Thursdays Blog!

Proform

Apologies for the lack of bloggage over the last few days. My schedule at this time of year is hectic and I simply haven’t had the time! I am actually writing this on Wednesday night just before I hit the sack as I have such a busy day again tomorrow!

I will be up bright and early as I am off to Jamie Poulton’s yard down in Sussex to see our new colt that we have taken a healthy share in. He is by Sakhee and will be hopefully be making his racecourse debut in a couple of weeks time!

Last week was quite tough. We hit the crossbar several times and had plenty that ranpoorly. I suppose on the back of such a good run that was always likely to be the case. I liked two quite strongly today (weds) and they both won well. I didn’t have the time to write about them in the morning but those of you that tuned into Timeform Radio would have heard how strongly I liked them! Monel would surprisingly easily and he is also entered on Thursday. He will  be no sort of price now and the cat is out the bag.

There is a distinct lack of trainers being flagged up on the win and place strike rate hot list from Proform. They are as follows:

Amanda Perrett 66.67%

John Gosden 54.05%

Malcom Jefferson 50%

Highie Morrison 50%

I have always set the bar with this stat at a minimum of 8 or 10 runners in the previous 14 days. This largely ignores smaller yards that can be in form so I have run this separately of one or two trainers have caught my eye this week:

Ron Hodges 75% (4runners)

John Davies 66.67% (3 runners)

Lydia Richards 66.67% (3 runners)

Seamus Durack 66.67% (6 runners)

Ed De Giles 66.67% (3 runners)

Chris Down 66.67% (6 runners)

John Bridger 60%

I hope in one way or another these figures point you in the direction of a winner or two! If you haven’t had a chance to check out Proform yet then you must do so. It is an essential part of any professionals day to day punting now and you will see why once you scratch the surface. Click on the image at the top of the blog and it will link you directly to the website. Simon will be happy to answer any questions that you may have.

Ok on to today and a few that I actaully fancy quite strongly.

First up is BALLYBOUGH GORTA (4.50 Wetherby) who has been most progressive over the last few seasons when given good ground or faster and has climbed a good 56lbs in the weights as a result. Over the winter he has been highly tried in decent races (Sussex and Scottish Nationals) mostly in bad ground which he would have hated. Back on a decent surface today in the weakest race he has run in for a long time (down to class 3) he must have a great chance with the Bowen/Moore combination also firing on all cylinders recently. There are some double figure prices floating about tonight so he should be backed provided there is not too much overnight rain!

BALLYBOUGH GORTA 2 pts win @ 10/1

The first of my two very strong fancies is RUSSIAN REALM (3.50 Goodwood) who looks a pattern performer waiting to happen. He was beaten at Ascot on his re-appearance by the horse we backed that day (Ishikawa) and has been raised 3lbs for the privilege of being beaten. He travelled like the best horse in the race for a long way and if you could give Ryan the ride back again he might not have given the winner so much rope. The drop back a furlong should work the oracle here and I expect Ryan to be extra clinical here today on this beautifully bred colt.

RUSSIAN REALM 4 pts win @ 2/1 (BOG)

The other one on the day is PERFECT MUSE (5.35 Goodwood) who looks a really well handicapped filly to me. Adam Kirby had to get after her a bit earlier than he wanted on her re-appearance at Bath (when she was heavily punted) and she hit the front a bit earlier than I believe he wanted too and got swamped on the line when he thought he had the race in the bag. The extra furlong here should help her travel into the race kindly and if Ryan Tate times it well I fully expect her to win.

PERFECT MUSE 4 pts win @ 15/8 (BOG)

Neither of the two are big prices but I expect them all to run well so for extra interest we will play the following multiples too:

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse 2 pts win double

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse/Ballybough Borta 1 pt win trixie (4 pts)

I hope you all have a lovely day! And lets bag some winners!

All the best

MG

Proform

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Glorious, glorious Goodwood!

pro5

Morning! I’ll start with the usual apology for a lack of bloggage lately. The summer months really are so busy, up and down the country on a daily basis, I barely get time to think let alone write! The mid-summer drinking festivities also seem to be a barrier as well as getting the new business concept of the ground too. Thanks for everyone who is lending a hand, very exciting indeed. Check us out on Twitter @sportslineprods.

The racing has been kind the last month or so, on a very good mid summer run with the usual hard luck stories thrown in. Still I can’t complain, things are going well and I’m seeing the form nicely. Looking forward to Goodwood immensely this week although I am actually only going on Thursday and Friday as I’m working at Coral the early part of the week. Thursday is a racing day whereas Friday is an old re-union with pals that I generally fail to remember the next day.

The football season is just around the corner too but more importantly so is the NFL (37 days to be precise). Disappointed with West Ham’s transfer dealings so far. We need a solid back up to Carroll and a right back. Having spent a few hours scouring the markets last week and taking on some advice from our shrewd football gods I have done a few footy teasers to see me through the year. Backed Blackpool to go down in a double with Pompey to go up. Also backed Pompey outright, they have a small but strong squad and are assisted by the fact they have sold more season tickets than in previous years as they are now owned by the fans. Also had a muggy acca on Chelski, Reading/Watford and Pompey for interest.

As far as the NFL goes I was struggling to find any value anywhere! The outright market is so tight. Once again I will be playing on the back of weeks 1 and 2 as the market overreacts to early results. I will be writing a full season preview in a couple of weeks time!

Day one of GG. Proform brings us the following trainers with exceptional win and place strike rates in the last 14 days:

David Simcock 68.75%

J W Hills 64.71%

Jeremy Noseda 64.29%

James Tate 56.25%

Roger Charlton 52.94%

William Haggas 52.78%

Ian Willams, Elaine Burke and Jonjo O’Neil also all over 50%.

One or two of today’s handicaps are very difficult indeed. I have only backed two today and the first one is far from obvious. This would be the one that I jump and little wider on the crease and try to get to reverse into the batsmen (Jimmy Anderson is far better at this than me). It comes in the maiden at 4.15 in the form of FIFTYSHADESOFGREY. He is a lovely looking colt by Dark Angel that caught my eye on debut at Bath when the race was a huge learning experience. On the back of this he went on to run in the Windsor Castle at Ascot and the form book suggests he was a well beaten 13th. However if you watch the race back he actually shaped very nicely, travelling strongly away from a lot of the action before sticking on. Now he was only actually beaten 4.25 lengths and was only 2 lengths behind Sacha Park who is a very strong favourite in this at 13/8 whereas Fiftyshadesofgrey is 25/1? There is still plenty of improvement possible, the extra furlong could help also so the disparity between those prices is barmy. The rain could be a concern but the dam side of his pedigree (by a Kheleyf mare) handle soft conditions very well so I wouldn’t be too worried. All in all it is a bit of a flyer but he may run a big race at a big price so I’ve tucked in.

The Lennox Stakes (3.05) is an interesting renewal but I do think that Aljamaaheer has outstanding claims. He has some very solid form lines in the book behind the likes of Farrh and Declaration of War. He was a smooth winner of a group 2 last time and although he has the penalty to carry for that win he looks to me like a group 1 horse. He also acts well here which is a big plus. The rain has come for Garswood and he is still open to improvement at this level. It is good to see Caspar Netscher back on course too and he could go well fresh. Aljamaaheer for me though, very tough to beat.

Fennel Bay is a moody so and so but is a big price in the opener so thrown a couple of shillings in his direction and I’m hoping today is the day for MY SON MAX who has caught me eye on countless occasions. He is dropping rapidly in the weights and today Robert Tart takes off an extra 5lbs. He has a very light weight in the last at 5.25 and I’m on at 20/1 although I’ve also had a small bet on MATA HARI BLUE for Mick in that contest.

All in all very much looking forward to a cracking day. Must say a big happy birthday to BIggs. Shots on Friday!

Enjoy the day.

MG

@markagrantham

@sportslineprods

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