Who wants to be a millionaire?

Proform

Morning peeps. Very best of luck to you if you are having a go at the massive Scoop 6 today. At first glance I thought it wouldn’t be won. Then I thought about putting a syndicate together to have a real crack, then I thought it wouldn’t be won again. My first effort at a perm came to over £2,500 so I banged my head against the desk, trimmed it right down and put up a small play. If I’ve narrowed down all six winners, this may be the last time you read this blog!

I must give a huge shout to all the team at Sussex County Cricket Club. An enthralling finish to the first of the Natwest T20 blast games against Surrey last night saw the Sharks get 17 off the last over including 8 off the last two balls to secure victory. The place went mad and the shark tank was overflowing!

Such a busy day’s racing today, let’s look at some of the Proform stats for today.

These are trainer’s win& place strike rates with more than 10 runners over the past 14 days:

P J Prendergast 69.23% (13 runners)

Robert Cowell 64.71% (17 runners)

Amanda Perrett 57.14% (14 runners)

Warren Greatrex 54.55% (11 runners)

Dan Skelton 54.55% (11 runners)

David Pipe 54.17% (24 runners)

John Gosden 53.85% (39 runners)

Best winning strike rates go to David Pipe 37.5% and Warren Greatrex 36.36%

Such a difficult day today. Every race of the scoop 6 looks difficult. We do have one or two runners from the interesting list.

You are all well aware of me feelings about STOMP (3.30 Newmarket) who won really well for us just over a week ago on an epic afternoon. He is incredibly progressive and beat another very well handicapped rival last time so the 8lb rise is not too harsh and Joey Haynes claims 5lbs of that back. He can emulate his half-sister Mince on route to pattern company here.

STOMP 3 pts win @ 3/1

You would have seen me tweeting after AEOLUS (2.55 Newmarket) got beat last time in the Free Handicap after meeting trouble in running. His form at the back end of last year took a huge boost when Night Of Thunder won the Guineas and he looks a class act to me. If he’s come on for the run last time I would hope that he might be too good for these today.

AEOLUS 3 pts win @ 4/1

I am really looking forward to seeing TOKEN OF LOVE (5.00 Newbury) again this afternoon. She is a beautifully bred daughter of Cape Cross who was pretty green on debut but still managed to win with plenty in hand. She starts life in handicap company today off an opening mark of 77. She has a group 1 entry in the Coronation so she is clearly thought a lot off which means her opening mark today looks very attractive indeed. The 5/2 about her this morning looks very tempting!

TOKEN OF LOVE 4 pts win @ 5/2.

I have a couple to throw out the back of the hand at big prices for you today too. First up is GO GO GREEN (3.25 Thirsk) who I have had to put into my scoop 6 perm despite being 2lbs out of the handicap. He has won off much higher marks in the past so that is no worry and he has shaped like his turn is coming the last twice. He might be better at six furlongs these days but the nature of this race means they are going to go a frantic pace which should suit off bottom weight. Just a small dart at a big one.

GO GO GREEN 1 pts each way @ 25/1 with William Hill

The other big priced arrow to throw later on is PIXIE CUT (5.25 Doncaster). You should all remember my thoughts on her as she ran in the Sirvino race at Hamilton. I am sure she is well handicapped at the moment off 70. This is a weaker race than that and I would actually fancy her quite strong but for the fact that she is really badly drawn in 19. Hopefully the excellent Rob Fitz who is claiming 5lbs can just get her into an ok slot and she might well run a big race at 12/1.

PIXIE CUT 1 pt each way @ 12/1

Given the nature of the prices today I have played a couple of small multiples too.

STOMP, AEOLUS and TOKEN OF LOVE in a treble & trixie.

GO GO GREEN & PIXIE CUT each way double.

Enjoy the action today, really is something for everyone withe the FA CUP final clashing with the La Liga final games! Good luck to Chris and Martin at Wembley!

All the best,

MG

Proform

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Best week ever?

Proform

Morning everyone. What a fantastic week we had the last week. I think, without having done all the sums yet that we may have had somewhere in the region of 70 + points profit on the week. Here’s hoping for another one! Saturday was a shade disappointing after the carnage of Friday. Thought Hamelin was unlucky not to win at Ascot. I was counting the winning’s when Saigon City kicked clear two out, happy that Barren Brook our saver looked the only possible danger. When BB chinned him close home my initial reaction was annoyed…….until I saw the SP of 20/1. Thank the lord for best odds guaranteed! That was actually the better result of the two! Put a great end to a super week!

For a Monday it is quite busy on the racing front today. I am hosting Timeform Radio this afternoon so it is a busy day all round. Here are some Proform stats to get us underway!

Trainer form with entries today. Win and place strike rate with min 10 runners:

Robert Cowell 64.71% (17 runners)

Karl Burke 60% (25 Runners)

Amanda Perrett 60% (15 runners)

John Gosden 54.84% (31 runners)

Kim Bailey 52.94% (17 runners)

Robert Cowell’s horses have hit some form. He has one entry today, that is Moonspring (2.55 Ling)

Quite a few runners today off the interesting list without anything approaching a very strong bet. First up in the opening race on the card at Doncaster we have LIGHTENING SHOWER (1.40). The Marco Botti trained son of Mr Greeley is only rated 67 but has hinted on a couple of occasions that might underestimate him a little. Has has shaped well already this year in races that didn’t really pan out his way. This step up in trip looks like a sensible option (no real turn of foot) and the nature of this track should suit. I would be weary of a big run from Deep Resolve but he is worth a point.

LIGHTENING SHOWER 1 PT WIN @ 7/2.

BALLYSHONAGH (2.10 Doncaster) is also of interest now she moves into handicap company for the first time. She improved slightly with each run in maidens last year and is closely related to a couple of similar improvers. A rating of 64 means she might be well handicapped now she switches to the turf. She has a Timeform p next to her name and I would anticipate some rapid improvement this year for a yard that have started the season well.

BALLYSHONAGH 1 PT WIN @ 8/1.

FLY SOLO (3.40 Mussel) is a must bet today. Ran a blinder on his re-appearance trying to hunt down Brigadoon at Catterick when the winner just got first run. He is still well handicapped on his old form and has the assistance of Kieren Fallon today. Must have an excellent shout.

FLY SOLO 2 PTS WIN @ 11/4.

Those of you that follow the flat closely will know that David Lanigan likes to bring his youngsters on very much with the slowly slowly approach. He has SEQUESTER (4.05 Ling) going today into handicap company for the first time off a mark of 65. She showed plenty of promise on her debut on turf before disappointing on two efforts on the sand. She has had a break now of 187 days and if cherry ripe first time up, might prove to be well up to the task. This might actually be a good race for the grade as there are plenty of Timeform p’s on the card. I’m hoping she is ready and runs a big race. I will just throw STONEHAM in the mix. She will be a huge price but I’m fairly sure she is better than she has shown so far and will out run her odds.

SEQUESTER 2 PTS WIN @ 4/1, STONEHAM 0.5 PTS EACH WAY @ 25/1.

You will all remember PETERGATE (5.00 Doncaster) who ran a blinder for us at a massive price last time. I am sure he has got one of these races in him and because we have a short price favourite in here today he is going to be interesting again. William Buick has been booked for the ride which is a big positive and whilst I originally thought that a step up in trip might work, he shaped last time like a galloping seven furlongs would be ideal. He’s interesting.

PETERGATE 1 PT EACH WAY @ 14/1

I think out of all of the eye catchers on display today the best may have been kept until last. I really like the way that IRONDALE EXPRESS (5.35 Doncaster) shaped on her re-appearance at Redcar when getting hampered turning for home. She traveled strongly but didn’t see out the 10f trip. On my notes I wrote VERY INTERESTING IF DROPPED IN TRIP NEXT TIME. Needless to say she has been dropped to 7f with Paul Hanagan booked to ride. She has only had six starts, two of those in quite decent handicaps and I do feel there is plenty to work with. This is obviously quite a decent race for the grade with plenty of potential improvers and handicap debutants but that is factored into her price and she is definitely worth an each way stab.

IRONDALE EXPRESS 1.5PTS EACH WAY @ 16/1

Not the easiest of days punting in store but hopefully we can manage to eek out a few points profit on the day. I’ll be on air on Timeform Radio from about 1.30 this afternoon. Hope you can join in the show in some way.

Have a good afternoon!

All the best

MG

Proform

Big Saturday Racing Blog

Proform

It doesn’t matter what your favourite racing blend is on days like today. We have top flat and jumps action as well as the introduction to the new all-weather racing championships at Wolverhampton this evening. If you’re in the area, get yourself along to Dunstall Park. It’s just £10 entry tonight and there is some quality all-weather action http://www.wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk/horse-racing/fixturedetails/281

Whilst there is some cracking action across the cards today, as per usual my Proform racing horse watcher is alight with runners on the slightly lower graded stuff and I think we may well have found a few decent opportunities. Having said that I do like the look of Edgardo Sol in the Old Roan Chase (3.05 Aintree). He is 2-2 at the track and has far fewer miles on the clock than his rivals this afternoon and is surely overpriced at a general 13/2. I also think that Lamb Or Cod has an excellent chance in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow (4.10). He won this race last year off 6lbs lower before struggling on a couple of occasions when things just didn’t fall right (struck into on second occasion). Off since January he could be a bit better than a 130 animal and the 9/1 available is tasty (of the Nandos variety).

On to the main selections of the day. We’ll go in time order rather than strength of fancy.

4.25 Doncaster crownhotel-bawtry.com Nursery Handicap (CLASS 3)

I will be playing two against the field in on paper what looks an open race. The first is MALACHIM MIST who brings a strong piece of form into this race having been a good third last time at Nottingham. The first two in that race in my opinion are clearly group horses in the making and MM did well to finish nicely clear of the rest in third. Dropped another couple of pounds and given the services of Richard Hughes today he is of major interest at 8/1 (StanJames). I will also be having a saver on ARROWZONE. A horse that has been badly campaigned this year. On the back of his three maiden efforts he was given an opening mark of 55. A mark that was a long way under his ability. Had he been held back for nurseries he would have run up a sequence. As it turns out he was kept to maiden company next time and his mark shot up. He is not handicapped out of this though and I like the race he went close in last time at Catterick. He is a battler and is not an 11/1 chance in my book.

5.10 Newbury – Free Bets freebets.co.uk Handicap (For Lady Amateur Riders) (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

An end of season googly for you in the form of SIR BOSS. He caught the eye at Wolverhampton last time when traveling strongly and not getting the best of runs. He gets in here off top weight and is on a winning mark. Whilst it is a lady riders race stakes should be kept to a minimum but the 22/1 (30’s on Betfair) is much too big and I expect you will get a good run for your money.

5.30 Doncaster – Universal Recycling Apprentice Handicap (CLASS 4) (3yo 0-85)

Very very keen on the chances of GLANELY today. He was given a very interesting ride at Kempton last time in a race that didn’t really suit, staying on late in the day when the race had gone. Everything seems in his favour today, the trip, the track and conditions are all likely to play to his strengths and with Lewis Walsh claiming 5lbs he is very interesting indeed. The son of Exceed and Excel has only had 6 starts and I expect him to be much better than a 78 animal in time. Absolute knocking bet at 9/2.

7.15 Wolverhampton – Coral Mobile “Just Three Clicks To Bet” Handicap (CLASS 6) (3yo 0-65)

Another one from out the back of the hand tonight that just strikes me as being overpriced. The race will be made by the favourite (Mystery Drama) who bolted up last time at Southwell but I like the chances of OUR GOLDEN GIRL who has improved for the application of blinkers the last twice. She races a little bit lazy but she does stick to her task nicely and with the way the track has been running the last few nights I just get the feeling that it will suit her this evening. Robert Tart keeps the ride and she is bred to be better than a 55 beast (Dutch Art/ Pivotal Mare). 9/1 is a fair price and I think she is very likely to out run those odds.

8.15 Wolverhampton – 32Red.com Nursery Handicap (CLASS 2) (2yo)

I doubt that today is the day for MONEY TEAM but I couldn’t let this go without at least a mention. The sn of Kodiac was claimed out of Bill Turners after dotting up earlier in the summer. He was given an alarming ride at Pontefract last time which got the button pressing twitchy. Down another pound I am sure that he is being set up for a punt but there hasn’t been a penny about today. I will watch with major interest today and if there is any blue on Oddschecker I will be pleased.

8.45 Wolverhampton – 32Red On The App Store Fillies´ Handicap (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-75)

One of the most interesting horses on the whole day goes in the very last contest of the day in the form of IT’S MY TIME. Richard Fahey’s runner caught the eye last time on the back of a break in behind Tatting who was in the form of his life at the time. He is only 4lbs higher than winning at Chester earlier on in the season and the Fahey team have hit a rich vein of form in the last week or so. I think he is very interesting indeed in the lucky last and is ready available in double figures. Cracking each way value.

I hope we have managed to find you one or two bets to get your teeth into today. Enjoy what is going to be a great day!

All the best

MG

Proform

 

Happy Easter! Saturday 30th March Racing!

pro5

A very good morning/afternoon/evening depending on what time you are casting your eyes on today’s ramblings. I hope you are all well and have lots of festivities planned for the weekend. Mine unfortunately will not include any chocolate (well I’ll try) and although I am due to be attending a big night out on Saturday I doubt it will include any alcohol either. Training is still going well, I’ve just had to change things up a little in the last week or so as my weight had plateaued somewhat. Still being incredibly good all round bout I’d only lost 2lbs in the last 3 weeks so a change is required.

A must give a quick mention to Miako who ran really flat on Wednesday. Luke Morris rode him as midge was banned. He is gonna have a month off now and we will look at possible future plans then. There are not many opportunities at Southwell now for him really until the winter so we may give him a go on turf to see how he does.

As we have a day of no racing today I thought I would really get stuck into the card at Doncaster and see if I can find any gems. I’ve just done the usual browsing through the Proform stats for the last two weeks and there are one or two eye catchers.

Trainers win and place strike rates over the last 14 days….

John Gosden 100%

Hans Adielsson 80%

Marco Botti 70%

Richard Fahey 64.71%

Richard Hannon 62.50%

Steve Gollings, Alan Swinbank, Ed Vaughan all 60%

Doncaster 1.20 6f Class 2 William Hill-No 1 Downloaded Betting App Handicap (4yo plus)

A devilishly difficult start to the day at Doncaster. The last 8 running’s of this contest have seen winning SP’s of 33/1, 40/1, 16/1, 16/1 and 66/1, so whatever you find don’t let a price put you off. Fitness will have to be taken on trust as only Thunderball has run within the last 50 days. King of Jazz for Michael Bell is likely to head the betting as he is starting to look attractively handicapped but he hasn’t won since his maiden which is off-putting. Darren Egan will take off a handy 3lbs mind. By far the most interesting one from a handicapping point fo view is David Barron’s COLONEL MAK. He’s on a good mark on some of his old form and with trip and ground ideal the 5lb claim of Luke Mcniff makes him of real interest if he could return to something like his best. You cannot ignore the claims of Richard Fahey’s runners in these early season contests and both FARLOW and ALEJANDRO make some appeal. The former is likely to be towards the head of the betting and the lightly raced five-year old is only a pound higher than his last win. Most of his best form however does come on a firmer surface which would be a slight concern, but if he handles it, he should go close. Jamaican Bolt was progressive last year and bumped into a bang in from Jack Dexter when second on his last start here in October. The ground will hold no fears at all. All his best form is over five so this might stretch him a little but the yards horses are generally running well. There isn’t an awful lot of early speed in here which might play to the strengths of the consistent mare Spinatrix with Connor Beasley taking off 7lbs.

I’ll be backing Colonel Mak with savers on Farlow, Alejandro and Spinatrix on Betfair at inflated prices.

Doncaster 1.55 William Hill Spring Mile (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

A wide open Spring Mile with several potential improvers not least Educate and Nameitwhatyoulike. Dubai Hills has been winning off higher marks around Southwell and comes here in rude health. He does tend to save his best for the fibresand however. This is one fo the races that I like to look for some value and maybe play a few against the field. The first one that jumps off the page at me is PATRIOTIC. Chris Dwyers gelding will be largely ignored in the betting but there is reason to believe that he is a player. Firstly he is fit from the all-weather which includes a win two starts back off a mark of 77. His turf mark is lower than his all-weather mark and he gets in here off 74. The very talented Robert tart will take off a very valuable 5lbs too. His last visit to Doncaster resulted in a win over this course and distance and he has run well on soft ground in the past. The race hasn’t been priced up yet but he’s trading around 32’s on Betfair and I had him in at about 14/1 so that makes him of massive each way interest. I think Extraterrestrial is over priced, as is the race fit Docofthebay. From the front of the market GAUL WOOD makes most appeal. Lightly raced, he is ultra consistent and goes well fresh.

1.5 pts each way Patriotic 33/1, 1 pt win Gaul Wood. 0.5 pts win on Extraterrestrial and Docofthebay.

Doncaster 2.30 William Hill – New iPad App Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+)

An interesting renewal with one or two of last years most progressive sprinters. Humidor tends to do most of his winning over 5f and may want a better surface. Captain Ramius and Our Jonathon renew their rivalry and are sure to go well but clear preference is for Jack Dexter who improved leaps and bounds last year and looks set to continue that progress with conditions to suit.

Jack Dexter 1 pt win.

3.05 Doncaster William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

A fascinating renewal of the first big handicap of the season seven days later than expected. Captain Bertie has been very well backed to continue last years progression and the yard are going very well. I think he’s short enough but he does have a very high strike rate when the ground description includes soft or heavy. Strictly Silver comes here on the back of a deserved victory at Wolverhampton but isn’t sure to go on the ground. By far the most interesting one towards the head of the market for me is LAHAAG. Trip and ground are ideal and the yards horses are running very well indeed (100% win and place strike rate last 14 days). He was beaten by Chapter Seven when last seen at York but he was keen that day and is likely to be bigger and stronger this time around. I like him a lot and think he’ll take some beating. Of the others last years winner BRAE HILL will have very chance again off the same mark with conditions to suit. Chosen Character improved leaps and bounds last year and it will be interesting to see how he fares in this much tougher grade. The two at big prices that look over-priced are DUBAI DYNAMO and BANCNUANAHEIRANN. 65’s and 40’s on Betfair are prices that should be taken. DD always needs a couple of runs to put him right and is feasibly handicapped. Mick Aplleby’s runner was acquired from Jim Bolger last summer and ran some cracking races in defeat in big handicaps. The yard is going great runs at the moment and if he is cherry ripe Bancnuanaheirann could really out run his price.

Lahaag 3 pts win @ 8/1, Dubai Dynao and Bancnuanaheirann 1 pt each way @ 65’s and 40/1.

4.15 Doncaster Harriet Powell Handicap (Div I) (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-85)

Nice and straight forward here as I am really keen on the chances of EASTERN DESTINY who ran flat on her last start at the end of last season but has progressed nicely before that. If she’s cherry ripe I think she will go very close!

Eastern Destiny 1pt win.

Away from Doncaster I will be backing PEPITE ROSE over at Haydock (3.15) She still looks on a really attractive mark to me and would surely have won at Newbury last time when falling three out. A recovery mission today.

It is of course DUBAI WORLD CUP night aswell on Saturday and if you are a big fan of your international racing I recorded Timeform Radio’s Dubai World Cup International Racing Podcast alongside Stephen Molyneux which you can listen too via http://www.timeform.com/radio it can also be downloaded from the site and of course through itunes. Stephen had one or two strong fancies on the card and is well worth a listen.

The domestic football action is back and the hammers entertain West Brom at Upton Park tomorrow. Three points is a must to re-establish our mid table position.

Enjoy what is a craking weekend of sporting action.

Be lucky and back plenty of winners.

MG

Super Saturday 10th November!

I must say the biggest of apologies for the lack of content this week. It has just been the busiest of weeks and I haven’t had time to pee let alone get something down. The jumps season preview is work in progress. Hopefully finished by the weekend with my ten to follow. So much has been going on I don’t really know where to start.

As many of you are aware, with the recent punting success I’ve been badgered into providing my tips on a business basis so I haven’t been putting them up on here, for which I am greatly sorry. I know a few of you were having fun backing my selections! I’ll take this moment to bask in the glory of some of the last weeks highlights!

Really liked Aragorn Rouge at Wolverhampton that won easily, continued to smash the crossbar with big priced runners and places with Taro Tywod at 10/1, Pepite Rose at 9’s, Fonterutoli 2nd at 14/1 but also some lovely winners too. Tatting went in a 9/2 , Archie Stevens landed a right old touch on Thursday at 7/2 as did Layali Dubai on the same card. Then last night backed Diman Waters at 12/1 which trotted up as did Living Leader @ 7’s! So as you can see it has been going very well indeed. Hope the people on the tipping service are enjoying and winning loads. I am potentially looking for some people to help promote the business so if you know anyone that is into racing and knows how to manipulate social media etc then please do tell!!!!

If you are interested then drop me an email or message via Twitter @markagrantham. I don’t know if that is how it will stay as I enjoy writing about them on here but we will see. If the service doesn’t take off then I’ll start putting them back up.

November handicap takes centre stage today alongside the Badger Ales Trophy at Wincanton. I’m doing the racing shift on Coral Tv today so the day will fly by! How many jobs do you get where you can sit and watch/talk about your hobby all day? Love it.

Be lucky today whatever you are getting involved in

Posting will be daily once again from today!

MG