January wrap up and Sunday’s action!

Proform

Well we have arrived at the end of the first week and the end of January. A pretty decent start to our challenge to get us off the ground too. Sixteen bets in total in week one with five winners yielding a 31.25% strike rate. We will happily take that throughout the rest of the year especially as several things didn’t really fall for us this week. We have finished off January with a 12.25 points profit (+£1,225).

Saturday was slightly frustrating. Silsol won really well again in the Welsh Champion Hurdle at a juicy 10/1. I very nearly went a little stronger than the single point on him.

silsol

The last horse I crossed off the list yesterday was Join The Clan at Wetherby. Thought his price was a bit skinny in the morning despite thinking he had a great chance of following up his Warwick win. Well he went off even shorter and won well again. I found Ffos Las slightly uncomfortable viewing throughout most of the afternoon.

On to Sunday’s action and I am going to attempt to kick February off with a couple out the back of the hand as I like the look of a few at prices. I’m writing this on Saturday evening so apologies if some of the prices are a little out of date. I would advise (as always) where possible to be taking best odds guaranteed.

We are going to start with the googly in the form of EASTWARD HO (2.20 Chelmsford City). On recent form he doesn’t cry out as a potential winner but I’m hoping that circumstances of the race may just help. Firstly he is absolutely thrown in on some of his back form, admittedly though it’s been a while since he shown anywhere near that. Now he likes to be handy in his races but with Miami Gator in the field he is likely to have to take a lead. They are drawn alongside each other in 3 and 4 here so hoping we can just get a lovely trail into the race and pounce late. We are getting weight all-round here with Danny Brock taking over from Shelley and provided he doesn’t go mad early and try to chase a silly pace he may well be overpriced at 18/1.

EASTWARD HO 1 pt win 18/1 with SKYBET.

My strongest fancy of the day comes in the 3.20 at Chelmsford with BLACKTHORN STICK. John Butler’s charge did well to come from so far back last time to finish a close second behind a well backed winner. Having come a long way back down the weights he is now on a really attractive mark and could be ready to strike. I am hoping they have a good look at the race and ride him a bit closer to the pace as there is a lack of early toe in here. Ridden handily from a middle draw and kicking off the bend should see him go very close.

BLACKTHORN STICK 2 pts win @ 9/2

BIRCH HILL (3.30 Musselbugh) looks certain to appreciate the step up in trip when tackling three miles under rules for the first time. Mistakes and the wrong trip have been the issue to date but when wining his point last April he was strongest at the finish and with the extra emphasis on stamina here I’m hoping we may finally start to see some of the promised potential. He’s a general 4/1 chance this evening and that is probably too big.

BIRCH HILL 2 pts win @ 4/1 generally.

One more to come late on and again this time we’ll chuck in the doosra. Gonna throw a point at KRUZHLININ at Musselburgh (4.30). The Grand National is likely again to be the target this year for Donald McCain’s charge. He has not been seen since the Beecher Chase in early December where he got behind early but stayed on to finish a creditable 7th. Whilst this is probably a prep run, his hurdles mark is lower than his chase rating and the yard have hugely turned the corner this week. This is the weakest race he has run in for a while and I just thought that he may well out run his odds significantly. You don’t want to get too far behind round here so I will be delighted if he is ridden close to the pace in the early part of the race.

KRUZHLININ 1 pt win @ 16/1 generally.

Have an awesome Sunday and fingers crossed the Patriots do the business for us tonight in Superbowl 49!

Be lucky!

MG

Proform

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The Wednesday Blog

Proform

Morning campers. Just a little recap on Monday. Disappointing that the main bet Master Of Disguise couldn’t win having been in a perfect position all the way round. Columbia won well enough though to make it a winning day.

First interest of the day today comes at Chelmsford in the 2.40 in the form of Derek Shaw’s DARING DRAGON. His form for the past year has been sketchy to say the least but as a result has dropped to a pound below his only winning mark. He switched to Shaw’s yard in August and just had the one run so has now had plenty of time to acclimatise. He has gone well fresh in the past and his better efforts have come on polytrack. I just felt that at morning prices this morning he is probably overpriced and was therefore worth an investment.

DARING DRAGON 1pt each way @ 12/1 generally.

Next up on the interesting list is the Daniel Kubler trained TRIMOULET (4.10 Chelmsford). Handicap debut this afternoon off a mark of 65. There is strong reason to believe that this mark is generous. Giving the impression the last twice that there is plenty of improvement in him. Given the fact that a step up to ten furlongs may also bring about a bit more I think he is clearly very interesting today.

TRIMOULET 1 pt win @ 7/1 generally.

DUTCH S (6.15 Kempton) is really interesting later on. She didn’t quite finish her summer off as expected but has been given a bit of time (a regular feature of Clive Cox) and I expect a big run from her. One or two of her speed figures suggest that she is very capable of winning off 73 and I think she is a really interesting bet tonight and would expect to see money for her with Kirby on board.

DUTCH S 3 pts win @ 7/2 (Stan James)

Have a great day and be lucky,

MG

Proform