongs or a mile and in all of them she shaped like she will be much better suited to middle distances. Her pedigree also hints that this will aid her too. Lots of people see Zoffany as a sire and think speed. All his best form was up to a mile and his peak RPR was 120 at Ascot over that trip. His progeny though show level stakes profits when going over that trip (9f +112.97 and 10f +112.69 to BFSP) and a near 15% strike rate. Given the stamina on the dam side she is sure to appreciate going further this year and I’m sure Fahey will find her some juicy openings of a lowly mark. Exciting.

The Four-Year-Olds

DIAMOND BEAR – SIR MARK PRESCOTT – OR 68

A rather typical Sir Mark slow burner who I’m pretty sure is a bit quirky. He has shaped several times that he might be a slow maturing horse that wants further and probably some head-gear. It’s interesting that you can make the case that he seemed to really enjoy the undulations of both Brighton and Epsom. He arguably would have won at Epsom but for getting in bother at a crucial stage (possibly his own fault). If you then take into account his run behind the very well handicapped PLY at Kempton (hampered at crucial stage when making ground) and his interesting run on his final start. I think he will laugh at this mark over 1m4f plus this season. The blinkers haven’t been tried yet either and I think he could really make giant strides this year. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he’s rated in the mid 80’s before we know it.

MAM’SELLE – WILLIAM HAGGAS – OR 89

The daughter of Teofilo didn’t race at two but made giant strides in a short space of time last year. Winning at Lingfield off 72, she then won the Ladies Derby at Newbury off 80 before running a massively eye-catching race in a big handicap at Ascot is September. That performance hinted that a bit further may see her step up into the big time this season. You can ignore her run in France in November as the ground was worse than a three-mile bog round Ffos Las. She should pay her way in 2018.

NICK VEDDER – MICHAEL WIGHAM – OR 73 (AW) 67 (TURF)

I like him. Moved to Michael Wigham from Karl Burke at Christmas and ran a very interesting race on New Years Eve when travelling strongly but never really put in to it. Jockey reported he hung right (eyebrows). He then ran in one of the most bizarre races of the winter when Testa Rossa actually behaved like his name and duly throttled clear. This caught several of the jockeys out shall we say and they ultimately had no chance. He was due to run at Wolverhampton on the 23rd February but managed to bag stall 11 over seven furlongs so was duly pulled out. I think he’s a well handicapped horse who should be kept on side over the coming weeks.

ODEN – NICK GIFFORD – OR 85

One of my favourite winners of last year when he bounded up the hill at Brighton in September on his final start for Roger Varian. The ground was worse than the description that day and one of my favourite angles on turf is to tuck into Lope De Vega’s progeny the first time they encounter bad ground. Admittedly he didn’t beat much and the 9lb slap from the handicapper is far from ideal but I just think he’s interesting. He was sold for 52,000 gns in the HIT sale on the back of this and having gone to Nick’s there is a chance he may now be switched to jumping. Given that performance, I’ll be very  much looking forward to seeing him on soft ground over further this year. Could be a dark horse for pattern races or a big handicap.

OUT OF ORDER – TIM EASTERBY – OR 63

Won’t go into too much detail as I’ve written about him before. He’s a well handicapped horse but he’s been off the track for a year now so has clearly had some problems. I’ve dropped Tim an email to see if he’s still in training, I wonder if I’ll get a reply, will update if I do.

PIONEERTOWN – SIR MARK PRESCOTT – OR 83

He’s another one to add to the list of rapid Sir Mark improvers. He won really nicely twice at the back-end of the year at Newcastle off marks of 73 and 77. Now rated 83, he is sure to improve again this year for going a bit further. He could be a serious weapon going two miles this summer. He has taken a real shine to artificial surfaces so he may even be targeted at some of the bigger races back at Newcastle.

SCUZEME – DAVID BARRON – OR 74

A few of reasons for including Scuzeme in the list. Firstly I’m convinced he’s a well treated animal off his current mark of 74. He in my opinion, has also shaped several times like he will improve a bit for going up to six furlongs having raced exclusively at five. Mr Barron is a master at getting the best out of these sprinting types as they mature and that may well have just been the plan all along. He ran much better than the book suggests on his re-appearance last year behind Justanotherbottle who was chucked in and is now rated 94 (21lbs higher) so it may be that catching him fresh will pay dividends. I’d be very keen on him first time out if he’s upped to six furlongs, but equally an interesting sprinter to follow this season.

STORM OVER – ROBERT COWELL – OR 91

Not the most obvious type for this article given he’s already rated 91. He has shown a real liking for soft ground and has been pulled out a few times when it’s been quicker. He is another one who may sneak under the radar in big sprint handicaps or even pattern company when the rain comes this summer so should be included.

WARRIOR’S SPIRIT – RICHARD HANNON – OR 70

Won his maiden at Newbury over seven furlongs back in September 2016. Awarded an opening mark of 81 he has raced at seven furlongs but mostly a mile. Now you see loads of horses when watching racing that shape like they want further but every now and again you will come across one that you are convinced could be dropped in trip. He is the classic case. I think he’d be really interesting tried over six furlongs. Either way, having dropped 11lbs in the weights we now have a well handicapped beast to add to the squad.

WELOOF – JOHN BUTLER – OR 60

Thought I’d finish the four-year-olds off with a bang. A ridiculously well handicapped animal that has dropped a total of 21lbs in a about six months. If you are wondering how he made the cut, watch the video of his run at Lingfield on 31st December. Obviously he is connected with gamblers so the bigger guess may well be what is the going day but he is just too well in to ignore and I expect him to pay for at least one trip to America this year.

Five-Year-Olds

ALAADEL – STUART WILLIAMS – OR 85

I get to start this section with the horse I originally was most looking forward to seeing from the list. He’s a beautiful son of Dubawi that caught my eye every time he ran last year shaping like he was running over a trip way too short for him.  Francesca Altoft got a couple of cracking pictures of him at Newbury.

Well he proved more than up to the six furlong task when given an absolute peach of a ride from Jim Crowley at Newbury in October on soft ground. Coming from off the pace with a well-timed run to win off a mark of 79.

Given the potential to improve when stepping up in trip I was also really interested to see him entered in the HIT sale at Tatts on the back of this. Not surprisingly he was a little out of my price range and went for 90,000 gns. He was purchased by Mr Morley and has been sent to Stuart Williams. This for the purpose of my punting is not really the best news as the new owner is well-connected to some high-profile gamblers but nevertheless,  I’m sure he’s a well handicapped animal and he will be really interesting in some big handicaps over seven furlongs and upwards this year!

FOREST LAKES – PAUL D’ARCY – OR 57

Talking of big gambles, that leads me nicely on to this lady. Originally with Godolphin for three maiden runs in 2015 she was given a mark of 71. She then spent 2016 in the hands of George Scott. Having tumbled a stone in the weights she re-appeared in January last year having moved to Paul D’arcy for 10,000 gns in the HIT sale. Watch the run at Wolverhampton 13th Jan 17. Very interesting. Clearly though, she has had problems as we haven’t seen her since. If she is still in training, then when she re-appears, she is very well treated.

FOREVER YOURS – DEAN IVORY – OR 58

Looks fairly well lobbed in to me off a career low mark of 58. Absolutely tanked through his race at Lingfield on New Years Eve and should have won but for getting messed about on the bend as the winner kicked for home. Non runner ten days later and hasn’t been seen since which is often the case when connections want an obviously unlucky run to be forgotten. May have just been given a break, but should be winning real soon if all is well.

The Wild Cards!

In this section I’ve just thrown a few random horses in here that are not very obvious but are in my Proform Horse Watcher and are interesting for one reason or another moving forward. I won’t go into too much detail but will give a rough guide.

ANOTHER ANGEL (72) is trained now by Antony Brittain. Shaped like the best horse in the race on final start for Michael Dods at Newcastle and is probably better than his mark of 72. APEX PREDATOR was punted off the boards on the third start in a maiden angle but was withdrawn on vet’s advice. Clearly better than we have seen in his two starts to date and one to keep track of. JUST US TWO (76) finished on the bridle at Musselburgh in September before moving to Mark Pattinson. Had one run for Mark (100/1) and got thrashed out of sight, dropped 5lbs for that run he has now moved to Phil McEntee and should be monitored. MAD ROSE (50) was rated 72 when arriving in this country a year ago. Has fallen down the ladder quicker than Sunderland have the football league and after some “interesting” rides will no doubt be funding a trip to the Bahamas at some point in the near future. POETIC FORCE (84 aw, 71 turf) is an enigma. Been withdrawn a couple of times due to soft ground over the last year when I’m convinced he absolutely wants it soft. Would have gone very close to winning at Epsom but for terrible luck in running on heavy ground in October. On turf, in soft ground he’s a winner waiting to happen. SHAMAR (55) is one to keep on side having been added to the wrong trip/interesting rides list at the back-end of the year. I’ll finish with THIRD TIME LUCKY (95) who I’m convinced is better than his current mark and should exploit it at some point. He has an entry in the Lincoln which is a meeting his trainer does particularly well at.

I hope all of the above with provide you with some exciting anticipation for the upcoming flat season. I am well and truly ready now. These are just a handful of the entries in my Proform and hopefully they will bag us a few quid over the coming weeks. Enjoy the festival, I don’t really have too much to shout about in terms of ante-post positions this year. DIDTHEYLEAVEYOUOUTTO is just about my strongest winner in the bumper. I really like Footpad although I think we will get at least 13/8 maybe bigger about him on the day. Wicklow Brave will probably out run his odds in the Champion Hurdle. I also think Minella Rocco is well worth backing in all the various place markets and at big exchange prices for the Gold Cup. So many of them have questions to answer and just like last year, he’s likely to run past plenty of them up the hill. I think Wonderful Charm will run a huge race in the Foxhunters but my main bet on Friday will be Apple’s Shakira.

Have a wonderful few weeks and be lucky!

MG

 

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Sunday 31st December Racing Notes

Evening all. Having had a good delve in to the racing on the final day of 2017, I have come across one or two that are worth throwing a couple of quid at.

First up I’ll give you some latest Proform Stats that could help with your punting today.

Trainers In Form:

Trainers with a win & pl strike rate of over 50% over the last 10 days.
Nick Williams 85.71%
Mark Johnston 80%
Michael Easterby  66.67%
T Lacey 66.67%
John Butler 60%
Robert Stephens 60 %
Kim Bailey 57.14%
Jennie Candlish  54.55%
Simon Dow 50%
C Byrnes 50%

 

NATIVE ROBIN (2.35 Warwick) caught the eye and went in the horse watcher on the back of his run at Exeter a month ago. He’s been out of sorts since his return to the track after 18 months on the side lines but at Exeter showed a bit more when getting outpaced over a trip short of his best, before running on a bit once beaten. He’s been dropped another 3lbs for that so is now 6lbs lower than his last winning mark. Add into the mix going back up in trip and a drop in grade back to a 0-105 and he looks an interesting contender. If he’s come on for those two runs he’s a decent bet.

On the opening shows he is available at 6/1 general. 2 pts win.

ADMIRAL BLAKE (3.00 UTTOX) is another well handicapped beast that should be monitored in the betting. Testing conditions are no problem for him and his run in what turned out to be a betting farce at Exeter last time should not be underestimated. Although beaten a long way he plugged on ok at a trip short of his best. Having won at the turn of the year off 75 & 82 a couple of years ago, he should be very capable back down to this basement mark. James Best takes back over in the saddle and he gets in this race off a lovely racing weight of 10 stone. Not beyond the realm of possibility that he returns to some form here.

At 16/1 (Bet365) he is definitely worth having a point each way.

Nap of the day though without doubt has to be MYSTIQUE MOON (1.45 Lingfield). The son of Shamardal has won two of his three starts so far, only losing out to another rapidly progressive Godolphin inmate last time out at Chelmsford. He’s been raised 9lbs for being beaten last time but that race is full of decent form. His successor Arabian Hope won the Ganton Stakes (Listed) at York. Native Soldier won off 75 and Ebbesbourne won off 80. Whilst plenty of these are on the way down, Mystique Moon is still on the up and can take this with a view to being back here on Good Friday.  Alfred Hutchinson is well handicapped and likes it here so should be a danger and monitor the run of Cherbourg. Out of the weights here, but may end up better than this mark at some point in the near future.

Opened at 11/4 tonight with Bet365. I’d be surprised if he was better than 6/4 at the off. 3 pts win @ 2/1 general price.

Will update any others later.

MG

 

 

 

Trying to find a golden nugget for the coming weeks…

Evening one and all. Hope this post finds everyone well and full of winners. An interesting week in the racing world with nothing much happening in terms of major news, other than Aidan O’Brien getting ever closer to Bobby Frankel’s record for group one winners. Enable will also stay in training at four, which is fantastic news. Longchamp anyone?

My one note from the action the past week or so would be that I’ve convinced myself that Clemmie is now the real deal. Given her pedigree she is surely going to improve for going up in trip and is very exciting. Whether she goes on to win the Guineas next spring is something we have to wait seven months to find out. One thing I’m pretty sure of though is if she doesn’t run again this season and she turns up at Newmarket in May, she’ll be 6/4 on the day, so if you like long-term investments, the 4/1 around is probably for you.

For those of you that follow my ante-post NFL prop bets it was great to see Leonard Fournette have a big weekend. Through five weeks he now has 466 yards and the each way money at 40/1 for leading rusher is definitely a live voucher. Whilst I still have him outside the top three, the way the Jag’s D keeps them in games, their run first nature can only assist in the rookie having a big first season. Let’s hope he stays healthy.

Right so this week, with little time on my hands I wanted to take a slightly different approach and just see if I could find a little nugget for the upcoming jumps season. I started off playing around with the Proform system builder and looking at the fate of favourites and horses at the front of the market to see if I could see any glaring angles.

Not an awful lot showed up, other than similarly to the flat, there are a handful of tracks where favourites have an excellent record. So I changed tack slightly and given we are at the start of the season I started to look at trainers that have their horses in good nick on the back of a break. So I ran a query in to Proform looking at all trainers performance in National Hunt races (chase, hurdle & NHF) on the back of a minimum 60 day break. This threw up plenty of profitable trainers but almost of them were on the back of the odd massive priced winner that skewed the P&L figures.

So again a bit of trimming down and I decided to limit the next search to handicaps only and now we start to pick up one or two potential angles. Five trainers stood out with exceptional strike rates and a lovely healthy profit. I won’t mention them all but I’ll certainly give a positive mention to Olly Murphy who has had a terrific start to his training career in 2017.

From the above criteria, Olly has had 12 runners and 4 winners. So as the winter progresses, he is certainly someone to keep an eye on.

The trainer that stood out above everyone else though was the excellent KEITH DALGLEISH. These figures are represented as always from Jan 1st 2010.

Keith has had just 26 runners in handicaps chases/hurdles in that time on the back of 60+ days off the track, of which 13 have gone on to win with a profit of 41.26pts to BFSP. That is a 50% winning strike rate. What is just as interesting about these figures is that of the 13 that got beat, 9 of those traded at 50% or less of their BFSP in running. So there is no doubt at all that Keith has his horses bouncing and ready to roll in the national hunt season on the back of a break in handicaps. Certainly an interesting angle for all of you that like to trade pre-race or in running.

One thing I would add in to the argument is that all of the winners were priced between 6/4 and 8/1 which would suggest that they were well fancied too. If we run the system again looking at his runners that had an SP of less than 9/1, suddenly the strike rate leaps to 72.22% (83.33% win & place). A total of 13 winners from 18 runners.

So whilst it’s short and sweet this week, and won’t throw up that many selections. When Keith Dalgleish  has a runner in a handicap hurdle or chase on the back of a minimum 60 day break and is a single figure price, you should probably have it on side.

I’m open to any kind of suggestion for something to look at for next week. Feel free to post in the comments and I will take a look.

Have a top week. Thank god the international break is over!

Mark

Pomme’s time to shine & a large priced dart…

Proform

I’m looking forward to Pomme switching to a mares race ahead of the 2.50 at Carlisle tomorrow. She has shown lots of promise on all her starts so far and I’m pretty sure if you look at the figures that you can make a good case for her to be favourite in this race.

If you want more details on why I like her then you can read back through previous posts. Which One Is Which and Lastbutnotleast make this an interesting contest. The latter has a penalty to carry but has shaped like this step up in trip will suit, whilst the former is under priced on what she’s achieved.

They clearly had a choice here with Pomme of going for a similar race to last time and getting her a nice mark or going for a mares race with a big chance of a gaining a win. The way she travels should suit Carlisle and she’ll hopefully be the last off the bridle before going on to score. Bet365 have opened up at 3/1. I think she should be favourite.

Elsewhere, I do have one of the interesting horses running today in the form of CASTANEA (5.20 Kempton). Now let’s not go mad, he’s a 42 rated 18 race maiden. So let that sink in, this is not a bank job and it has health risks attached to it but I do think there is a case to be made.

I get the feeling there may have been one or two issues in 2016 as he started to look awkward. He was given a six month break on the back of his last run in July before making a very interesting return over an inadequate 8.5f at Wolverhampton on Jan 26th. Here are my Proform notes.

This is probably one to come with a health warning. An 18 race maiden that has clearly had a few issues. Throw in the fact that he’s now rated just 42 and this should not be one to go over board with but certainly of interest as we’ll get some juice in the price because of the profile.

I’d urge you to watch the replay of the run at Wolverhampton on January 26th 17, which was his first run for 6 months having previously been seen running terribly at Ffos Las and Brighton in mid summer. Now watch closely. The first thing to note is that the trip was short of what he needs, he clearly wants about 10f, so it was obviously intended as a prep run or cobweb blower. Second thing to note is watch the draw, missing the break, wide trip early, and the effort on board to actually get close….

Now I must stress that there could just be a chance that he is a rogue and that he was really well and fresh ahead of this run. There could also be a small chance that whatever was the issue previously has been sorted and he is ready to rock and roll.

His price is going to allow us some fun. He has opened up at 16/1 tonight and is a really good each way bet. The only negative might be that it may have been picked up by other race readers so he may get well backed. If he does, then he may not even try.

Before we go I must just give you the details of a horse to follow in the early part of 2017. CULLINGWORTH is the one, here are the notes…

I think he’s potentially quite nice horse to follw for 2017. Ran in quite a few conditions races early on before having a mid summer break. Most intersting run was certainly the last start of 2016 when running in a messy race at Chester 9/9/16 when a horse fell and traffic problems. The way he travelled through that race and the fact that he was hampered were both interesting considring how he finshed off. Although well beaten was doing excellent work late on. Definitely capable of achieving much more than 81 this year. The form of this race has worked out really well too.

Pomme – 2.50 Carlisle

Castanea – 5.20 Kempton. E/W.

Be lucky today.

MG

Proform

Hoping the windmill will blow away the Saturday tears!

Proform

Ahh. How annoying was yesterday. Testa Rossa got absolutely hammered late doors into 4/1 from 7’s. Unfortunately the dropping back to seven didn’t really help but in truth he was given a poor ride. Edmunds let him get squeezed out and then just sat behind the whole field. I was shouting at the screen 5 furlongs out for him to switch wide.

I don’t think enough of the jockeys watch enough of the racing. When the horses come under pressure at Newcastle on the all-weather, the majority of them tend to drift to the far side. Horses that try to weave through have a very poor record. Once he switched wide and got daylight he took off but it was too late in a really steadily run race.

I will for now consider it money borrowed. As he is still thriving and will clearly win again soon. Preferably over a mile.

Anyway on to the Sunday action and I will grace you with the first maximum bet for February. I have had the max on BIG WINDMILL (3.20 Taunton). He was one of my eye-catchers in the WeighedInRacing magazine this month. Here are my Proform Notes…..

He’s had the typical education, very much slowly slowly with an eye to chasing I believe. He made his chase debut in a novice handicap off a mark of 112 on January 25th and having been nibbled most of the day he jumped the first three fences really well before seeming to slip or catch heels of the horse in front and unshipped Adrian Heskin.

He looks a big natural chasing type and I really liked the way he jumped the first three fences. He should be followed with interest in the coming weeks..

It’s about time they started winning so fingers crossed the max lands! It should be an interesting few days as plenty of this month’s eye catchers are entered this week so things should really start to pick up!

BIG WINDMILL – 3.20 Taunton – 5pts Max bet @ 9/4 (bog).

Top result for the hammers yesterday. Seems the lads are playing with far more freedom away from home at the moment. Good result at a difficult place to go. Top half finish looks more likely each week whilst the relegation race is wide open!

So looking forward to the Superbowl tonight. Should be an absolute belter. Fingers crossed the windmill will give us plenty of ammo to have an interest!

Be lucky today!

All the best

MG

 

Proform

 

 

Fire Up The Testa Rossa!

Proform

I won’t dwell on yesterday. As I’d feared the mile was just no good for Gold Return and once she missed the break she was a million. She is certainly not one to give up on and will remain on the interesting list when conditions are more suitable.

I have a couple that I must throw into the mix today. First off I’ve had my first decent go on one since I started blogging again in the form of TESTA ROSSA (7.45 Newcastle). He has improved immeasurably over the last over the last 3 or 4 months and it is almost exclusively down to the test that the all-weather track provides. I am absolutely convinced that he would have won again on Jan 21st had he not been stopped in the run not once but twice. He gets to race off the same mark of 80 in here again tonight and I see no reason why he will not win again granted a clear passage. He is actually 2lbs better off as Lewis Edmunds can claim 5lbs rather than the 3 of Downing. The drop back to 7f doesn’t worry me, there is a chance given how he has raced that it may even suit better and there should be plenty of pace on.

Clearly Safe Voyage is a sharp improver and could be a huge danger but I had them much closer together in the market than they are and at 7/1 I think he represents a decent bet. If it is your way I couldn’t put you off backing him each way as I can’t see him out the first three, but he’s a decent bet for me at the prices.

The other one I have to give a positive mention too is FLY TRUE (2.30 Lingfield). Jeremy Gask’s filly should in my opinion have won last time and I’ll be backing her to gain some compensation today. She’s a hold up horse with an excellent turn of foot. Granted round here she will need some luck, but if the gaps come she will go very close. With Mossgo and Come On Dave in here they should go a relentless clip that will bring the closers in to play. It will be hair-raising late doors but I’m convinced she’s better than her current mark.

TESTA ROSSA – 7.45 Newcastle – 3pts win @ 7/1.

FLY TRUE – 2.30 Lingfield – 1 pt win 9/2.

Be lucky today with your punting….oh and COYI

Proform

Another blank day! Article writing time for @weighedinracing

Proform

Morning all, just a post to let you know we have no eye catchers running today. Having been doing racing commentaries for the last three days I will be spending today in my office doing all the videos since Saturday so we should have plenty more to add to the interesting list.

I will also be writing my first eye-catchers article for Weighed In Racing (@weighedinracing) today too. This will contain 3 or 4 of the months biggest eye catchers that have yet to run since and should be placed firmly in your trackers.

Just to touch on one or two of the horses that I’ve mentioned so far. Pulsating is definitely being messed about with so we’ll strike her off. Cold Fusion got pretty well backed at Southwell, well from 40’s into 25’s, but just ran terribly. I will keep an eye on him for now but can’t see him being a betting proposition in the near future on the back of that.

Good luck today!

All the best

MG

Proform

A couple of eye catchers for today and a word on Pomme

Proform

Morning all. I will start off by just touching on the run of POMME yesterday at Doncaster. After being off the track for over a year, she ran an absolute cracker to finish 4th. Indeed had she jumped the last couple of flights better she would have probably placed. The way she travelled into the race suggests that all of that ability is still there that I had hoped and she certainly becomes a project moving forward. I assume that they may take the option of a run in an equally competitive race next time so that they can get her a nice enough mark. Certainly one to follow with interest.

On to the action on Saturday and I have a couple to pass on that caught the eye last time. I will start with the obvious one in HEAD SPACE (4.15 Lingfield). He was a moral winner given the draw when last seen a week ago having got badly out of his ground and coming with a late rattle weaving between runners to get 2nd on the line. From stall 1 today, Kirby should be able to take a slightly more daring passage and if the splits come at the right time he could be hard to contain.

The 2nd runner that went on to the slightly interesting list last week is one to take a bit of a chance with tonight at Kempton. PULSATING runs in the 7.15 and is available to back as I write this on Friday night at a general 20/1. She caught the eye last week under Milly Naseb when getting slightly caught on heels and knocked about turning for home before picking up quite nicely in the straight in the end to be beaten only a length over what is an inadequate five furlongs. This improved effort came with the introduction of first time blinkers which seem to perk her up. They go with first time visor on Saturday which is no bad thing. There is plenty of pace in here with both White Royal and Ninety Years Young likely to go forward and with Kieran Schofield’s 7lb claim she has a lovely racing weight back at six furlongs which is a big plus. The down side is this is a much better race than she has been running in for a while and whilst that is a negative, we are getting 20/1. I think she should be played each way and if things go to plan and the splits come, we could have a nice voucher in our hands come 7.17!

So the bets away from the main action today are as follows:

Head Space 4.15 Lingfield – Win

Pulsating 7.15 Kempton – E/W.

Enjoy the star-studded card at Cheltenham today, I’m on TV duty all day so will soak it all up from the studio.

All the best

Mark

Proform

A couple for your trackers, one for today.

Proform

Morning all, as I mentioned yesterday there is nothing on the all-weather from the eye catchers running today but I did just want to make a note of a horse that is entered over hurdles at Donny and pass on one from midweek which I think is interesting going forward.

First up at Doncaster today in the 4.25 just pop POMME into your trackers. She’s an interesting horse having made her hurdles debut some 413 days ago one can only assume she’s had the odd problem but that was a debut full of promise. She made a terrible mistake at the 2nd flight and lost plenty of ground as a result. Conor O’Farrell was easy on her after that and let her do things in her own time but she made up plenty of ground and at the finish was only beaten 12 lengths. The race was won by Winter Escape who we know all about and is now rated 140 and is heading for the Betfair Hurdle. The horses around Pomme on this day have won a total of 16 races between them since. So the form has plenty of substance.

Had she not made that mistake on debut who knows how close she would have gone. We have no idea if she is match fit today so I’m not saying we should be steaming in at 25/1, but she is probably worthy of say a half point e/w bet with a look to the future. The chances are that they may take their medicine now, be quite quiet with her and hold her back for handicaps, or indeed mares races at which point she’d be real interesting.

So stick Pomme in your Proform Horse Watcher, or whichever tracker you use and watch with interest this afternoon.

The other one I wanted to give a mention too is a chaser of Tom George’s called BIG WINDMILL. He’s had the typical education, very much slowly slowly with an eye to chasing I believe. He made his chase debut in a novice handicap off a mark of 112 on Wednesday and having been nibbled most of the day he jumped the first three fences really well before seeming to slip or catch heels of the horse in front and unshipped Adrian Heskin.

He looks a big natural chasing type and I really liked the way he jumped the first three fences. Stick him again in your Proform Horse Watcher or your trackers for the coming weeks. He should pay his way in handicaps.

That’s all for today. Another 15 horses went in to the eye-catchers report yesterday, of which 6 were straight on the very interesting list!

Best of luck today!

Mark

Proform

A couple to keep on side this evening……

Proform

Afternoon all. A couple of lovely results yesterday with Mischief Maisy getting very well backed from 20’s into 10’s and getting a very good ride to win. That may well be the limit of her ability but we bagged it on the good day. Mister Bob drifted all day right out to 10/1 then duly did the business too so good results all round. Refulgence is finally, off the list.

Just a couple to note that are running this evening.

7.30 Newbury – Loaded – 9/1 Generally – 1pt win

I think he’s a nice horse and potentially a bit better than his opening mark of 82 suggests. At Chester last time I think he hated the undulations and looked certain to want a bit further in time. A few of these have already played their hands in handicaps where as this lad looks cherry ripe for tonight.

9.10 Newbury – Siri & Severus – 25/1 & 16/1 2x 1pt singles.

A couple to play against the field in the concluding handicap on the card. You have to be forgiving for both last runs but I’m happy to do so. Siri messed about in the stalls at Carlisle, got restless and missed the break. They went no real pace and she was always on the back foot and not persevered with. She is better than that and can prove it tonight. I’m astonished she’s 25/1, if you watch the video back from Sandown the time before she was desperately unlucky not to win what was a better race than this.

Severus hated the heavy ground over a mile at Newmarket last time and drops back to seven on fast ground this evening. He travelled up strongly to a point that day and today should suit much more. They are both rated 72 but with the allowances Siri gets 8lbs off Severus so I slightly favour her. Play them both against the field of largely exposed beasts.

Good luck

Mg

Proform