The 2015 Challenge & Saturday blog!

Proform

Morning all. Managed to witness Cambridge parking several double deckers in order to secure a 4th round replay at Old Trafford last night. Not the most riveting viewing for the neutral but a scoreline which means that Cambridge United’s financial future is pretty secure. Very much looking forward to our trip to Bristol City on Sunday, although far from impressed by the away allocation due to ground building works.

A couple of you have mentioned about me doing some sort of challenge on the racing front this year in order to keep the blog regular (sorry again), so I have come up with something to keep us all entertained whilst hopefully making you a few quid at the same time. So the challenge is set. The UK’s average salary in 2014 was £26,500. So, can we make the average UK salary in just under a year from backing horses? This is the challenge for the next 11.5 months and is set out below:

I will put up my daily selections on the blog and each horse will be backed on a points system from 1-5 pts depending on the strength of the bet. For the purposes of the challenge, we will bet at £100 a point. This means that on average in need to make 22.5 points profit per month. A sum I am confident we can nail. Keep an eye on the staking, sometimes there will be two against the field which for me is still a very profitable angle in certain races.

Now for the purposes of added incentive maybe if one of our friendly bookmaker representatives or indeed a few of them would like to take on the challenge, maybe we could agree to pay the profits at the end of the year to a few charities? The Injured Jockeys Fund, Racing Welfare & Heros? Maybe a few of you would like to offer even £1 a point or similar for the final points total in December? If anybody outside the bookmaking teams would like to donate then please do feel free to get in contact. My twitter is @markagrantham.

Please feel free to share this with anyone that maybe interested in the head to head and we will see if we can make some money for charity at the same time.

So there really is no time like the present…… let’s get this started!

A superb days racing today with trials day at Cheltenham plus Skybet Chase day at Doncaster. Most of my attention betting wise though will be centered around Lingfield.

First off in the 1.25 we have two interesting runners to concentrate on. Firstly SASKIA’S DREAM went into many notebooks at Chelmsford on the opening day when she stuck to the far rail when most of the winners that day had come up the middle of the track. The negative is she doesn’t win very often but having said that her last win came off 61 and she’s in here off 57 so from a handicapping point of view there is a lot to like. She’s only got 8-13 to carry off bottom weight and is of major interest. The other one in the race that is really interesting is HUMOUR. Looked all over the winner at Wolverhampton last time and traded very short in the run before getting collared on the line by an in-form rival. This drop back to sprinting might just be ideal and should be backed.

SASKIA’S DREAM 1 pt win  @ 11/1 generally, Humour 1 pt win @ 12/1 generally.

Jump to the last race of the day (4.20 Lingfield) and I’m keen on the chances of KODIAC LADY. She hinted on handicap debut last time that a mark of 60 is going to be well within her compass. There is not a load of pace in the race today with several stalkers that will be held up. With Luke Morris up I expect him to just sit in behind the pace and look to make good use of her off the bend. She looks to be overpriced to me at around 8/1.

KODIAC LADY 1 pt each way @ 8/1.

A cracking days racing at Cheltenham today but I failed to feel overly strongly about anything. Really looking forward to seeing Peace and Co again. I know he ran big on all the figures at Doncaster but the thing that lit my fire the most was his hurdling. It was electric. He reminded me of a young Harchibald on how slick he was from one side to the other. I hope he wins really well today.

Enjoy,

All the best

MG

Proform

Advertisements

Wednesday Blog: Crossbar is in pieces…..

Proform

Morning campers. Well yesterday left me feeling like ten rounds with Mr Tyson. Dream Child drifted like a barge on Betfair and was around 8/1 at the off then duly won on the bridle like the well handicapped horse I expected. Anton Chigurgh got smashed all the way down to 11/8 but again there was absolutely no pace on which has cost him as Danny Brock used up loads of petrol to get to the front. Game over. Then Logan’s Lad after being smashed to pieces in the betting again ran a blinder, but was trapped six wide the whole way round and actually went via Milton Keynes to try to win. That effort can firmly be marked up and he is very capable off his new mark. You have to love the game when getting so much right, yet you’re still wrong!

On to today’s action and we have just one runner from the eye-catchers today. A horse that won really well for me last time at Sandown in the form of ONLY TEN PER CENT (5.20 Nottingham). He has taken full advantage of his lower turf mark in recent weeks with two wins from the last three starts. It was the Sandown victory last time that was most pleasing as he actually did it like a horse that is potentially capable of better still. One thing I love in sprinters in form and although he is up 5lbs, this race is no stronger that the Sandown one so I feel he has another good shout today. The early market has spoken in the favour of several others which means he is available to back at 11/1 in most places. Great chance.

1 pt each way at 11/1 generally.

PHILBA – 3.10 Nottingham. Mick Appleby’s son of Cockney Rebel could not have been anymore eye-catching if he tried last time at Sandown. He will relish this step up in trip on handicap debut and in a moderate race I expect him to win well!

4 pts win @ 7/4 generally

BASEM – 3.55 Salisbury. Brother to Farhh that still looks very well treated off 95 now stepping up in trip. He has been well backed but I expect him to win so I will have a few shillings on but the main choice is to double him up with PHILBA.

PHILBA/BASEM 3 pts win double that should pay around 6/1.

Enjoy the day today. All work and no play for me!

MG

Proform

Tuesday Blog: Maximum bet time???

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Morning everyone. A really nice and quiet few days and not too much to report. The racing today see’s the turn in the tide really as we start to head towards the jumps season. I have managed to find a couple on the card tonight though at Wolverhampton and it is time to open up the shoulders with these….

ANTON CHIGURGH 7.20 Wolverhampton went firmly into the notebook after a solid effort two runs back at Kempton over a mile. They went absolutely no pace that day and as a hold up horse running over a trip which was a bare minimum these days he did well to get within four lengths. Ran in the Silver Cambridgeshire last week but that just didn’t suit. The son of Oasis Dream’s highest rating was 92 and he gets in here off just 74 so he is undoubtedly well handicapped. This is only his 4th start for Philip McBride and with the extra 141 yards to help back on the all-weather tonight, I think he is an absolute must bet.

5 PTS MAXIMUM BET @ 5/2.

DREAM CHILD 6.20 Wolverhampton will also be backed. Three starts in maidens and all fair efforts without setting the world alight. This gives her an opening mark of 75 which looks very workable. The two horses she was behind at Lingfield last time have both won since and are now rated 92 & 85. She was still green last time and has been given three months break. The yard is going well and her two main rivals here (Modernism & Mazaaher) whilst both capable, are also quirky in their own way. She is 3/1 with StanJames and I think she should be favourite with the prospect of plenty more to come with the yard going well.

2 pts win @ 3/1 with StanJames

LOGANS LAD 8.20 Wolverhampton is the last one of the three and is worth a small investment. Put a line through the Redcar run last time and you have a progressive lightly raced four-year old who seems to thrive on the all-weather. Only 3lbs higher than putting up a career best effort back here a month ago and with very similar conditions again tonight I can see him going very close indeed.

1 pt win @ 7/1 with Ladbrokes

All three of the above carry great chances so I would not put you off places them into multiples if you are looking for the bumper payout!

Be lucky!

All the best

MG

Proform

Saturday Blog: Cambridgeshire Day!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Apologies for the shorter nature of today’s blog. I’m on wedding duty so time is tight!

The Cambridgeshire looks a typically difficult puzzle to solve. I have to air on the side of boring and say that I do really like the chances of the morning favourite CORNROW. With the prep run over seven furlongs last time being on the short side of what he wants, I think this has probably been the plan all along. I can see him running a very big race and in a race where you can get six or even seven places with some special offers he is a must back each way.

2 pts e/w with SKYBET @ 13/2 paying 6 places

INSTANT ATTRACTION 8.30 Wolverhampton

He has been on the watch list since his reappearance back in April and won well for me last time out when appreciating the switch to this surface. Only a 5lb rise today and I think there is every reason to believe there could be plenty more to come. He is the best bet of the day for me.

2 pts win @ 11/2 generally.

SURETY – 2.30 Chester

A strong traveller who has not quite been getting home over a mile recently and I have been hoping for a drop back in trip. Gets it today and is well drawn in stall four off bottom weight. I think he is really interesting!

1 pt each way at 12/1.

Again apologies for the short nature of today. Off to see Biggs tie the knot whilst trying to listen to the game at Old Trafford! COYI

All the best

MG

Proform

Friday’s Blog: Der Meister Strikes!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

First and foremost I must kick off today’s blog with a thanks for all the kind messages about yesterday’s results. With Der Meister’s win at 12/1 it was a decent winning day all round but was very nearly much better! Prince Gagarin ran well off a slow pace but could only manage 2nd and after being absolutely smashed up in the betting into 9/4, Thunder Pass also ran well just failing to land the spoils. It seems that plenty of you put them into each way doubles and a treble because of the prices and had a lovely return. I think the place element of the treble paid about 17/1. A special note to Peter Nawab for his donation. The closer Thunder Pass’s race came around the more confident I became. He will come on a bundle for that run you would imagine and in hindsight when you delve into his pedigree, a mile and a half on the turf will probably suit slightly better. Let’s hope the handicapper is not too harsh on him for finishing 2nd.

A really busy day today and plenty of action to get your teeth into and a really quality card at Newmarket. There is very little in the way of value on offer in the feature races. I am very much looking forward to seeing LUCIDA on our shores for the first time in the Rockfel at 2.40. She in the space of a month has very quickly made up into a smart filly. Today’s test is likely to bring about plenty of improvement in her and I struggle to see her getting beat today. Whilst I am not into putting up short priced favourites, I simply could not put you off putting her into your bets today.

Ok in the search of a bit of value today I have managed to find one in the most difficult race of that day that I do actually believe is largely over priced. We are searching for the Friday night crown jewels in the form of COINCIDENTLY in the Silver Cambridgeshire (5.00 Newmarket). She has been in the notebook for a while as a potential improver and duly dotted up off  a mark of 73 at Epsom four starts ago. She then ran poorly on her next start but that was just 48 hours later. She was back to form off her revised mark at Ayr three weeks later and ran a blinder to be second. Again she tried to back that up 48 hours later when traveling very strongly and getting no run whatsoever and Franny Norton gave up some way out and she effectively finished on the bridle. This shows she is still in rude health and also gives me belief that she is very capable of this career high mark. Granted, there are plenty of potential improvers in this field and the younger three-year olds have an outstanding record in the race so she has a task on but let’s look at the positives. Firstly she is a 33/1 shot this morning. She will be much bigger and largely ignored on the exchanges. Her three career wins have come in August, September and October suggesting she is an Autumn filly. Silvestre De Sousa has ridden her just twice and has won on her twice. I am obviously wary of the younger brigade but taking single figure prices in this type of race is the fast way to the poor house. In true Pricewise style I am going for the out of the park home run. I think she will out run those odds considerably and probably should be about 12/1.

1 pt each way at 33/1. Make sure you shop around for prices as some firms are paying five places.

The second one I want to have a good go on today is WILDE INSPIRATION (4.10 Haydock). The lightly raced son of Dandy Man has been ultra consistent this season and still has plenty of scope for improvement having only had nine career starts to date. The main reason for him being a selection today though is down to the step up in trip. Three times on my race notes I have mentioned that he could benefit from a step up in trip and today he gets a mile for the first time. Paul Mulrennan has a good rapport with him and he also has the weight for age allowance. I really respect the chances of the rejuvenated Pearl Nation who has improved enormously for the switch to Mick Appleby but I am confident that Wilde Inspiration will run a big race.

2 pts each way at 8/1 generally.

The two above are the main two interests of the day for me really but I do have a couple of others to throw into the mix. The first of these is PENGLAI PAVILION (3.45 Newmarket) who has had a poor season so far but on his best form, including a staying on fifth in last years Arc, he would win this comfortably. He has been given a break and gelded since his last run and if that has had a positive effect he might go very close to winning this afternoon.

1 pt win @ 9/1 generally

GREEK SPIRIT (6.20 Wolverhampon) has been largely out of sorts recently but just caught the eye last time. She is lightly raced and judged on her win off 6lbs lower last year this mark is workable. A very small interest at big prices.

0.5 pt win @ 18/1 generally

GHOSTING (9.20 Wolverhampton) is slowly slipping from an opening mark of 74 and did well to come from off the pace in an slowly run affair behind a Godolphin improver. This should be run to suit and although there are a few potential lurkers I am more than willing to have a stab at the morning price of 6/1.

1 pt win @ 6/1 generally.

A really busy day then and some quality stuff. Coral TV this morning with an avid eye on the golf. What an atmosphere at Gleneagles this morning!

Cheer home some winners!

All the best

MG

@markagrantham

Proform

Thursday Blog: @Newmarket & @Kemptonparkrace

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Morning peeps. Quick round-up of yesterday’s action. First up that was last chance saloon really for me with Rainbow Rock. He travelled much better through the race but as soon as he was asked for any effort the head went in the air and he wasn’t interested at all. I still think he will probably win races but it is likely to be with several duck eggs next to his name at a big price. Art Scholar I fear has probably just gone now. He travelled very well to a point but as soon as they quickened he was in trouble. I still haven’t quite worked out what Liam Jones was trying to do on Gypsy Rider. Haven’t seen that many hold up horses win after being rushed up and racing 6 horses wide ride Kempton. They were all very minor fancies so I wasn’t overly disappointed.

Busy day today and a couple from the notebook go. Thought the 3.30 at Pontefract looked a real good race. There are a few non runners now but I expect Evanescent and Poyle Vinnie to fight out the finish. The rest of that card looks difficult.

There a few notebook runners going today and I will spin through them in strength rather than time order.

DER MEISTER – 3.10 Newmarket

Interesting contender for Andrew Balding today. Only had three starts and won the first two. Last time out was held up out the back in the messy Salisbury race that was won by Cape Caster. He was still travelling well three out when he then got involved in several rugby like tackles and the race had gone. Oisin Murphy eased him down once the race was lost and he can probably be marked up for that effort. The stiff finish at Newmarket should suit today and with a clear run I think he could go very close indeed off just eight stone five. The double figure prices this morning represent a decent each way play.

2 pts each way @ 10/1 generally

PRINCE GAGARIN – 2.35 Newmarket

Half an hour earlier on the card I’m looking forward to seeing the son of Dubawi running in handicap company for the first time. You have to put a line through his last run at York but that is not too much of a hardship as it was a group 3. Previous to that effort he had won a three runner novice event here in nice style and looked useful in the process. He has entries in all the big races (Royal Lodge, Dewhurst, Racing Post Trophy & Derby) and if they are serious entries then he should be well up to winning this of a mark of 90. Ryan Moore keeps the ride too which can only be nothing but a big positive. Expecting him to go well.

2 pts win @ 3/1

THUNDER PASS – 9.15 Kempton

Had to wait a real long time for this to come round and it may have done so just at the right time. Thunder Pass went into the notebook 353 days ago and has been burning a whole in it ever since! Just three runs to date all in turf maidens over about a mile. Twice gave the huge impression that he wants much further and maybe a switch in surface. Well tonight he gets both in abundance. Been off the track a year so we will have to take fitness on trust but that doesn’t worry me with Hughie’s horses. The trainer could not be in much better form. 6/22 winners in the last fortnight and almost 50% have been placed. Thunder Pass could be a very well handicapped horse off an opening mark of 60 and if he is cherry ripe, hopefully will win well!

2 pts win @ 6/1 generally

Elsewhere I thought that BARCHAN (7.45 Kemp) had a decent chance to follow up the Lingfield win but the price is a bit too skinny. I also though the winner of the 8.45 Kempton would come from one of the two progressive types in Seldom Seen & History Book so I really couldn’t put you off them today either.

Day of Coral TV for me today so busy! Fingers crossed we have a few winners today!

Be lucky,

MG

Proform

Tuesday blog update: Couple to watch

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Morning all! A day in the office doing videos today so we will have plenty in the satchel for you all by the end of the day I would imagine.  I just wanted to bring to your attention a couple of horses that have been served up by Proform this morning. There is nothing at all strong today or running from the eye-catchers but these two should give you an interest.

First up is just a note about TOOT YOUR FLUTE (2.50 Lingfield). The son of Invincible Spirit ran 8th of 9 on debut on the turf course here at Lingfield and was pretty green on very much the first day of school. He should come on a bundle for that effort. The interesting fact about this is the jockey booking. When William Haggas reaches out for Silvestre De Sousa they have a combined strike rate of 38.46% which is incredibly strong. There are some potentially nice horses in this line up and there has been bundles of money for the Godolphin runner (who has a Derby entry) so the 16/1 available on Toot Your Flute is probably fair based on what we have seen so far, but with that experience under his belt, a switch to the all-weather and the assistance of Silvestre, I think he will probably out run those odds quite considerably.

The second one just to keep an eye on today is ALL OR NOW (5.10 Ballinrobe). Now I hardly ever play in Ireland but again Proform has drawn my attention to the jockey booking situation. When Denis Hogan books Brian Cawley they have a very succesful 38.10% strike rate together. Couple that with the fact that based on his hurdles form All Or Now is well handicapped off just 91, he is surely worth a small dart this afternoon. There is some 7/1 available if you shop around.

That’s it for this morning, just a couple of small notes.

Be lucky

MG

Proform

Summer is gone and we are raring to go!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Well here we are again. For the first time in a long time today the heating very briefly went on, only to trip all the electricity in the house and then pack up altogether! This means summer is officially over! Whilst most of you will be rejoicing and thinking of long winter nights, strictly come dancing and X-factor leading up until Christmas……us normal folk are dreaming of sub-zero temperatures at Wolverhampton and Kempton on the all-weather.

The summer months have gone quicker than ever this year. Another disappointing season for Sussex CCC in all forms of the game. Although bizarrely if they win their Championship game this week they could end up finishing second having been embroiled in a relegation battle for the last couple of months. I must send my congratulations to Yorkshire on a fine display all season on route to winning the County Championship for the 31st time. They have been the best side throughout the summer and fully deserve their title.

Bitter sweet season for my old home county Warwickshire. Winners of the Natwest T20 Blast but falling at the very final hurdle in the final of the Royal London Cup at Lords at the weekend. Well done to Durham; winning a tense low scoring affair. I still struggle to see the value of a final in late September in front of a half empty stadium. This probably needs looking at. My own season was curtailed by a bad knee injury the very first week meaning that I spent the rest of the season just playing as a batsmen. Standing at first slip is very frustrating when you are a bowler! Still I managed a couple of tons and about 750 runs on the season so there is life in the old dog yet. One more year Mark……(maybe).

On the football front I am a reasonably happy hammer at the moment. It has been a positive start to the season, capped off with a great win over Liverpool at the weekend. The disappointment of the two home defeats against Spurs and Southampton leaves me feeling like it could have been so much better. We have made some very shrewd off-season signings though and the future is looking much brighter as we get our teeth into our penultimate season at Upton Park. How weird is that going to be…….. Enner Valencia looks the real deal. His work rate has been exceptional too. My main ante-post involvement was to back Eastleigh each way in the conference on the say so of the shrewdie Mr Bucs. 19 points in the satchel from the first 11 games is a good return. They are bang in the mix for the each way return but Barnet and Torquay are potentially on another planet. I also backed Donny and Barnsley both to suffer another relegation from League 1. They have both made average starts and are just hovering above the bottom four.

As far as all the summer of racing goes it has been enjoyable if not long. I am fully ready now for a slow down in pace as I concentrate on the all-weather for the winter and the best quality jumps racing. News has come through this evening that Kingman has been retired to Banstead Manor Stud as his throat infection will take some time to heal. Another champion comes and goes. A real shame that we won’t get to see him on Champions Day at Ascot. I still remember clearly the reaction post-race after he won his maiden and the clambering for prices for the following seasons classics. Let’s all hope and pray that he becomes a champion sire too.

Punting Highs and Lows

People often ask me what is the most important tool you use when it comes to racing and my answer has pretty much always been the same. My eyes. 99% of people who bet on horse racing will pick up the Racing Post (or stare at it in the bookies) and read the spotlight and horse notes in an almost lemming like fashion. There are 1% that look at racing differently. Pleased to say I know quite a few of them. We all have our own techniques and that really is the beauty of the game. My game relies about 85% on what I see on the videos. The other 15% then helps equate what have seen on the tapes to turn into the analysis for which ones I want to be with and against next time. Just try it…….watch a seven race card with the sound down. Watch each race 2,3 or 4 times. See what catches your eye. You will probably be amazed at the little things you notice.

As for the highs and lows of the summer. Well I’ll start with Taghrooda who was a great winner for loads of us in the Oaks at Epsom. I cannot take any of the credit for it though as I was firmly pointed in her direction by several of the lads at Timeform in the Ante-post market. That was a good day! The best single day of the year was Wednesday the 6th of August when I had the luxury of a summer’s day off! I took the privilege of attending the first day of Brighton’s three-day August festival and managed to go through the card. Funnily enough I don’t remember much about the evening, although the hog roast was superb. Two days before the Derby I got shot at on an email by a Timeform Radio listener for saying that I thought Romsdal was a cracking bet in the place market when there was some 7/1 available. Funnily enough I never heard anything from him afterwards? Arab Springs win at Royal Ascot was a joy too! I suppose  I should also give a mention to the day earlier in the year when  Flow, Stomp and Knight Owl all won and I advised putting them into multiples. Plenty of you won a fortune that day which was rewarding. I should give a mention to Seamster too who is welcome to come round and have some hay at mine anytime!

Downs? Well Choisan getting chinned on the line having backed him at 25/1 at Ayr last week was no fun. Tatting finished 2nd at 20/1 on June 15th. I backed Bow Creek in the Britannia at 33/1 who finished……yes second. There were a few others but for my own safety I should probably stop there. I still cannot quite get my head around each way betting. Everybody seems to have a different view on it too. I’m still not quite sure how Big Baz has managed to get beat on his last two starts either. The bank manager surely isn’t impressed.

Pleased that Mick Appleby is having another good year. Danzeno will surely be a group one sprinter sooner rather than later. Actually his handicap win off 90 at Newmarket in April definitely should be in the best wins category. The shouts of “how far” were out at about half way!

Moving forward I’m pleased to say that I will now have the time to put the blog up again over the winter months. Apologies to those of you that were regular readers earlier in the year. The schedule just gets a bit too hectic for me to be able to commit enough time to studying and writing about the racing. Although I would love to be able to do this all year round so if you know of anyone that would like to sponsor the blog then please do feel free to get in touch! This is something that actually really interests me quite a bit so if you are or know of anybody that is looking for sponsorship opportunities then I’d love to hear from you.

My first full blog will be back on either Wednesday or Thursday of this week. I will keep you updated. Please do spread the word and I hope you enjoy reading for the rest of 2014. Hopefully we can put plenty of money in the coffers for a bloody good Christmas. Goose fat roast potatoes, cold meats and pickles are but a few cold days at Southwell away!

Great to be back

If you’d like to get in touch then feel free to email me at markgrantham78@gmail.com

All the best,

MG

Proform

Thursdays Blog!

Proform

Apologies for the lack of bloggage over the last few days. My schedule at this time of year is hectic and I simply haven’t had the time! I am actually writing this on Wednesday night just before I hit the sack as I have such a busy day again tomorrow!

I will be up bright and early as I am off to Jamie Poulton’s yard down in Sussex to see our new colt that we have taken a healthy share in. He is by Sakhee and will be hopefully be making his racecourse debut in a couple of weeks time!

Last week was quite tough. We hit the crossbar several times and had plenty that ranpoorly. I suppose on the back of such a good run that was always likely to be the case. I liked two quite strongly today (weds) and they both won well. I didn’t have the time to write about them in the morning but those of you that tuned into Timeform Radio would have heard how strongly I liked them! Monel would surprisingly easily and he is also entered on Thursday. He will  be no sort of price now and the cat is out the bag.

There is a distinct lack of trainers being flagged up on the win and place strike rate hot list from Proform. They are as follows:

Amanda Perrett 66.67%

John Gosden 54.05%

Malcom Jefferson 50%

Highie Morrison 50%

I have always set the bar with this stat at a minimum of 8 or 10 runners in the previous 14 days. This largely ignores smaller yards that can be in form so I have run this separately of one or two trainers have caught my eye this week:

Ron Hodges 75% (4runners)

John Davies 66.67% (3 runners)

Lydia Richards 66.67% (3 runners)

Seamus Durack 66.67% (6 runners)

Ed De Giles 66.67% (3 runners)

Chris Down 66.67% (6 runners)

John Bridger 60%

I hope in one way or another these figures point you in the direction of a winner or two! If you haven’t had a chance to check out Proform yet then you must do so. It is an essential part of any professionals day to day punting now and you will see why once you scratch the surface. Click on the image at the top of the blog and it will link you directly to the website. Simon will be happy to answer any questions that you may have.

Ok on to today and a few that I actaully fancy quite strongly.

First up is BALLYBOUGH GORTA (4.50 Wetherby) who has been most progressive over the last few seasons when given good ground or faster and has climbed a good 56lbs in the weights as a result. Over the winter he has been highly tried in decent races (Sussex and Scottish Nationals) mostly in bad ground which he would have hated. Back on a decent surface today in the weakest race he has run in for a long time (down to class 3) he must have a great chance with the Bowen/Moore combination also firing on all cylinders recently. There are some double figure prices floating about tonight so he should be backed provided there is not too much overnight rain!

BALLYBOUGH GORTA 2 pts win @ 10/1

The first of my two very strong fancies is RUSSIAN REALM (3.50 Goodwood) who looks a pattern performer waiting to happen. He was beaten at Ascot on his re-appearance by the horse we backed that day (Ishikawa) and has been raised 3lbs for the privilege of being beaten. He travelled like the best horse in the race for a long way and if you could give Ryan the ride back again he might not have given the winner so much rope. The drop back a furlong should work the oracle here and I expect Ryan to be extra clinical here today on this beautifully bred colt.

RUSSIAN REALM 4 pts win @ 2/1 (BOG)

The other one on the day is PERFECT MUSE (5.35 Goodwood) who looks a really well handicapped filly to me. Adam Kirby had to get after her a bit earlier than he wanted on her re-appearance at Bath (when she was heavily punted) and she hit the front a bit earlier than I believe he wanted too and got swamped on the line when he thought he had the race in the bag. The extra furlong here should help her travel into the race kindly and if Ryan Tate times it well I fully expect her to win.

PERFECT MUSE 4 pts win @ 15/8 (BOG)

Neither of the two are big prices but I expect them all to run well so for extra interest we will play the following multiples too:

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse 2 pts win double

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse/Ballybough Borta 1 pt win trixie (4 pts)

I hope you all have a lovely day! And lets bag some winners!

All the best

MG

Proform

Who wants to be a millionaire?

Proform

Morning peeps. Very best of luck to you if you are having a go at the massive Scoop 6 today. At first glance I thought it wouldn’t be won. Then I thought about putting a syndicate together to have a real crack, then I thought it wouldn’t be won again. My first effort at a perm came to over £2,500 so I banged my head against the desk, trimmed it right down and put up a small play. If I’ve narrowed down all six winners, this may be the last time you read this blog!

I must give a huge shout to all the team at Sussex County Cricket Club. An enthralling finish to the first of the Natwest T20 blast games against Surrey last night saw the Sharks get 17 off the last over including 8 off the last two balls to secure victory. The place went mad and the shark tank was overflowing!

Such a busy day’s racing today, let’s look at some of the Proform stats for today.

These are trainer’s win& place strike rates with more than 10 runners over the past 14 days:

P J Prendergast 69.23% (13 runners)

Robert Cowell 64.71% (17 runners)

Amanda Perrett 57.14% (14 runners)

Warren Greatrex 54.55% (11 runners)

Dan Skelton 54.55% (11 runners)

David Pipe 54.17% (24 runners)

John Gosden 53.85% (39 runners)

Best winning strike rates go to David Pipe 37.5% and Warren Greatrex 36.36%

Such a difficult day today. Every race of the scoop 6 looks difficult. We do have one or two runners from the interesting list.

You are all well aware of me feelings about STOMP (3.30 Newmarket) who won really well for us just over a week ago on an epic afternoon. He is incredibly progressive and beat another very well handicapped rival last time so the 8lb rise is not too harsh and Joey Haynes claims 5lbs of that back. He can emulate his half-sister Mince on route to pattern company here.

STOMP 3 pts win @ 3/1

You would have seen me tweeting after AEOLUS (2.55 Newmarket) got beat last time in the Free Handicap after meeting trouble in running. His form at the back end of last year took a huge boost when Night Of Thunder won the Guineas and he looks a class act to me. If he’s come on for the run last time I would hope that he might be too good for these today.

AEOLUS 3 pts win @ 4/1

I am really looking forward to seeing TOKEN OF LOVE (5.00 Newbury) again this afternoon. She is a beautifully bred daughter of Cape Cross who was pretty green on debut but still managed to win with plenty in hand. She starts life in handicap company today off an opening mark of 77. She has a group 1 entry in the Coronation so she is clearly thought a lot off which means her opening mark today looks very attractive indeed. The 5/2 about her this morning looks very tempting!

TOKEN OF LOVE 4 pts win @ 5/2.

I have a couple to throw out the back of the hand at big prices for you today too. First up is GO GO GREEN (3.25 Thirsk) who I have had to put into my scoop 6 perm despite being 2lbs out of the handicap. He has won off much higher marks in the past so that is no worry and he has shaped like his turn is coming the last twice. He might be better at six furlongs these days but the nature of this race means they are going to go a frantic pace which should suit off bottom weight. Just a small dart at a big one.

GO GO GREEN 1 pts each way @ 25/1 with William Hill

The other big priced arrow to throw later on is PIXIE CUT (5.25 Doncaster). You should all remember my thoughts on her as she ran in the Sirvino race at Hamilton. I am sure she is well handicapped at the moment off 70. This is a weaker race than that and I would actually fancy her quite strong but for the fact that she is really badly drawn in 19. Hopefully the excellent Rob Fitz who is claiming 5lbs can just get her into an ok slot and she might well run a big race at 12/1.

PIXIE CUT 1 pt each way @ 12/1

Given the nature of the prices today I have played a couple of small multiples too.

STOMP, AEOLUS and TOKEN OF LOVE in a treble & trixie.

GO GO GREEN & PIXIE CUT each way double.

Enjoy the action today, really is something for everyone withe the FA CUP final clashing with the La Liga final games! Good luck to Chris and Martin at Wembley!

All the best,

MG

Proform