The 2015 Challenge & Saturday blog!

Proform

Morning all. Managed to witness Cambridge parking several double deckers in order to secure a 4th round replay at Old Trafford last night. Not the most riveting viewing for the neutral but a scoreline which means that Cambridge United’s financial future is pretty secure. Very much looking forward to our trip to Bristol City on Sunday, although far from impressed by the away allocation due to ground building works.

A couple of you have mentioned about me doing some sort of challenge on the racing front this year in order to keep the blog regular (sorry again), so I have come up with something to keep us all entertained whilst hopefully making you a few quid at the same time. So the challenge is set. The UK’s average salary in 2014 was £26,500. So, can we make the average UK salary in just under a year from backing horses? This is the challenge for the next 11.5 months and is set out below:

I will put up my daily selections on the blog and each horse will be backed on a points system from 1-5 pts depending on the strength of the bet. For the purposes of the challenge, we will bet at £100 a point. This means that on average in need to make 22.5 points profit per month. A sum I am confident we can nail. Keep an eye on the staking, sometimes there will be two against the field which for me is still a very profitable angle in certain races.

Now for the purposes of added incentive maybe if one of our friendly bookmaker representatives or indeed a few of them would like to take on the challenge, maybe we could agree to pay the profits at the end of the year to a few charities? The Injured Jockeys Fund, Racing Welfare & Heros? Maybe a few of you would like to offer even £1 a point or similar for the final points total in December? If anybody outside the bookmaking teams would like to donate then please do feel free to get in contact. My twitter is @markagrantham.

Please feel free to share this with anyone that maybe interested in the head to head and we will see if we can make some money for charity at the same time.

So there really is no time like the present…… let’s get this started!

A superb days racing today with trials day at Cheltenham plus Skybet Chase day at Doncaster. Most of my attention betting wise though will be centered around Lingfield.

First off in the 1.25 we have two interesting runners to concentrate on. Firstly SASKIA’S DREAM went into many notebooks at Chelmsford on the opening day when she stuck to the far rail when most of the winners that day had come up the middle of the track. The negative is she doesn’t win very often but having said that her last win came off 61 and she’s in here off 57 so from a handicapping point of view there is a lot to like. She’s only got 8-13 to carry off bottom weight and is of major interest. The other one in the race that is really interesting is HUMOUR. Looked all over the winner at Wolverhampton last time and traded very short in the run before getting collared on the line by an in-form rival. This drop back to sprinting might just be ideal and should be backed.

SASKIA’S DREAM 1 pt win  @ 11/1 generally, Humour 1 pt win @ 12/1 generally.

Jump to the last race of the day (4.20 Lingfield) and I’m keen on the chances of KODIAC LADY. She hinted on handicap debut last time that a mark of 60 is going to be well within her compass. There is not a load of pace in the race today with several stalkers that will be held up. With Luke Morris up I expect him to just sit in behind the pace and look to make good use of her off the bend. She looks to be overpriced to me at around 8/1.

KODIAC LADY 1 pt each way @ 8/1.

A cracking days racing at Cheltenham today but I failed to feel overly strongly about anything. Really looking forward to seeing Peace and Co again. I know he ran big on all the figures at Doncaster but the thing that lit my fire the most was his hurdling. It was electric. He reminded me of a young Harchibald on how slick he was from one side to the other. I hope he wins really well today.

Enjoy,

All the best

MG

Proform

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Wednesday Blog: Crossbar is in pieces…..

Proform

Morning campers. Well yesterday left me feeling like ten rounds with Mr Tyson. Dream Child drifted like a barge on Betfair and was around 8/1 at the off then duly won on the bridle like the well handicapped horse I expected. Anton Chigurgh got smashed all the way down to 11/8 but again there was absolutely no pace on which has cost him as Danny Brock used up loads of petrol to get to the front. Game over. Then Logan’s Lad after being smashed to pieces in the betting again ran a blinder, but was trapped six wide the whole way round and actually went via Milton Keynes to try to win. That effort can firmly be marked up and he is very capable off his new mark. You have to love the game when getting so much right, yet you’re still wrong!

On to today’s action and we have just one runner from the eye-catchers today. A horse that won really well for me last time at Sandown in the form of ONLY TEN PER CENT (5.20 Nottingham). He has taken full advantage of his lower turf mark in recent weeks with two wins from the last three starts. It was the Sandown victory last time that was most pleasing as he actually did it like a horse that is potentially capable of better still. One thing I love in sprinters in form and although he is up 5lbs, this race is no stronger that the Sandown one so I feel he has another good shout today. The early market has spoken in the favour of several others which means he is available to back at 11/1 in most places. Great chance.

1 pt each way at 11/1 generally.

PHILBA – 3.10 Nottingham. Mick Appleby’s son of Cockney Rebel could not have been anymore eye-catching if he tried last time at Sandown. He will relish this step up in trip on handicap debut and in a moderate race I expect him to win well!

4 pts win @ 7/4 generally

BASEM – 3.55 Salisbury. Brother to Farhh that still looks very well treated off 95 now stepping up in trip. He has been well backed but I expect him to win so I will have a few shillings on but the main choice is to double him up with PHILBA.

PHILBA/BASEM 3 pts win double that should pay around 6/1.

Enjoy the day today. All work and no play for me!

MG

Proform

Tuesday Blog: Maximum bet time???

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Morning everyone. A really nice and quiet few days and not too much to report. The racing today see’s the turn in the tide really as we start to head towards the jumps season. I have managed to find a couple on the card tonight though at Wolverhampton and it is time to open up the shoulders with these….

ANTON CHIGURGH 7.20 Wolverhampton went firmly into the notebook after a solid effort two runs back at Kempton over a mile. They went absolutely no pace that day and as a hold up horse running over a trip which was a bare minimum these days he did well to get within four lengths. Ran in the Silver Cambridgeshire last week but that just didn’t suit. The son of Oasis Dream’s highest rating was 92 and he gets in here off just 74 so he is undoubtedly well handicapped. This is only his 4th start for Philip McBride and with the extra 141 yards to help back on the all-weather tonight, I think he is an absolute must bet.

5 PTS MAXIMUM BET @ 5/2.

DREAM CHILD 6.20 Wolverhampton will also be backed. Three starts in maidens and all fair efforts without setting the world alight. This gives her an opening mark of 75 which looks very workable. The two horses she was behind at Lingfield last time have both won since and are now rated 92 & 85. She was still green last time and has been given three months break. The yard is going well and her two main rivals here (Modernism & Mazaaher) whilst both capable, are also quirky in their own way. She is 3/1 with StanJames and I think she should be favourite with the prospect of plenty more to come with the yard going well.

2 pts win @ 3/1 with StanJames

LOGANS LAD 8.20 Wolverhampton is the last one of the three and is worth a small investment. Put a line through the Redcar run last time and you have a progressive lightly raced four-year old who seems to thrive on the all-weather. Only 3lbs higher than putting up a career best effort back here a month ago and with very similar conditions again tonight I can see him going very close indeed.

1 pt win @ 7/1 with Ladbrokes

All three of the above carry great chances so I would not put you off places them into multiples if you are looking for the bumper payout!

Be lucky!

All the best

MG

Proform

Saturday Blog: Cambridgeshire Day!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Apologies for the shorter nature of today’s blog. I’m on wedding duty so time is tight!

The Cambridgeshire looks a typically difficult puzzle to solve. I have to air on the side of boring and say that I do really like the chances of the morning favourite CORNROW. With the prep run over seven furlongs last time being on the short side of what he wants, I think this has probably been the plan all along. I can see him running a very big race and in a race where you can get six or even seven places with some special offers he is a must back each way.

2 pts e/w with SKYBET @ 13/2 paying 6 places

INSTANT ATTRACTION 8.30 Wolverhampton

He has been on the watch list since his reappearance back in April and won well for me last time out when appreciating the switch to this surface. Only a 5lb rise today and I think there is every reason to believe there could be plenty more to come. He is the best bet of the day for me.

2 pts win @ 11/2 generally.

SURETY – 2.30 Chester

A strong traveller who has not quite been getting home over a mile recently and I have been hoping for a drop back in trip. Gets it today and is well drawn in stall four off bottom weight. I think he is really interesting!

1 pt each way at 12/1.

Again apologies for the short nature of today. Off to see Biggs tie the knot whilst trying to listen to the game at Old Trafford! COYI

All the best

MG

Proform

Summer is gone and we are raring to go!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Well here we are again. For the first time in a long time today the heating very briefly went on, only to trip all the electricity in the house and then pack up altogether! This means summer is officially over! Whilst most of you will be rejoicing and thinking of long winter nights, strictly come dancing and X-factor leading up until Christmas……us normal folk are dreaming of sub-zero temperatures at Wolverhampton and Kempton on the all-weather.

The summer months have gone quicker than ever this year. Another disappointing season for Sussex CCC in all forms of the game. Although bizarrely if they win their Championship game this week they could end up finishing second having been embroiled in a relegation battle for the last couple of months. I must send my congratulations to Yorkshire on a fine display all season on route to winning the County Championship for the 31st time. They have been the best side throughout the summer and fully deserve their title.

Bitter sweet season for my old home county Warwickshire. Winners of the Natwest T20 Blast but falling at the very final hurdle in the final of the Royal London Cup at Lords at the weekend. Well done to Durham; winning a tense low scoring affair. I still struggle to see the value of a final in late September in front of a half empty stadium. This probably needs looking at. My own season was curtailed by a bad knee injury the very first week meaning that I spent the rest of the season just playing as a batsmen. Standing at first slip is very frustrating when you are a bowler! Still I managed a couple of tons and about 750 runs on the season so there is life in the old dog yet. One more year Mark……(maybe).

On the football front I am a reasonably happy hammer at the moment. It has been a positive start to the season, capped off with a great win over Liverpool at the weekend. The disappointment of the two home defeats against Spurs and Southampton leaves me feeling like it could have been so much better. We have made some very shrewd off-season signings though and the future is looking much brighter as we get our teeth into our penultimate season at Upton Park. How weird is that going to be…….. Enner Valencia looks the real deal. His work rate has been exceptional too. My main ante-post involvement was to back Eastleigh each way in the conference on the say so of the shrewdie Mr Bucs. 19 points in the satchel from the first 11 games is a good return. They are bang in the mix for the each way return but Barnet and Torquay are potentially on another planet. I also backed Donny and Barnsley both to suffer another relegation from League 1. They have both made average starts and are just hovering above the bottom four.

As far as all the summer of racing goes it has been enjoyable if not long. I am fully ready now for a slow down in pace as I concentrate on the all-weather for the winter and the best quality jumps racing. News has come through this evening that Kingman has been retired to Banstead Manor Stud as his throat infection will take some time to heal. Another champion comes and goes. A real shame that we won’t get to see him on Champions Day at Ascot. I still remember clearly the reaction post-race after he won his maiden and the clambering for prices for the following seasons classics. Let’s all hope and pray that he becomes a champion sire too.

Punting Highs and Lows

People often ask me what is the most important tool you use when it comes to racing and my answer has pretty much always been the same. My eyes. 99% of people who bet on horse racing will pick up the Racing Post (or stare at it in the bookies) and read the spotlight and horse notes in an almost lemming like fashion. There are 1% that look at racing differently. Pleased to say I know quite a few of them. We all have our own techniques and that really is the beauty of the game. My game relies about 85% on what I see on the videos. The other 15% then helps equate what have seen on the tapes to turn into the analysis for which ones I want to be with and against next time. Just try it…….watch a seven race card with the sound down. Watch each race 2,3 or 4 times. See what catches your eye. You will probably be amazed at the little things you notice.

As for the highs and lows of the summer. Well I’ll start with Taghrooda who was a great winner for loads of us in the Oaks at Epsom. I cannot take any of the credit for it though as I was firmly pointed in her direction by several of the lads at Timeform in the Ante-post market. That was a good day! The best single day of the year was Wednesday the 6th of August when I had the luxury of a summer’s day off! I took the privilege of attending the first day of Brighton’s three-day August festival and managed to go through the card. Funnily enough I don’t remember much about the evening, although the hog roast was superb. Two days before the Derby I got shot at on an email by a Timeform Radio listener for saying that I thought Romsdal was a cracking bet in the place market when there was some 7/1 available. Funnily enough I never heard anything from him afterwards? Arab Springs win at Royal Ascot was a joy too! I suppose  I should also give a mention to the day earlier in the year when  Flow, Stomp and Knight Owl all won and I advised putting them into multiples. Plenty of you won a fortune that day which was rewarding. I should give a mention to Seamster too who is welcome to come round and have some hay at mine anytime!

Downs? Well Choisan getting chinned on the line having backed him at 25/1 at Ayr last week was no fun. Tatting finished 2nd at 20/1 on June 15th. I backed Bow Creek in the Britannia at 33/1 who finished……yes second. There were a few others but for my own safety I should probably stop there. I still cannot quite get my head around each way betting. Everybody seems to have a different view on it too. I’m still not quite sure how Big Baz has managed to get beat on his last two starts either. The bank manager surely isn’t impressed.

Pleased that Mick Appleby is having another good year. Danzeno will surely be a group one sprinter sooner rather than later. Actually his handicap win off 90 at Newmarket in April definitely should be in the best wins category. The shouts of “how far” were out at about half way!

Moving forward I’m pleased to say that I will now have the time to put the blog up again over the winter months. Apologies to those of you that were regular readers earlier in the year. The schedule just gets a bit too hectic for me to be able to commit enough time to studying and writing about the racing. Although I would love to be able to do this all year round so if you know of anyone that would like to sponsor the blog then please do feel free to get in touch! This is something that actually really interests me quite a bit so if you are or know of anybody that is looking for sponsorship opportunities then I’d love to hear from you.

My first full blog will be back on either Wednesday or Thursday of this week. I will keep you updated. Please do spread the word and I hope you enjoy reading for the rest of 2014. Hopefully we can put plenty of money in the coffers for a bloody good Christmas. Goose fat roast potatoes, cold meats and pickles are but a few cold days at Southwell away!

Great to be back

If you’d like to get in touch then feel free to email me at markgrantham78@gmail.com

All the best,

MG

Proform

Thursdays Blog!

Proform

Apologies for the lack of bloggage over the last few days. My schedule at this time of year is hectic and I simply haven’t had the time! I am actually writing this on Wednesday night just before I hit the sack as I have such a busy day again tomorrow!

I will be up bright and early as I am off to Jamie Poulton’s yard down in Sussex to see our new colt that we have taken a healthy share in. He is by Sakhee and will be hopefully be making his racecourse debut in a couple of weeks time!

Last week was quite tough. We hit the crossbar several times and had plenty that ranpoorly. I suppose on the back of such a good run that was always likely to be the case. I liked two quite strongly today (weds) and they both won well. I didn’t have the time to write about them in the morning but those of you that tuned into Timeform Radio would have heard how strongly I liked them! Monel would surprisingly easily and he is also entered on Thursday. He will  be no sort of price now and the cat is out the bag.

There is a distinct lack of trainers being flagged up on the win and place strike rate hot list from Proform. They are as follows:

Amanda Perrett 66.67%

John Gosden 54.05%

Malcom Jefferson 50%

Highie Morrison 50%

I have always set the bar with this stat at a minimum of 8 or 10 runners in the previous 14 days. This largely ignores smaller yards that can be in form so I have run this separately of one or two trainers have caught my eye this week:

Ron Hodges 75% (4runners)

John Davies 66.67% (3 runners)

Lydia Richards 66.67% (3 runners)

Seamus Durack 66.67% (6 runners)

Ed De Giles 66.67% (3 runners)

Chris Down 66.67% (6 runners)

John Bridger 60%

I hope in one way or another these figures point you in the direction of a winner or two! If you haven’t had a chance to check out Proform yet then you must do so. It is an essential part of any professionals day to day punting now and you will see why once you scratch the surface. Click on the image at the top of the blog and it will link you directly to the website. Simon will be happy to answer any questions that you may have.

Ok on to today and a few that I actaully fancy quite strongly.

First up is BALLYBOUGH GORTA (4.50 Wetherby) who has been most progressive over the last few seasons when given good ground or faster and has climbed a good 56lbs in the weights as a result. Over the winter he has been highly tried in decent races (Sussex and Scottish Nationals) mostly in bad ground which he would have hated. Back on a decent surface today in the weakest race he has run in for a long time (down to class 3) he must have a great chance with the Bowen/Moore combination also firing on all cylinders recently. There are some double figure prices floating about tonight so he should be backed provided there is not too much overnight rain!

BALLYBOUGH GORTA 2 pts win @ 10/1

The first of my two very strong fancies is RUSSIAN REALM (3.50 Goodwood) who looks a pattern performer waiting to happen. He was beaten at Ascot on his re-appearance by the horse we backed that day (Ishikawa) and has been raised 3lbs for the privilege of being beaten. He travelled like the best horse in the race for a long way and if you could give Ryan the ride back again he might not have given the winner so much rope. The drop back a furlong should work the oracle here and I expect Ryan to be extra clinical here today on this beautifully bred colt.

RUSSIAN REALM 4 pts win @ 2/1 (BOG)

The other one on the day is PERFECT MUSE (5.35 Goodwood) who looks a really well handicapped filly to me. Adam Kirby had to get after her a bit earlier than he wanted on her re-appearance at Bath (when she was heavily punted) and she hit the front a bit earlier than I believe he wanted too and got swamped on the line when he thought he had the race in the bag. The extra furlong here should help her travel into the race kindly and if Ryan Tate times it well I fully expect her to win.

PERFECT MUSE 4 pts win @ 15/8 (BOG)

Neither of the two are big prices but I expect them all to run well so for extra interest we will play the following multiples too:

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse 2 pts win double

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse/Ballybough Borta 1 pt win trixie (4 pts)

I hope you all have a lovely day! And lets bag some winners!

All the best

MG

Proform

Who wants to be a millionaire?

Proform

Morning peeps. Very best of luck to you if you are having a go at the massive Scoop 6 today. At first glance I thought it wouldn’t be won. Then I thought about putting a syndicate together to have a real crack, then I thought it wouldn’t be won again. My first effort at a perm came to over £2,500 so I banged my head against the desk, trimmed it right down and put up a small play. If I’ve narrowed down all six winners, this may be the last time you read this blog!

I must give a huge shout to all the team at Sussex County Cricket Club. An enthralling finish to the first of the Natwest T20 blast games against Surrey last night saw the Sharks get 17 off the last over including 8 off the last two balls to secure victory. The place went mad and the shark tank was overflowing!

Such a busy day’s racing today, let’s look at some of the Proform stats for today.

These are trainer’s win& place strike rates with more than 10 runners over the past 14 days:

P J Prendergast 69.23% (13 runners)

Robert Cowell 64.71% (17 runners)

Amanda Perrett 57.14% (14 runners)

Warren Greatrex 54.55% (11 runners)

Dan Skelton 54.55% (11 runners)

David Pipe 54.17% (24 runners)

John Gosden 53.85% (39 runners)

Best winning strike rates go to David Pipe 37.5% and Warren Greatrex 36.36%

Such a difficult day today. Every race of the scoop 6 looks difficult. We do have one or two runners from the interesting list.

You are all well aware of me feelings about STOMP (3.30 Newmarket) who won really well for us just over a week ago on an epic afternoon. He is incredibly progressive and beat another very well handicapped rival last time so the 8lb rise is not too harsh and Joey Haynes claims 5lbs of that back. He can emulate his half-sister Mince on route to pattern company here.

STOMP 3 pts win @ 3/1

You would have seen me tweeting after AEOLUS (2.55 Newmarket) got beat last time in the Free Handicap after meeting trouble in running. His form at the back end of last year took a huge boost when Night Of Thunder won the Guineas and he looks a class act to me. If he’s come on for the run last time I would hope that he might be too good for these today.

AEOLUS 3 pts win @ 4/1

I am really looking forward to seeing TOKEN OF LOVE (5.00 Newbury) again this afternoon. She is a beautifully bred daughter of Cape Cross who was pretty green on debut but still managed to win with plenty in hand. She starts life in handicap company today off an opening mark of 77. She has a group 1 entry in the Coronation so she is clearly thought a lot off which means her opening mark today looks very attractive indeed. The 5/2 about her this morning looks very tempting!

TOKEN OF LOVE 4 pts win @ 5/2.

I have a couple to throw out the back of the hand at big prices for you today too. First up is GO GO GREEN (3.25 Thirsk) who I have had to put into my scoop 6 perm despite being 2lbs out of the handicap. He has won off much higher marks in the past so that is no worry and he has shaped like his turn is coming the last twice. He might be better at six furlongs these days but the nature of this race means they are going to go a frantic pace which should suit off bottom weight. Just a small dart at a big one.

GO GO GREEN 1 pts each way @ 25/1 with William Hill

The other big priced arrow to throw later on is PIXIE CUT (5.25 Doncaster). You should all remember my thoughts on her as she ran in the Sirvino race at Hamilton. I am sure she is well handicapped at the moment off 70. This is a weaker race than that and I would actually fancy her quite strong but for the fact that she is really badly drawn in 19. Hopefully the excellent Rob Fitz who is claiming 5lbs can just get her into an ok slot and she might well run a big race at 12/1.

PIXIE CUT 1 pt each way @ 12/1

Given the nature of the prices today I have played a couple of small multiples too.

STOMP, AEOLUS and TOKEN OF LOVE in a treble & trixie.

GO GO GREEN & PIXIE CUT each way double.

Enjoy the action today, really is something for everyone withe the FA CUP final clashing with the La Liga final games! Good luck to Chris and Martin at Wembley!

All the best,

MG

Proform

Friday blog…T20 is here!

Proform

Apologies. Today’s blog will be very brief indeed as I have a ridiculously busy day. Working Coral TV in the morning before dashing down south to host the opening T20 of the season at Hove as Sussex take on Surrey in front of a sell out!

I can’t even believe to tell you how frustrating Thursday’s maximum bet was. We were miles ahead of the market. Backed form all rates of 7/2 into 11/8 only for the truck to get stuck in traffic and didn’t make it to the track. Our cover has been blown for next time. Bugger.

Tabreek was really well backed and won well. The step up in trip did the trick. Still not sure how Fort Bastian didn’t win…….

On to Friday’s action then and not an awful lot to report in terms of eye catchers.

The 3.50 at York is a race to savor with a host of progressive sprinters. Plenty of winners will come out of this race. I like 6 or 7 of them quite a lot so this will be a race for the video boys.

First bet of the day comes over at Newmarket (4.00) when I will be playing two against the field. First up is BIG BAZ who created a really nice impression when sprinting clear on debut at Lingfield back in December. He hasn’t been as impressive since but did shape really nicely in a very competitive class 2 handicap last time. He got messed about and trapped on heels as they quickened and his jockey quickly saved him for another day. I think he is potentially well handicapped off 84 and should be backed accordingly. I will be having a money back saver in the race on GONE DUTCH who shaped like a middle distance horse to follow this season on his re-appearance.

BIG BAZ – 2 pts win @ 8/1, GONE DUTCH 1 pt win @ 3/1

The second bet of the day is SELLINGALLTHETIME (5.00 York) for Mick Appleby and Andrew Mullen who have already been in winning form this week on the Knavesmire. I am convinced that the son of Tamayuz is well handicapped off a mark of 66 and squeezes in here off just 8 stone 7. The track at Beverley last time would not have suited as he tried to come from off the pace and was forced to switch late on. Conditions here should suit and he could end up being some value as there are a lot of potential improvers in here. He is as big as 20/1 in places and should be backed each way.

SELLINGALLTHETIME 1 pt each way @ 20/1

Enjoy the action and the weather! If you’re at the game tonight, come and say hello!

All the best

MG

Proform

The big Saturday blog…..

Proform

Morning campers. I theory I should have a banging headache and a stinking hangover this morning after yesterday’s heroics. Luckily With two full days of cricket this weekend I managed to fend off the urge for big celebrations and kept it low-key, so I’m nice and fresh.

Thank you for all the lovely messages and texts etc about yesterday. It makes the effort of writing a blog more than worthwhile. The three main bets of the day all in the end won with some considerable ease. There was never too much worry at all. STOMP as expected is well ahead of the handicapper and was given a lovely patient ride by George Baker. He  has given a very well handicapped horse a good beating and should be followed. KNIGHT OWL was always going to win. Tracking the front two he was always traveling strongly and won like a progressive horse and then ten minutes later FLOW landed the maximum bet in good style despite just getting tired close home. I hope plenty of you put them into some multiples! By the sounds of it, lots of you did! Great work!

Here are today’s trainer stats courtesy of Profrom:

Trainer form with entries today. Win and place strike rate with min 10 runners:

Ger Lyons 75% (16 runners)

Karl Burke 66.67% (27 runners)

Dermot Weld 59.09% (22 runners)

Robert Cowell 56.25% (16 runners)

Ralph Beckett 53.85% (26 runners)

Chris Gordon 53.85% (13 runners)

Michael Dods 53.85% (13 runners)

Amanda Perrett 53.33% (15 runners)

Andrew Balding 53.19% (47 runners)

Kim Bailey 52.94% (17 runners)

Alan King 51.43% (35 runners)

Another really busy day today but nothing fancied as strong as we had yesterday. One or two pokes at big prices. We are well over 100 points up this month now though already so we can be afforded this luxury.

First up is HAMELIN (2.05 Ascot). A bit like Flow yesterday, he is a pattern performer waiting to happen. Just a 6lb rise for a ready win first time in a handicap at the back-end of last year. I expect him to win on his re-appearance.

HAMELIN 2 PTS WIN @ 11/4

I do really like the chances of SAIGON CITY (4.30 Nottingham). He is progressive and surely would have won last time had he had better luck/ if the track had suited. Big galloping track like this today should suit much more and I would expect him to go very close indeed on route to better things. If there is a lurker in this race it could be BARREN BROOK who is also on the interesting list. I will certainly be having a saver on him having shaped with interest on both his starts so far this year.

SAIGON CITY 3 PTS WIN @ 4/1, BARREN BROOK 1 PT SAVER @ 14/1

ANOTHER ROYAL (5.40 Thirsk)  is right at the top of my interesting list at the moment. He has been shaping like a punt is in order for some time. Interesting that he has been stepped up to a mile for the first time today which on his pedigree he is far from certain to get. He has though been shaping like he would appreciate it so it is probably worth a go. If the money comes then he would be very interesting. At about 17/2 he is worth a go today.

ANOTHER ROYAL 2 pts win @17/2

The last bet in a two against the field format is REAL TIGRESS (7.40 Thirsk) and SPACE WAR. We all know about Real Tigress. We have backed her for her last two victories and she hinted the other day that a 6lb penalty would not stop her. So she is worth going in with again in case she has improved again. The one that I am most interested in though is one at a huge price in SPACE WAR. His last win came at this time of year off today’s mark of 66. He was once rated in the 90’s so he is thrown in on some of his old form. His return was very eye-catching in that there was very little effort whatsoever in the saddle. The step back up to a mile today is a big positive and bearing in mind they are a gambling yard, he rates as very interesting if today is the day. You can get plenty of 20/1 this morning which will do very nicely.

REAL TIGRESS 1 PT WIN @ 4/1, SPACE WAR 2 pts EACH WAY @ 20/1

Two shorties I think will both win are YOURARTISONFIRE (4.35 Ling) and SEA DEFENSE (7.55 War), so those of you looking for a multiple should include those. Like I said at the top, nothing as strong as yesterday on a busy Saturday but hopefully we have found a few winners.

The best of luck if you are getting involved in the scoop 6 today. 7.5 million pounds up for grabs. I won’t be playing, it looks devilishly difficult to me and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if it rolls over again.

Best of luck today

All the best

MG

Proform

Saturday’s don’t come much better…..

Proform

If you are a fan of sport then weekends don’t really get much better than what the next 48 hours will throw up. A massive day for thousands of football fans who will be trawling the nation hoping for that vital win or draw that may secure promotion, the playoffs or to see off relegation. I must send a special note to all of my home town pals that have headed up to Forest today to cheer on the Albion. I give them a hard time but for the record, I hope the seagulls will fly today (and if Burnley aren’t too hungover maybe they could beat Reading too).

Racing for me though must take centre stage today with the first classic of the season the highlight as we get to see what could be the strongest renewal of the 2000 Guineas for several years. Without any financial ante-post involvement I thought it would just be a race to enjoy but I have to say that the 2/1 plus that you can get about Kingman this morning does look incredibly tempting. Whilst I respect the chances of several of his main rivals he is surely over priced. I’m hoping we may be treated to something special this afternoon. Whilst talking about the Guineas and being over priced, I do think that Outstrip will do just that to his price this afternoon. Yes he has plenty to find on paper but I’ve no doubt he will be better than what we have seen. My main worry with him is the yard form. They are just not firing yet. Still he should not be 28/1 and might shock a few each way.

OK time for some stats for the day from Proform. These are the trainers with runners today that have a win and place strike rate of over 50% that have had more than 10 runners in the last 14 days….

A P O’Brien 68.42% (19 runners)

Ralph Beckett 62.50% (24 runners)

William Haggas 61.11 (18 runners)

Michael Dods 60% (15 runners)

Nicky Henderson 57.14%   (28 runners)

Andrew Balding 56.25% (32 runners)

Clive Cox 55.56% (18 runners)

Dermot Weld 52.63% (19 runners)

The standout stat that today’s report offers is that William Haggas has sent out 18 runners in the last 14 days…… 9 of them have won. A 50% strike rate and a yard that are in scintillating form. Today he sends out Rock Choir (2.05), Ertijaal (3.50), Mutakayyef (5.00), Yenhaab (5.35), Scrutiny (6.45).

The list of eye-catchers running today seems to be endless so we will spin through them quickly.

First up we have STAND MY GROUND (2.05 Newm) who was a real eye catcher on his re-appearance when traveling very well through the spring mile, just failing to get to Brae Hill. He has gone up 5lbs for that effort but that potentially still leaves him on a nice mark for this and the 16/1 is much too big imo. He stayed this trip well in France and Jamie Spencer takes over in the saddle. In the same race I am excited to see BIG BAZ on turf. He is, I am sure, well treated off 85 and may well improve for the switch to turf. I would be luke warm on both of their chances this afternoon.

ZEYRAN (2.25 Thirsk) has always been well-regarded and would have gone close to winning on his first start for Hugo Palmer but for meeting interference on the run in. That form actually has a nice shape to it and I think he will be better than 82. He is a cracking each way bet at 6/1 with SportingBet. Crowleys Law has been very well backed at the head of the market.

ABSOLUTELY SO (2.55 Good) probably should have won 2 of his last 3 on the all-weather. He is nudged up another 3lbs this afternoon but there could be more progression on the turf and he is definitely interesting. In the same race JACK’S REVENGE is a victim of his own consistency as he continues to climb the ratings without winning. His effort in the Lincoln was eye-catching though and he could be ready to pounce. At 4/1 and 7/1 respectively I would take the two against the field.

WASEEM FARIS (3.30 Good) Should not have run last time having got loose on the way to the start. He is out of the weights this afternoon but with Daniel Cremin claiming 7lbs he will feel like he is running loose again this afternoon. The 12/1 about him is an insult to his actual chance. He is a 5/1 shot in my book.

The Thirsk Hunt Cup at 3.40 looks an absolute belter! There are two in here that I am very keen on and we will go two against the field. The first of them is NORSE BLUES who absolutely loves it around here. He would potentially need a career best to win this today but I think he is capable. His re-appearance run was really eye-catching and I am sure you will get a very solid run for your money. The second dart to throw comes in the form of FORT BASTIAN. Formerly with Richard Hannon the son of Lawman is potentially thrown in here off a mark of 91. Now with Ruth Carr this is just the type of horse she excels with. On his re-appearance run here he showed glimmers of returning to form. He was then given an interesting ride at Haydock next time. I think today has been the plan from the get go. They are 8/1 and 10/1 and should both be bang in the mix.

Excited to see BETWEEN WICKETS (4.40 Good) again after a really taking debut. He is odds on now so no sort of price, hope he wins well.

BUTE HALL (5.45 Donc) is edging up the weights but smacks me of a horse on the upgrade. Today’s step up in trip is an interesting move as he travels really well through his races. The market may have again underestimated his chance this afternoon and the 8/1 is worthy.

Not sure if today will be the day but HALF A BILLION (7.15 Donc) remains on the interesting list. The yard is also in very good form at the moment so he should be taken seriously at double figure odds this evening.

As you can see from the above it is likely to be a very busy day. Unfortunately for me I will be watching everything on catch up and the cricket pitch is calling. Hoping for a cracking day’s sport mind and fingers crossed the Guineas unearths another superstar too.

Two wins already so far this season for the hammers over the spuds. A home win today will put a small shine on what has been yet another tough season to be a die hard West Ham fan. Come on boys……give us those bragging rights! COYI

Enjoy a great day

MG

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