Saturday Blog: Cambridgeshire Day!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Apologies for the shorter nature of today’s blog. I’m on wedding duty so time is tight!

The Cambridgeshire looks a typically difficult puzzle to solve. I have to air on the side of boring and say that I do really like the chances of the morning favourite CORNROW. With the prep run over seven furlongs last time being on the short side of what he wants, I think this has probably been the plan all along. I can see him running a very big race and in a race where you can get six or even seven places with some special offers he is a must back each way.

2 pts e/w with SKYBET @ 13/2 paying 6 places

INSTANT ATTRACTION 8.30 Wolverhampton

He has been on the watch list since his reappearance back in April and won well for me last time out when appreciating the switch to this surface. Only a 5lb rise today and I think there is every reason to believe there could be plenty more to come. He is the best bet of the day for me.

2 pts win @ 11/2 generally.

SURETY – 2.30 Chester

A strong traveller who has not quite been getting home over a mile recently and I have been hoping for a drop back in trip. Gets it today and is well drawn in stall four off bottom weight. I think he is really interesting!

1 pt each way at 12/1.

Again apologies for the short nature of today. Off to see Biggs tie the knot whilst trying to listen to the game at Old Trafford! COYI

All the best

MG

Proform

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Friday’s Blog: Der Meister Strikes!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

First and foremost I must kick off today’s blog with a thanks for all the kind messages about yesterday’s results. With Der Meister’s win at 12/1 it was a decent winning day all round but was very nearly much better! Prince Gagarin ran well off a slow pace but could only manage 2nd and after being absolutely smashed up in the betting into 9/4, Thunder Pass also ran well just failing to land the spoils. It seems that plenty of you put them into each way doubles and a treble because of the prices and had a lovely return. I think the place element of the treble paid about 17/1. A special note to Peter Nawab for his donation. The closer Thunder Pass’s race came around the more confident I became. He will come on a bundle for that run you would imagine and in hindsight when you delve into his pedigree, a mile and a half on the turf will probably suit slightly better. Let’s hope the handicapper is not too harsh on him for finishing 2nd.

A really busy day today and plenty of action to get your teeth into and a really quality card at Newmarket. There is very little in the way of value on offer in the feature races. I am very much looking forward to seeing LUCIDA on our shores for the first time in the Rockfel at 2.40. She in the space of a month has very quickly made up into a smart filly. Today’s test is likely to bring about plenty of improvement in her and I struggle to see her getting beat today. Whilst I am not into putting up short priced favourites, I simply could not put you off putting her into your bets today.

Ok in the search of a bit of value today I have managed to find one in the most difficult race of that day that I do actually believe is largely over priced. We are searching for the Friday night crown jewels in the form of COINCIDENTLY in the Silver Cambridgeshire (5.00 Newmarket). She has been in the notebook for a while as a potential improver and duly dotted up off  a mark of 73 at Epsom four starts ago. She then ran poorly on her next start but that was just 48 hours later. She was back to form off her revised mark at Ayr three weeks later and ran a blinder to be second. Again she tried to back that up 48 hours later when traveling very strongly and getting no run whatsoever and Franny Norton gave up some way out and she effectively finished on the bridle. This shows she is still in rude health and also gives me belief that she is very capable of this career high mark. Granted, there are plenty of potential improvers in this field and the younger three-year olds have an outstanding record in the race so she has a task on but let’s look at the positives. Firstly she is a 33/1 shot this morning. She will be much bigger and largely ignored on the exchanges. Her three career wins have come in August, September and October suggesting she is an Autumn filly. Silvestre De Sousa has ridden her just twice and has won on her twice. I am obviously wary of the younger brigade but taking single figure prices in this type of race is the fast way to the poor house. In true Pricewise style I am going for the out of the park home run. I think she will out run those odds considerably and probably should be about 12/1.

1 pt each way at 33/1. Make sure you shop around for prices as some firms are paying five places.

The second one I want to have a good go on today is WILDE INSPIRATION (4.10 Haydock). The lightly raced son of Dandy Man has been ultra consistent this season and still has plenty of scope for improvement having only had nine career starts to date. The main reason for him being a selection today though is down to the step up in trip. Three times on my race notes I have mentioned that he could benefit from a step up in trip and today he gets a mile for the first time. Paul Mulrennan has a good rapport with him and he also has the weight for age allowance. I really respect the chances of the rejuvenated Pearl Nation who has improved enormously for the switch to Mick Appleby but I am confident that Wilde Inspiration will run a big race.

2 pts each way at 8/1 generally.

The two above are the main two interests of the day for me really but I do have a couple of others to throw into the mix. The first of these is PENGLAI PAVILION (3.45 Newmarket) who has had a poor season so far but on his best form, including a staying on fifth in last years Arc, he would win this comfortably. He has been given a break and gelded since his last run and if that has had a positive effect he might go very close to winning this afternoon.

1 pt win @ 9/1 generally

GREEK SPIRIT (6.20 Wolverhampon) has been largely out of sorts recently but just caught the eye last time. She is lightly raced and judged on her win off 6lbs lower last year this mark is workable. A very small interest at big prices.

0.5 pt win @ 18/1 generally

GHOSTING (9.20 Wolverhampton) is slowly slipping from an opening mark of 74 and did well to come from off the pace in an slowly run affair behind a Godolphin improver. This should be run to suit and although there are a few potential lurkers I am more than willing to have a stab at the morning price of 6/1.

1 pt win @ 6/1 generally.

A really busy day then and some quality stuff. Coral TV this morning with an avid eye on the golf. What an atmosphere at Gleneagles this morning!

Cheer home some winners!

All the best

MG

@markagrantham

Proform

Thursday Blog: @Newmarket & @Kemptonparkrace

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Morning peeps. Quick round-up of yesterday’s action. First up that was last chance saloon really for me with Rainbow Rock. He travelled much better through the race but as soon as he was asked for any effort the head went in the air and he wasn’t interested at all. I still think he will probably win races but it is likely to be with several duck eggs next to his name at a big price. Art Scholar I fear has probably just gone now. He travelled very well to a point but as soon as they quickened he was in trouble. I still haven’t quite worked out what Liam Jones was trying to do on Gypsy Rider. Haven’t seen that many hold up horses win after being rushed up and racing 6 horses wide ride Kempton. They were all very minor fancies so I wasn’t overly disappointed.

Busy day today and a couple from the notebook go. Thought the 3.30 at Pontefract looked a real good race. There are a few non runners now but I expect Evanescent and Poyle Vinnie to fight out the finish. The rest of that card looks difficult.

There a few notebook runners going today and I will spin through them in strength rather than time order.

DER MEISTER – 3.10 Newmarket

Interesting contender for Andrew Balding today. Only had three starts and won the first two. Last time out was held up out the back in the messy Salisbury race that was won by Cape Caster. He was still travelling well three out when he then got involved in several rugby like tackles and the race had gone. Oisin Murphy eased him down once the race was lost and he can probably be marked up for that effort. The stiff finish at Newmarket should suit today and with a clear run I think he could go very close indeed off just eight stone five. The double figure prices this morning represent a decent each way play.

2 pts each way @ 10/1 generally

PRINCE GAGARIN – 2.35 Newmarket

Half an hour earlier on the card I’m looking forward to seeing the son of Dubawi running in handicap company for the first time. You have to put a line through his last run at York but that is not too much of a hardship as it was a group 3. Previous to that effort he had won a three runner novice event here in nice style and looked useful in the process. He has entries in all the big races (Royal Lodge, Dewhurst, Racing Post Trophy & Derby) and if they are serious entries then he should be well up to winning this of a mark of 90. Ryan Moore keeps the ride too which can only be nothing but a big positive. Expecting him to go well.

2 pts win @ 3/1

THUNDER PASS – 9.15 Kempton

Had to wait a real long time for this to come round and it may have done so just at the right time. Thunder Pass went into the notebook 353 days ago and has been burning a whole in it ever since! Just three runs to date all in turf maidens over about a mile. Twice gave the huge impression that he wants much further and maybe a switch in surface. Well tonight he gets both in abundance. Been off the track a year so we will have to take fitness on trust but that doesn’t worry me with Hughie’s horses. The trainer could not be in much better form. 6/22 winners in the last fortnight and almost 50% have been placed. Thunder Pass could be a very well handicapped horse off an opening mark of 60 and if he is cherry ripe, hopefully will win well!

2 pts win @ 6/1 generally

Elsewhere I thought that BARCHAN (7.45 Kemp) had a decent chance to follow up the Lingfield win but the price is a bit too skinny. I also though the winner of the 8.45 Kempton would come from one of the two progressive types in Seldom Seen & History Book so I really couldn’t put you off them today either.

Day of Coral TV for me today so busy! Fingers crossed we have a few winners today!

Be lucky,

MG

Proform

Who wants to be a millionaire?

Proform

Morning peeps. Very best of luck to you if you are having a go at the massive Scoop 6 today. At first glance I thought it wouldn’t be won. Then I thought about putting a syndicate together to have a real crack, then I thought it wouldn’t be won again. My first effort at a perm came to over £2,500 so I banged my head against the desk, trimmed it right down and put up a small play. If I’ve narrowed down all six winners, this may be the last time you read this blog!

I must give a huge shout to all the team at Sussex County Cricket Club. An enthralling finish to the first of the Natwest T20 blast games against Surrey last night saw the Sharks get 17 off the last over including 8 off the last two balls to secure victory. The place went mad and the shark tank was overflowing!

Such a busy day’s racing today, let’s look at some of the Proform stats for today.

These are trainer’s win& place strike rates with more than 10 runners over the past 14 days:

P J Prendergast 69.23% (13 runners)

Robert Cowell 64.71% (17 runners)

Amanda Perrett 57.14% (14 runners)

Warren Greatrex 54.55% (11 runners)

Dan Skelton 54.55% (11 runners)

David Pipe 54.17% (24 runners)

John Gosden 53.85% (39 runners)

Best winning strike rates go to David Pipe 37.5% and Warren Greatrex 36.36%

Such a difficult day today. Every race of the scoop 6 looks difficult. We do have one or two runners from the interesting list.

You are all well aware of me feelings about STOMP (3.30 Newmarket) who won really well for us just over a week ago on an epic afternoon. He is incredibly progressive and beat another very well handicapped rival last time so the 8lb rise is not too harsh and Joey Haynes claims 5lbs of that back. He can emulate his half-sister Mince on route to pattern company here.

STOMP 3 pts win @ 3/1

You would have seen me tweeting after AEOLUS (2.55 Newmarket) got beat last time in the Free Handicap after meeting trouble in running. His form at the back end of last year took a huge boost when Night Of Thunder won the Guineas and he looks a class act to me. If he’s come on for the run last time I would hope that he might be too good for these today.

AEOLUS 3 pts win @ 4/1

I am really looking forward to seeing TOKEN OF LOVE (5.00 Newbury) again this afternoon. She is a beautifully bred daughter of Cape Cross who was pretty green on debut but still managed to win with plenty in hand. She starts life in handicap company today off an opening mark of 77. She has a group 1 entry in the Coronation so she is clearly thought a lot off which means her opening mark today looks very attractive indeed. The 5/2 about her this morning looks very tempting!

TOKEN OF LOVE 4 pts win @ 5/2.

I have a couple to throw out the back of the hand at big prices for you today too. First up is GO GO GREEN (3.25 Thirsk) who I have had to put into my scoop 6 perm despite being 2lbs out of the handicap. He has won off much higher marks in the past so that is no worry and he has shaped like his turn is coming the last twice. He might be better at six furlongs these days but the nature of this race means they are going to go a frantic pace which should suit off bottom weight. Just a small dart at a big one.

GO GO GREEN 1 pts each way @ 25/1 with William Hill

The other big priced arrow to throw later on is PIXIE CUT (5.25 Doncaster). You should all remember my thoughts on her as she ran in the Sirvino race at Hamilton. I am sure she is well handicapped at the moment off 70. This is a weaker race than that and I would actually fancy her quite strong but for the fact that she is really badly drawn in 19. Hopefully the excellent Rob Fitz who is claiming 5lbs can just get her into an ok slot and she might well run a big race at 12/1.

PIXIE CUT 1 pt each way @ 12/1

Given the nature of the prices today I have played a couple of small multiples too.

STOMP, AEOLUS and TOKEN OF LOVE in a treble & trixie.

GO GO GREEN & PIXIE CUT each way double.

Enjoy the action today, really is something for everyone withe the FA CUP final clashing with the La Liga final games! Good luck to Chris and Martin at Wembley!

All the best,

MG

Proform

Friday blog…T20 is here!

Proform

Apologies. Today’s blog will be very brief indeed as I have a ridiculously busy day. Working Coral TV in the morning before dashing down south to host the opening T20 of the season at Hove as Sussex take on Surrey in front of a sell out!

I can’t even believe to tell you how frustrating Thursday’s maximum bet was. We were miles ahead of the market. Backed form all rates of 7/2 into 11/8 only for the truck to get stuck in traffic and didn’t make it to the track. Our cover has been blown for next time. Bugger.

Tabreek was really well backed and won well. The step up in trip did the trick. Still not sure how Fort Bastian didn’t win…….

On to Friday’s action then and not an awful lot to report in terms of eye catchers.

The 3.50 at York is a race to savor with a host of progressive sprinters. Plenty of winners will come out of this race. I like 6 or 7 of them quite a lot so this will be a race for the video boys.

First bet of the day comes over at Newmarket (4.00) when I will be playing two against the field. First up is BIG BAZ who created a really nice impression when sprinting clear on debut at Lingfield back in December. He hasn’t been as impressive since but did shape really nicely in a very competitive class 2 handicap last time. He got messed about and trapped on heels as they quickened and his jockey quickly saved him for another day. I think he is potentially well handicapped off 84 and should be backed accordingly. I will be having a money back saver in the race on GONE DUTCH who shaped like a middle distance horse to follow this season on his re-appearance.

BIG BAZ – 2 pts win @ 8/1, GONE DUTCH 1 pt win @ 3/1

The second bet of the day is SELLINGALLTHETIME (5.00 York) for Mick Appleby and Andrew Mullen who have already been in winning form this week on the Knavesmire. I am convinced that the son of Tamayuz is well handicapped off a mark of 66 and squeezes in here off just 8 stone 7. The track at Beverley last time would not have suited as he tried to come from off the pace and was forced to switch late on. Conditions here should suit and he could end up being some value as there are a lot of potential improvers in here. He is as big as 20/1 in places and should be backed each way.

SELLINGALLTHETIME 1 pt each way @ 20/1

Enjoy the action and the weather! If you’re at the game tonight, come and say hello!

All the best

MG

Proform

Dante Meeting Day 2, maximum bet…

Proform

On a day when the Dante at York will take the attention of most, I will be waiting for the 7.00 at Newmarket where I will be having my second maximum bet of the season. More on that shortly but first up a quick look back on Yesterday. I thought RYE HOUSE was a little unlucky in the opener. He got into a bit of a barging match as the race evolved and Ryan soon realised he wasn’t going to be winning. He shaped with significant promise from his revised mark though and should be followed with interest.

SHOT IN THE SUN was well backed from 20/1 into 14’s and ran another absolute blinder to be second to what looked like a handicap good thing. He will get another hit from the handicapper now and in truth has been unfortunate to bump into a couple already this year.

Here are some Proform stats for trainers win & place strike rates over the past 14 days (these figs were done last night so do not include weds results):

Robert Cowell 71.43% (Normal Equilibrium, Sir Pedro)

James Fanshawe 66.67% (Saab Almanal, Shining Glitter, Green Monkley)

John Gosden 62.96%

John Joseph Hanlon 55.56%

Martin Todhunter 55.56%

Karl Burke 55%

Kim Bailey 54.55%

Sir Michael Stoute 54.55%

Joseph Tuite and David Elsworth both have 50% winning strike rates with 4 winners from their last 8 runners.

The Dante is the main attraction on the Knavesmire this afternoon with TRUE STORY looking to validate his Derby claims after a very good win at HQ last time. He seems to have a little bit of temperament and maybe a little attitude but to go with it he has an awful lot of talent. I think he should actually be a little bit closer in the market for Epsom to Australia than he actually is so I am hoping for a really impressive performance this afternoon. He is too short to back today but I will watch with interest.

Ok no more leaving the ball outside off stump and letting it go through to the keeper. Time to open the shoulders and hoick one over mid-wicket with a full on hip twist. The horse in question for the second maximum in 6 days is QUEST FOR MORE (7.00 Newm) for Roger Charlton and George Baker. A slow learner of his trade having only had 9 starts so far in his career. The well-bred son of Teofilo has improved for stepping up to a mile and a half. He was well backed for his re-appearance run at Windsor 4 weeks ago but everything went wrong. He got trapped on the rail and the race developed around him and he could only managed third and finished on the bridle. His mark remains at 80 which I think might drastically underestimate where he might be in a couple of months time and the Windsor run may have even brought him along a little too. Whilst I appreciate that there are other potential improvers in here too, I think we might be looking at a 90+ horse so he must be backed with full confidence today.

QUEST FOR MORE 5 PTS MAXIMUM BET @ 3/1

I will be backing a couple against the field at York in the 3.15 in the form of SPA’S DANCER and FORT BASTIAN. The former was actually seriously unlucky in the Spring Cup at Newbury having got stopped in the run a couple of times, he flew home to finish second to the highly touted Gabrial’s Kaka. His run went largely unnoticed as most of the attention was paid to the winner. Watch the video back and you will see what I mean. Whilst there is the argument that this will require a career best at seven years of age, he is a horse that has continued to improve throughout his career. Provided there is plenty of pace on he surely goes close. You should all know about FORT BASTIAN as we backed him when he won at Thirsk last time. He is just the type Ruth Carr does well with and is still well in on his old form.

SPA’S DANCER 2 pts WIN @ 6/1, FORT BASTIAN 1 PT WIN @ 13/2

TABREEK (6.25 Newmarket) really caught my eye on his debut in the Wood Ditton. He was as green as Wooders at the bar before the penny dropped all too late and he started to power up the hill late in the day! There is stamina in the pedigree and I would expect him to come on a bundle for that debut effort. I don’t’ normally deal in these sort of races but he looks worth a point.

TABREEK 1 PT WIN @ 4/1

I am really frustrated with SINAADI running in the Middleton at 2.15. As most of you know I have thought she is well handicapped off a mark of 78 and has races in her. She is 100/1 for this today and is going to get well out classed but at the same time she is going to blow her handicap mark if she runs anywhere near the principles. So frustrating!

To finish the card at York we have to have a good go on CALCULATED RISK (5.00 York). If you translate his hurdles form back to the flat then he is potentially thrown in of a mark in the mid 70’s and in all honesty he should have won on his re-appearance at Pontefract but for some bad luck in the run. This race might actually have been the original target all along and with Ian Brennan taking off an extra three pounds off bottom weight he must have a superb chance. Do keep an eye on SURAJ who is a very interesting yard switcher for Nicky Henderson who may well have plenty to give under Spencer.

CALCULATED RISK 3 PTS WIN @ 5/1, SURAJ 1 PT WIN @ 10/1

On the road upto Coral TV this morning for the racing action this afternoon!

Have a cracking day!

MG

Proform

Thunder sends shivers through the King…….

Proform

A thrilling 2000 Guineas was the highlight of the action on Saturday with 40/1 shot Night Of Thunder taking first prize despite drifting across half the track. The runners split into two groups which have led some reports to believe the race has thrown up an odd result, I personally don’t really buy into this. Kingman ran a blinder to finish 2nd. Probably in front early enough on the far side. Australia is now a short price favourite on the back of his 3rd for the Derby, which is good news as I will be keen to take him on at Epsom.

Today is the turn of the ladies in the 1000. As per usual my ante-post position on My Titania has gone with the wind! 17 fillies are set to go to post at 3.50 and I am really keen now on the chances of MISS FRANCE. Andre Fabre’s filly was most impressive when winning the Oh So Sharp back in September when winning with quite a bit in hand. She can be forgiven being beaten on her re-appearance as the race was a mess from the start. It will at the very least have put her cherry ripe for this afternoon.

A quick look back at some of the results yesterday. Absolutely So won really well as did Fort Bastian. Waseem Farris ran a blinder at a huge price and was actually maybe unfortunate not to win. Fingers crossed plenty of you backed them all.

Time for some Proform stats for trainers that have runners this afternoon:

Trainers win and place strike rate with more than 10 runners in the last 14 days:

A P O’Brien 68.18% (22 runners)

Ralph Beckett 61.54% (26 runners)

Saeed Bin Suroor 60% (10 runners)

John Bridger 53.85% (13 runners)

Michael Dods 52.38% (21 runners)

Clive Cox 52.38% (21 runners)

Andrew Balding 51.52% (33 Runners)

I should also note from these figures that Karl Burke currently has a 35.71% winning strike rate as 10 of his last 28 runners have won. He sends out Odeliz and Yeeoow today.

On to today’s eye catchers. First up we have ECONOMIC CRISIS (1.55 Ham) who has been in the book since an interesting run back in October.  He is now a well handicapped horse as he is 5lbs below his last winning mark. His two runs this year will have made him cherry ripe for this afternoon and he absolutely loves it here (all three career wins at Hamilton). He is as big as 8/1 in places in a race that looks very winnable indeed.

YEEOOW (3.10 Newmarket) looks to be coming to the boil really nicely and he is on a winning mark. The yard is absolutely bouncing as we have already mentioned sending out 10 winners from their last 28 runners. This is really competitive but it should be run to suit and if you shop around then you can get some 14/1 with the first five places being paid by some of the big firms if you like the each way angle. I would almost insist on a saver or maybe split stakes on NINJAGO in the same race. He was potentially unlucky not to have won a couple of big prizes last year and from a handicapping point of view is surely capable off 101. He goes very well fresh and Hughesy is up which is a positive. Play the two against the field at 14/1 and 11/1 respectively.

Longshot

Without doubt the horse on the day that is probably most over-priced is the Linda Perratt trained ROYAL STRAIGHT (4.10 Hamilton). The negatives are that he can take a run or two to get race ready some times and that he may well be better now over 10 furlongs but both of these negatives are out weighed by the price. He is a general 28/1 chance but there is much bigger available on Betfair. His last two wins were off marks of 64 and 67. Today Royal Straight will race off 63. He is very capable and if he is race fit he could just run a massive race at a big price. If today is not the day, keep an eye on him for next time.

The dilemma of what to do when three of your horses to follow all end up in the same race. Hamiton’s 4.45 has thrown up SIRVINO, O Ma Lad and Pixie Cut. Of the three (who I think will all win soon) I do favour Sirvino. He ran an absolute blinder at Musselburgh last time on a track that was suiting front-runners. He missed the break and had to come from a long way back. The 2lb rise will not stop him from winning. O Ma Lad was given a very interesting ride back on his re-appearance and I would expect him to go close too. I am also convinced that Pixie Cut is a well handicapped horse but she might struggle against the top two. I would strongly suggest backing Sirvino and O Ma Lad for a profit and have a saver on Pixie Cut.

I hope the above digs out the odd winner. Another day of cricket for me this afternoon. Should just leave on the note of how enjoyable beating Spurs three times in a season was. Epic. they spent 108 million pounds on new players. We bought a crocked number 9 who has played about 8 games……. funny old game eh? COYI

What a comeback too by the Boston Bruins last night in the 3rd period. Their skating speed and fore-check late in the game has really set the tone for the rest of the series.

Enjoy today,

All the best

MG

Saturday’s don’t come much better…..

Proform

If you are a fan of sport then weekends don’t really get much better than what the next 48 hours will throw up. A massive day for thousands of football fans who will be trawling the nation hoping for that vital win or draw that may secure promotion, the playoffs or to see off relegation. I must send a special note to all of my home town pals that have headed up to Forest today to cheer on the Albion. I give them a hard time but for the record, I hope the seagulls will fly today (and if Burnley aren’t too hungover maybe they could beat Reading too).

Racing for me though must take centre stage today with the first classic of the season the highlight as we get to see what could be the strongest renewal of the 2000 Guineas for several years. Without any financial ante-post involvement I thought it would just be a race to enjoy but I have to say that the 2/1 plus that you can get about Kingman this morning does look incredibly tempting. Whilst I respect the chances of several of his main rivals he is surely over priced. I’m hoping we may be treated to something special this afternoon. Whilst talking about the Guineas and being over priced, I do think that Outstrip will do just that to his price this afternoon. Yes he has plenty to find on paper but I’ve no doubt he will be better than what we have seen. My main worry with him is the yard form. They are just not firing yet. Still he should not be 28/1 and might shock a few each way.

OK time for some stats for the day from Proform. These are the trainers with runners today that have a win and place strike rate of over 50% that have had more than 10 runners in the last 14 days….

A P O’Brien 68.42% (19 runners)

Ralph Beckett 62.50% (24 runners)

William Haggas 61.11 (18 runners)

Michael Dods 60% (15 runners)

Nicky Henderson 57.14%   (28 runners)

Andrew Balding 56.25% (32 runners)

Clive Cox 55.56% (18 runners)

Dermot Weld 52.63% (19 runners)

The standout stat that today’s report offers is that William Haggas has sent out 18 runners in the last 14 days…… 9 of them have won. A 50% strike rate and a yard that are in scintillating form. Today he sends out Rock Choir (2.05), Ertijaal (3.50), Mutakayyef (5.00), Yenhaab (5.35), Scrutiny (6.45).

The list of eye-catchers running today seems to be endless so we will spin through them quickly.

First up we have STAND MY GROUND (2.05 Newm) who was a real eye catcher on his re-appearance when traveling very well through the spring mile, just failing to get to Brae Hill. He has gone up 5lbs for that effort but that potentially still leaves him on a nice mark for this and the 16/1 is much too big imo. He stayed this trip well in France and Jamie Spencer takes over in the saddle. In the same race I am excited to see BIG BAZ on turf. He is, I am sure, well treated off 85 and may well improve for the switch to turf. I would be luke warm on both of their chances this afternoon.

ZEYRAN (2.25 Thirsk) has always been well-regarded and would have gone close to winning on his first start for Hugo Palmer but for meeting interference on the run in. That form actually has a nice shape to it and I think he will be better than 82. He is a cracking each way bet at 6/1 with SportingBet. Crowleys Law has been very well backed at the head of the market.

ABSOLUTELY SO (2.55 Good) probably should have won 2 of his last 3 on the all-weather. He is nudged up another 3lbs this afternoon but there could be more progression on the turf and he is definitely interesting. In the same race JACK’S REVENGE is a victim of his own consistency as he continues to climb the ratings without winning. His effort in the Lincoln was eye-catching though and he could be ready to pounce. At 4/1 and 7/1 respectively I would take the two against the field.

WASEEM FARIS (3.30 Good) Should not have run last time having got loose on the way to the start. He is out of the weights this afternoon but with Daniel Cremin claiming 7lbs he will feel like he is running loose again this afternoon. The 12/1 about him is an insult to his actual chance. He is a 5/1 shot in my book.

The Thirsk Hunt Cup at 3.40 looks an absolute belter! There are two in here that I am very keen on and we will go two against the field. The first of them is NORSE BLUES who absolutely loves it around here. He would potentially need a career best to win this today but I think he is capable. His re-appearance run was really eye-catching and I am sure you will get a very solid run for your money. The second dart to throw comes in the form of FORT BASTIAN. Formerly with Richard Hannon the son of Lawman is potentially thrown in here off a mark of 91. Now with Ruth Carr this is just the type of horse she excels with. On his re-appearance run here he showed glimmers of returning to form. He was then given an interesting ride at Haydock next time. I think today has been the plan from the get go. They are 8/1 and 10/1 and should both be bang in the mix.

Excited to see BETWEEN WICKETS (4.40 Good) again after a really taking debut. He is odds on now so no sort of price, hope he wins well.

BUTE HALL (5.45 Donc) is edging up the weights but smacks me of a horse on the upgrade. Today’s step up in trip is an interesting move as he travels really well through his races. The market may have again underestimated his chance this afternoon and the 8/1 is worthy.

Not sure if today will be the day but HALF A BILLION (7.15 Donc) remains on the interesting list. The yard is also in very good form at the moment so he should be taken seriously at double figure odds this evening.

As you can see from the above it is likely to be a very busy day. Unfortunately for me I will be watching everything on catch up and the cricket pitch is calling. Hoping for a cracking day’s sport mind and fingers crossed the Guineas unearths another superstar too.

Two wins already so far this season for the hammers over the spuds. A home win today will put a small shine on what has been yet another tough season to be a die hard West Ham fan. Come on boys……give us those bragging rights! COYI

Enjoy a great day

MG

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