Saturday Blog: Cambridgeshire Day!

Proform

Eye Catchers Coming Soon

Apologies for the shorter nature of today’s blog. I’m on wedding duty so time is tight!

The Cambridgeshire looks a typically difficult puzzle to solve. I have to air on the side of boring and say that I do really like the chances of the morning favourite CORNROW. With the prep run over seven furlongs last time being on the short side of what he wants, I think this has probably been the plan all along. I can see him running a very big race and in a race where you can get six or even seven places with some special offers he is a must back each way.

2 pts e/w with SKYBET @ 13/2 paying 6 places

INSTANT ATTRACTION 8.30 Wolverhampton

He has been on the watch list since his reappearance back in April and won well for me last time out when appreciating the switch to this surface. Only a 5lb rise today and I think there is every reason to believe there could be plenty more to come. He is the best bet of the day for me.

2 pts win @ 11/2 generally.

SURETY – 2.30 Chester

A strong traveller who has not quite been getting home over a mile recently and I have been hoping for a drop back in trip. Gets it today and is well drawn in stall four off bottom weight. I think he is really interesting!

1 pt each way at 12/1.

Again apologies for the short nature of today. Off to see Biggs tie the knot whilst trying to listen to the game at Old Trafford! COYI

All the best

MG

Proform

Advertisements

Thursdays Blog!

Proform

Apologies for the lack of bloggage over the last few days. My schedule at this time of year is hectic and I simply haven’t had the time! I am actually writing this on Wednesday night just before I hit the sack as I have such a busy day again tomorrow!

I will be up bright and early as I am off to Jamie Poulton’s yard down in Sussex to see our new colt that we have taken a healthy share in. He is by Sakhee and will be hopefully be making his racecourse debut in a couple of weeks time!

Last week was quite tough. We hit the crossbar several times and had plenty that ranpoorly. I suppose on the back of such a good run that was always likely to be the case. I liked two quite strongly today (weds) and they both won well. I didn’t have the time to write about them in the morning but those of you that tuned into Timeform Radio would have heard how strongly I liked them! Monel would surprisingly easily and he is also entered on Thursday. He will  be no sort of price now and the cat is out the bag.

There is a distinct lack of trainers being flagged up on the win and place strike rate hot list from Proform. They are as follows:

Amanda Perrett 66.67%

John Gosden 54.05%

Malcom Jefferson 50%

Highie Morrison 50%

I have always set the bar with this stat at a minimum of 8 or 10 runners in the previous 14 days. This largely ignores smaller yards that can be in form so I have run this separately of one or two trainers have caught my eye this week:

Ron Hodges 75% (4runners)

John Davies 66.67% (3 runners)

Lydia Richards 66.67% (3 runners)

Seamus Durack 66.67% (6 runners)

Ed De Giles 66.67% (3 runners)

Chris Down 66.67% (6 runners)

John Bridger 60%

I hope in one way or another these figures point you in the direction of a winner or two! If you haven’t had a chance to check out Proform yet then you must do so. It is an essential part of any professionals day to day punting now and you will see why once you scratch the surface. Click on the image at the top of the blog and it will link you directly to the website. Simon will be happy to answer any questions that you may have.

Ok on to today and a few that I actaully fancy quite strongly.

First up is BALLYBOUGH GORTA (4.50 Wetherby) who has been most progressive over the last few seasons when given good ground or faster and has climbed a good 56lbs in the weights as a result. Over the winter he has been highly tried in decent races (Sussex and Scottish Nationals) mostly in bad ground which he would have hated. Back on a decent surface today in the weakest race he has run in for a long time (down to class 3) he must have a great chance with the Bowen/Moore combination also firing on all cylinders recently. There are some double figure prices floating about tonight so he should be backed provided there is not too much overnight rain!

BALLYBOUGH GORTA 2 pts win @ 10/1

The first of my two very strong fancies is RUSSIAN REALM (3.50 Goodwood) who looks a pattern performer waiting to happen. He was beaten at Ascot on his re-appearance by the horse we backed that day (Ishikawa) and has been raised 3lbs for the privilege of being beaten. He travelled like the best horse in the race for a long way and if you could give Ryan the ride back again he might not have given the winner so much rope. The drop back a furlong should work the oracle here and I expect Ryan to be extra clinical here today on this beautifully bred colt.

RUSSIAN REALM 4 pts win @ 2/1 (BOG)

The other one on the day is PERFECT MUSE (5.35 Goodwood) who looks a really well handicapped filly to me. Adam Kirby had to get after her a bit earlier than he wanted on her re-appearance at Bath (when she was heavily punted) and she hit the front a bit earlier than I believe he wanted too and got swamped on the line when he thought he had the race in the bag. The extra furlong here should help her travel into the race kindly and if Ryan Tate times it well I fully expect her to win.

PERFECT MUSE 4 pts win @ 15/8 (BOG)

Neither of the two are big prices but I expect them all to run well so for extra interest we will play the following multiples too:

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse 2 pts win double

Russian Realm/Perfect Muse/Ballybough Borta 1 pt win trixie (4 pts)

I hope you all have a lovely day! And lets bag some winners!

All the best

MG

Proform

Who wants to be a millionaire?

Proform

Morning peeps. Very best of luck to you if you are having a go at the massive Scoop 6 today. At first glance I thought it wouldn’t be won. Then I thought about putting a syndicate together to have a real crack, then I thought it wouldn’t be won again. My first effort at a perm came to over £2,500 so I banged my head against the desk, trimmed it right down and put up a small play. If I’ve narrowed down all six winners, this may be the last time you read this blog!

I must give a huge shout to all the team at Sussex County Cricket Club. An enthralling finish to the first of the Natwest T20 blast games against Surrey last night saw the Sharks get 17 off the last over including 8 off the last two balls to secure victory. The place went mad and the shark tank was overflowing!

Such a busy day’s racing today, let’s look at some of the Proform stats for today.

These are trainer’s win& place strike rates with more than 10 runners over the past 14 days:

P J Prendergast 69.23% (13 runners)

Robert Cowell 64.71% (17 runners)

Amanda Perrett 57.14% (14 runners)

Warren Greatrex 54.55% (11 runners)

Dan Skelton 54.55% (11 runners)

David Pipe 54.17% (24 runners)

John Gosden 53.85% (39 runners)

Best winning strike rates go to David Pipe 37.5% and Warren Greatrex 36.36%

Such a difficult day today. Every race of the scoop 6 looks difficult. We do have one or two runners from the interesting list.

You are all well aware of me feelings about STOMP (3.30 Newmarket) who won really well for us just over a week ago on an epic afternoon. He is incredibly progressive and beat another very well handicapped rival last time so the 8lb rise is not too harsh and Joey Haynes claims 5lbs of that back. He can emulate his half-sister Mince on route to pattern company here.

STOMP 3 pts win @ 3/1

You would have seen me tweeting after AEOLUS (2.55 Newmarket) got beat last time in the Free Handicap after meeting trouble in running. His form at the back end of last year took a huge boost when Night Of Thunder won the Guineas and he looks a class act to me. If he’s come on for the run last time I would hope that he might be too good for these today.

AEOLUS 3 pts win @ 4/1

I am really looking forward to seeing TOKEN OF LOVE (5.00 Newbury) again this afternoon. She is a beautifully bred daughter of Cape Cross who was pretty green on debut but still managed to win with plenty in hand. She starts life in handicap company today off an opening mark of 77. She has a group 1 entry in the Coronation so she is clearly thought a lot off which means her opening mark today looks very attractive indeed. The 5/2 about her this morning looks very tempting!

TOKEN OF LOVE 4 pts win @ 5/2.

I have a couple to throw out the back of the hand at big prices for you today too. First up is GO GO GREEN (3.25 Thirsk) who I have had to put into my scoop 6 perm despite being 2lbs out of the handicap. He has won off much higher marks in the past so that is no worry and he has shaped like his turn is coming the last twice. He might be better at six furlongs these days but the nature of this race means they are going to go a frantic pace which should suit off bottom weight. Just a small dart at a big one.

GO GO GREEN 1 pts each way @ 25/1 with William Hill

The other big priced arrow to throw later on is PIXIE CUT (5.25 Doncaster). You should all remember my thoughts on her as she ran in the Sirvino race at Hamilton. I am sure she is well handicapped at the moment off 70. This is a weaker race than that and I would actually fancy her quite strong but for the fact that she is really badly drawn in 19. Hopefully the excellent Rob Fitz who is claiming 5lbs can just get her into an ok slot and she might well run a big race at 12/1.

PIXIE CUT 1 pt each way @ 12/1

Given the nature of the prices today I have played a couple of small multiples too.

STOMP, AEOLUS and TOKEN OF LOVE in a treble & trixie.

GO GO GREEN & PIXIE CUT each way double.

Enjoy the action today, really is something for everyone withe the FA CUP final clashing with the La Liga final games! Good luck to Chris and Martin at Wembley!

All the best,

MG

Proform

Friday blog…T20 is here!

Proform

Apologies. Today’s blog will be very brief indeed as I have a ridiculously busy day. Working Coral TV in the morning before dashing down south to host the opening T20 of the season at Hove as Sussex take on Surrey in front of a sell out!

I can’t even believe to tell you how frustrating Thursday’s maximum bet was. We were miles ahead of the market. Backed form all rates of 7/2 into 11/8 only for the truck to get stuck in traffic and didn’t make it to the track. Our cover has been blown for next time. Bugger.

Tabreek was really well backed and won well. The step up in trip did the trick. Still not sure how Fort Bastian didn’t win…….

On to Friday’s action then and not an awful lot to report in terms of eye catchers.

The 3.50 at York is a race to savor with a host of progressive sprinters. Plenty of winners will come out of this race. I like 6 or 7 of them quite a lot so this will be a race for the video boys.

First bet of the day comes over at Newmarket (4.00) when I will be playing two against the field. First up is BIG BAZ who created a really nice impression when sprinting clear on debut at Lingfield back in December. He hasn’t been as impressive since but did shape really nicely in a very competitive class 2 handicap last time. He got messed about and trapped on heels as they quickened and his jockey quickly saved him for another day. I think he is potentially well handicapped off 84 and should be backed accordingly. I will be having a money back saver in the race on GONE DUTCH who shaped like a middle distance horse to follow this season on his re-appearance.

BIG BAZ – 2 pts win @ 8/1, GONE DUTCH 1 pt win @ 3/1

The second bet of the day is SELLINGALLTHETIME (5.00 York) for Mick Appleby and Andrew Mullen who have already been in winning form this week on the Knavesmire. I am convinced that the son of Tamayuz is well handicapped off a mark of 66 and squeezes in here off just 8 stone 7. The track at Beverley last time would not have suited as he tried to come from off the pace and was forced to switch late on. Conditions here should suit and he could end up being some value as there are a lot of potential improvers in here. He is as big as 20/1 in places and should be backed each way.

SELLINGALLTHETIME 1 pt each way @ 20/1

Enjoy the action and the weather! If you’re at the game tonight, come and say hello!

All the best

MG

Proform

Dante Meeting Day 2, maximum bet…

Proform

On a day when the Dante at York will take the attention of most, I will be waiting for the 7.00 at Newmarket where I will be having my second maximum bet of the season. More on that shortly but first up a quick look back on Yesterday. I thought RYE HOUSE was a little unlucky in the opener. He got into a bit of a barging match as the race evolved and Ryan soon realised he wasn’t going to be winning. He shaped with significant promise from his revised mark though and should be followed with interest.

SHOT IN THE SUN was well backed from 20/1 into 14’s and ran another absolute blinder to be second to what looked like a handicap good thing. He will get another hit from the handicapper now and in truth has been unfortunate to bump into a couple already this year.

Here are some Proform stats for trainers win & place strike rates over the past 14 days (these figs were done last night so do not include weds results):

Robert Cowell 71.43% (Normal Equilibrium, Sir Pedro)

James Fanshawe 66.67% (Saab Almanal, Shining Glitter, Green Monkley)

John Gosden 62.96%

John Joseph Hanlon 55.56%

Martin Todhunter 55.56%

Karl Burke 55%

Kim Bailey 54.55%

Sir Michael Stoute 54.55%

Joseph Tuite and David Elsworth both have 50% winning strike rates with 4 winners from their last 8 runners.

The Dante is the main attraction on the Knavesmire this afternoon with TRUE STORY looking to validate his Derby claims after a very good win at HQ last time. He seems to have a little bit of temperament and maybe a little attitude but to go with it he has an awful lot of talent. I think he should actually be a little bit closer in the market for Epsom to Australia than he actually is so I am hoping for a really impressive performance this afternoon. He is too short to back today but I will watch with interest.

Ok no more leaving the ball outside off stump and letting it go through to the keeper. Time to open the shoulders and hoick one over mid-wicket with a full on hip twist. The horse in question for the second maximum in 6 days is QUEST FOR MORE (7.00 Newm) for Roger Charlton and George Baker. A slow learner of his trade having only had 9 starts so far in his career. The well-bred son of Teofilo has improved for stepping up to a mile and a half. He was well backed for his re-appearance run at Windsor 4 weeks ago but everything went wrong. He got trapped on the rail and the race developed around him and he could only managed third and finished on the bridle. His mark remains at 80 which I think might drastically underestimate where he might be in a couple of months time and the Windsor run may have even brought him along a little too. Whilst I appreciate that there are other potential improvers in here too, I think we might be looking at a 90+ horse so he must be backed with full confidence today.

QUEST FOR MORE 5 PTS MAXIMUM BET @ 3/1

I will be backing a couple against the field at York in the 3.15 in the form of SPA’S DANCER and FORT BASTIAN. The former was actually seriously unlucky in the Spring Cup at Newbury having got stopped in the run a couple of times, he flew home to finish second to the highly touted Gabrial’s Kaka. His run went largely unnoticed as most of the attention was paid to the winner. Watch the video back and you will see what I mean. Whilst there is the argument that this will require a career best at seven years of age, he is a horse that has continued to improve throughout his career. Provided there is plenty of pace on he surely goes close. You should all know about FORT BASTIAN as we backed him when he won at Thirsk last time. He is just the type Ruth Carr does well with and is still well in on his old form.

SPA’S DANCER 2 pts WIN @ 6/1, FORT BASTIAN 1 PT WIN @ 13/2

TABREEK (6.25 Newmarket) really caught my eye on his debut in the Wood Ditton. He was as green as Wooders at the bar before the penny dropped all too late and he started to power up the hill late in the day! There is stamina in the pedigree and I would expect him to come on a bundle for that debut effort. I don’t’ normally deal in these sort of races but he looks worth a point.

TABREEK 1 PT WIN @ 4/1

I am really frustrated with SINAADI running in the Middleton at 2.15. As most of you know I have thought she is well handicapped off a mark of 78 and has races in her. She is 100/1 for this today and is going to get well out classed but at the same time she is going to blow her handicap mark if she runs anywhere near the principles. So frustrating!

To finish the card at York we have to have a good go on CALCULATED RISK (5.00 York). If you translate his hurdles form back to the flat then he is potentially thrown in of a mark in the mid 70’s and in all honesty he should have won on his re-appearance at Pontefract but for some bad luck in the run. This race might actually have been the original target all along and with Ian Brennan taking off an extra three pounds off bottom weight he must have a superb chance. Do keep an eye on SURAJ who is a very interesting yard switcher for Nicky Henderson who may well have plenty to give under Spencer.

CALCULATED RISK 3 PTS WIN @ 5/1, SURAJ 1 PT WIN @ 10/1

On the road upto Coral TV this morning for the racing action this afternoon!

Have a cracking day!

MG

Proform

Tuesday Blog….

Proform

I think a day like yesterday was probably on the cards after such a good run. Lightening shower ran poorly and should be taken off the list. Ballyshonagh was a non runner, Fly Solo was always in a bad position in a slowly run race that didn’t suit. He will win in a stronger run race. Sequester didn’t sparkle either. Petergate and Irondale Express both ran well to pick up the place money at big prices and I’m still not quite sure how Irondale Express didn’t win.

Trainer form with entries today. Win and place strike rate with min 8 runners:

Warren Greatrex 75% (8 runners)

Robert Cowell 66.67% (18 runners)

Dermot Weld 57.14% (21 runners)

Ger Lyons 56.25% (16 runners)

David Elsworth 54.55% (11 runners)

Kim Bailey 52.63% (19 runners)

Sir Michael Stoute 51.85% (27 runners)

Greatrex, Elsworth and Weld all have exceptional winning strike rates of over 40%.

Mid-summer madness today as we have 5 jumps meetings and 1 flat. The jumps just never ends!

The draw has put paid to fancying SEAMSTER (3.30 Beverley) quite strongly today. Having been unlucky off a lowly mark of 48 four starts back he has gone up 15lbs in the weights for two wins and a second (where he was unlucky). He has got loads of toe and I’ve thought for a long time that a speed turf track like this would bring about even more in him. He’s in stall 8 which tempers enthusiasm, as does the potential softish surface but I think he is a big enough price in which to throw a small dart at him.

SEAMSTER 1 pt win @ 7/1

Those of you that read regularly will know all about EDDIEMAURICE (4.30 Beverley) who has been given two very interesting rides on his two starts so far this year. He was a non runner when entered last week as I am convinced they have been waiting for exactly the right race to have a punt. Now we will have to take the ground on trust as it will be testing and his only win came on good to firm. That victory came at this track which is a bonus. I’m sure he is now well handicapped and it might just be a case of a job well done by the yard today. I expect him to be very well backed if today is the day.

EDDIEMAURICE 3 pts win @ 10/1

I will throw a tiny arrow in the direction of BENTON’S LAD (5.35 Beverley) who has shaped like his mark will be workable. On the assumption that he may get a soft lead on a track that suits, he might be overpriced in double figures in the finale.

BENTON’S LAD 1 pt win @ 11/1

Not too much interest today, but hopefully today is the day for Eddimaurice.

All the best,

MG

Proform

Best week ever?

Proform

Morning everyone. What a fantastic week we had the last week. I think, without having done all the sums yet that we may have had somewhere in the region of 70 + points profit on the week. Here’s hoping for another one! Saturday was a shade disappointing after the carnage of Friday. Thought Hamelin was unlucky not to win at Ascot. I was counting the winning’s when Saigon City kicked clear two out, happy that Barren Brook our saver looked the only possible danger. When BB chinned him close home my initial reaction was annoyed…….until I saw the SP of 20/1. Thank the lord for best odds guaranteed! That was actually the better result of the two! Put a great end to a super week!

For a Monday it is quite busy on the racing front today. I am hosting Timeform Radio this afternoon so it is a busy day all round. Here are some Proform stats to get us underway!

Trainer form with entries today. Win and place strike rate with min 10 runners:

Robert Cowell 64.71% (17 runners)

Karl Burke 60% (25 Runners)

Amanda Perrett 60% (15 runners)

John Gosden 54.84% (31 runners)

Kim Bailey 52.94% (17 runners)

Robert Cowell’s horses have hit some form. He has one entry today, that is Moonspring (2.55 Ling)

Quite a few runners today off the interesting list without anything approaching a very strong bet. First up in the opening race on the card at Doncaster we have LIGHTENING SHOWER (1.40). The Marco Botti trained son of Mr Greeley is only rated 67 but has hinted on a couple of occasions that might underestimate him a little. Has has shaped well already this year in races that didn’t really pan out his way. This step up in trip looks like a sensible option (no real turn of foot) and the nature of this track should suit. I would be weary of a big run from Deep Resolve but he is worth a point.

LIGHTENING SHOWER 1 PT WIN @ 7/2.

BALLYSHONAGH (2.10 Doncaster) is also of interest now she moves into handicap company for the first time. She improved slightly with each run in maidens last year and is closely related to a couple of similar improvers. A rating of 64 means she might be well handicapped now she switches to the turf. She has a Timeform p next to her name and I would anticipate some rapid improvement this year for a yard that have started the season well.

BALLYSHONAGH 1 PT WIN @ 8/1.

FLY SOLO (3.40 Mussel) is a must bet today. Ran a blinder on his re-appearance trying to hunt down Brigadoon at Catterick when the winner just got first run. He is still well handicapped on his old form and has the assistance of Kieren Fallon today. Must have an excellent shout.

FLY SOLO 2 PTS WIN @ 11/4.

Those of you that follow the flat closely will know that David Lanigan likes to bring his youngsters on very much with the slowly slowly approach. He has SEQUESTER (4.05 Ling) going today into handicap company for the first time off a mark of 65. She showed plenty of promise on her debut on turf before disappointing on two efforts on the sand. She has had a break now of 187 days and if cherry ripe first time up, might prove to be well up to the task. This might actually be a good race for the grade as there are plenty of Timeform p’s on the card. I’m hoping she is ready and runs a big race. I will just throw STONEHAM in the mix. She will be a huge price but I’m fairly sure she is better than she has shown so far and will out run her odds.

SEQUESTER 2 PTS WIN @ 4/1, STONEHAM 0.5 PTS EACH WAY @ 25/1.

You will all remember PETERGATE (5.00 Doncaster) who ran a blinder for us at a massive price last time. I am sure he has got one of these races in him and because we have a short price favourite in here today he is going to be interesting again. William Buick has been booked for the ride which is a big positive and whilst I originally thought that a step up in trip might work, he shaped last time like a galloping seven furlongs would be ideal. He’s interesting.

PETERGATE 1 PT EACH WAY @ 14/1

I think out of all of the eye catchers on display today the best may have been kept until last. I really like the way that IRONDALE EXPRESS (5.35 Doncaster) shaped on her re-appearance at Redcar when getting hampered turning for home. She traveled strongly but didn’t see out the 10f trip. On my notes I wrote VERY INTERESTING IF DROPPED IN TRIP NEXT TIME. Needless to say she has been dropped to 7f with Paul Hanagan booked to ride. She has only had six starts, two of those in quite decent handicaps and I do feel there is plenty to work with. This is obviously quite a decent race for the grade with plenty of potential improvers and handicap debutants but that is factored into her price and she is definitely worth an each way stab.

IRONDALE EXPRESS 1.5PTS EACH WAY @ 16/1

Not the easiest of days punting in store but hopefully we can manage to eek out a few points profit on the day. I’ll be on air on Timeform Radio from about 1.30 this afternoon. Hope you can join in the show in some way.

Have a good afternoon!

All the best

MG

Proform

The big Saturday blog…..

Proform

Morning campers. I theory I should have a banging headache and a stinking hangover this morning after yesterday’s heroics. Luckily With two full days of cricket this weekend I managed to fend off the urge for big celebrations and kept it low-key, so I’m nice and fresh.

Thank you for all the lovely messages and texts etc about yesterday. It makes the effort of writing a blog more than worthwhile. The three main bets of the day all in the end won with some considerable ease. There was never too much worry at all. STOMP as expected is well ahead of the handicapper and was given a lovely patient ride by George Baker. He  has given a very well handicapped horse a good beating and should be followed. KNIGHT OWL was always going to win. Tracking the front two he was always traveling strongly and won like a progressive horse and then ten minutes later FLOW landed the maximum bet in good style despite just getting tired close home. I hope plenty of you put them into some multiples! By the sounds of it, lots of you did! Great work!

Here are today’s trainer stats courtesy of Profrom:

Trainer form with entries today. Win and place strike rate with min 10 runners:

Ger Lyons 75% (16 runners)

Karl Burke 66.67% (27 runners)

Dermot Weld 59.09% (22 runners)

Robert Cowell 56.25% (16 runners)

Ralph Beckett 53.85% (26 runners)

Chris Gordon 53.85% (13 runners)

Michael Dods 53.85% (13 runners)

Amanda Perrett 53.33% (15 runners)

Andrew Balding 53.19% (47 runners)

Kim Bailey 52.94% (17 runners)

Alan King 51.43% (35 runners)

Another really busy day today but nothing fancied as strong as we had yesterday. One or two pokes at big prices. We are well over 100 points up this month now though already so we can be afforded this luxury.

First up is HAMELIN (2.05 Ascot). A bit like Flow yesterday, he is a pattern performer waiting to happen. Just a 6lb rise for a ready win first time in a handicap at the back-end of last year. I expect him to win on his re-appearance.

HAMELIN 2 PTS WIN @ 11/4

I do really like the chances of SAIGON CITY (4.30 Nottingham). He is progressive and surely would have won last time had he had better luck/ if the track had suited. Big galloping track like this today should suit much more and I would expect him to go very close indeed on route to better things. If there is a lurker in this race it could be BARREN BROOK who is also on the interesting list. I will certainly be having a saver on him having shaped with interest on both his starts so far this year.

SAIGON CITY 3 PTS WIN @ 4/1, BARREN BROOK 1 PT SAVER @ 14/1

ANOTHER ROYAL (5.40 Thirsk)  is right at the top of my interesting list at the moment. He has been shaping like a punt is in order for some time. Interesting that he has been stepped up to a mile for the first time today which on his pedigree he is far from certain to get. He has though been shaping like he would appreciate it so it is probably worth a go. If the money comes then he would be very interesting. At about 17/2 he is worth a go today.

ANOTHER ROYAL 2 pts win @17/2

The last bet in a two against the field format is REAL TIGRESS (7.40 Thirsk) and SPACE WAR. We all know about Real Tigress. We have backed her for her last two victories and she hinted the other day that a 6lb penalty would not stop her. So she is worth going in with again in case she has improved again. The one that I am most interested in though is one at a huge price in SPACE WAR. His last win came at this time of year off today’s mark of 66. He was once rated in the 90’s so he is thrown in on some of his old form. His return was very eye-catching in that there was very little effort whatsoever in the saddle. The step back up to a mile today is a big positive and bearing in mind they are a gambling yard, he rates as very interesting if today is the day. You can get plenty of 20/1 this morning which will do very nicely.

REAL TIGRESS 1 PT WIN @ 4/1, SPACE WAR 2 pts EACH WAY @ 20/1

Two shorties I think will both win are YOURARTISONFIRE (4.35 Ling) and SEA DEFENSE (7.55 War), so those of you looking for a multiple should include those. Like I said at the top, nothing as strong as yesterday on a busy Saturday but hopefully we have found a few winners.

The best of luck if you are getting involved in the scoop 6 today. 7.5 million pounds up for grabs. I won’t be playing, it looks devilishly difficult to me and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if it rolls over again.

Best of luck today

All the best

MG

Proform

Another super day! More of the same?

Proform

Running Total +41.6 pts so far in May 2014

Well we continue to roll in cracking form after Money Team was backed into 8/1 from 16’s and won nicely yesterday at Beverley. Real Tigress also won on a track that clearly suits well. The first two however were just as interesting and eye-catching. Let’s start with HAYEK who was again slowly away (by design) and again tanked through the early part of the race. He was then steered right around the outside of the field with plenty of elbow movement but not much else from Rachel Richardson. Clearly he is being lined up for a punt somewhere. His last win came off 71, after yesterday he has been dropped to 50. WATCH THIS SPACE!

Next up was Magical Rose who also was given very little assistance in the saddle. This was her first start for Conrad Allen so this may have been a fact-finding mission of sorts. I think we might see her over seven furlongs very soon with a strong jockey on a more conventional track. Then we will open the shoulders.

Ok let’s look at some trainer form stats for the day from Profrom.

This report is trainers (that have runners today) win and place strike rate who have had more than 10 runners in the last 14 days:

Amanda Perrett 60% (10 runners)

Ralph Beckett 57.14% (28 runners)

Karl Burke 55.56% (27 runners)

Nicky Henderson 55.26% (38 runners)

Michael Dods 54.55% (22 runners)

Chris Gordon 53.33% (15 runners)

William Haggas 52.38% (21 runners)

John Jenkins 52.17% (23 runners)

Jessie Harrington 52.17% (23 runners)

Those with exceptional winning strike rates are as follows:

(Today’s entries in brackets)

William Haggas 38.10% (Lily Junior, Wojha 4.10 Kemp)

Karl Burke 37.04% (Millar Rose 6.00 Catt, Reve De Nuit 6.30 Catt)

So we move on to today’s eye catchers. We start with the second race on the card at Brighton where we should be going for just about a maximum.

CRYSTALIZED (2.50 Brighton) has been in the note-book just about longer than any other horse. She is by Rock Of Gibralter and there is plenty of stamina on the dam side too yet she has raced exclusively so far over six furlongs. With almost every run she has shaped really nicely, got out paced and stayed on. She surely wants a mile plus in my opinion. What this does give us is what looks to be a very well handicapped filly (currently rated 52). If this were a handicap again I would be reluctant to play as she clearly needs further than the six again however, this is a classified race and she comes out much the best of these on ratings. She also should relish the stiff uphill finish here at Brighton and the ground will be fine. I honestly expected her to be about even money this morning and she is as big as 15/8 with SportingBet. That is big bet material in my eyes. There is another runner of the list in the same race but you cannot have any confidence at all and that is PARADISE CHILD for Bill Turner. She started off with some promise last year but her form tailed off badly towards the back-end. She did shape with considerable promise on her third last start before getting hampered and Jimmy Quinn gave up. If she has trained on then she is certainly better than her rating of 45, although ultimately handicaps on the all-weather may see her in a better light. In such a weak race I would be tempted to have the smallest saver on her just in case but do keep an eye on her for the future.

CRYSTALIZED 4 PTS WIN @ 15/8 (BOG) & 1PT SAVER ON PARADISE CHILD @ 12/1 GENERALLY

We move on to Kempton Park for our only other eye catcher and strong fancy in the form of GLANELY (3.10 Kemp). He went into the book on the back of an interesting run at Kempton back in October when being backed into favouritism. He looked a bit lazy if truth be told but also looked as if there was still plenty to work with, giving the impression that he may well be a well handicapped horse. It is very interesting therefore that for his return to action this afternoon that they have booked the services of Richard Hughes. There is plenty of 3/1 available and he is likely to be the best handicapped horse in the race.

GLANELY 3PTS WIN @ 16/5 with BETBRIGHT.

Hope you have a cracking afternoon’s action.

All the best,

MG

Proform

Thunder sends shivers through the King…….

Proform

A thrilling 2000 Guineas was the highlight of the action on Saturday with 40/1 shot Night Of Thunder taking first prize despite drifting across half the track. The runners split into two groups which have led some reports to believe the race has thrown up an odd result, I personally don’t really buy into this. Kingman ran a blinder to finish 2nd. Probably in front early enough on the far side. Australia is now a short price favourite on the back of his 3rd for the Derby, which is good news as I will be keen to take him on at Epsom.

Today is the turn of the ladies in the 1000. As per usual my ante-post position on My Titania has gone with the wind! 17 fillies are set to go to post at 3.50 and I am really keen now on the chances of MISS FRANCE. Andre Fabre’s filly was most impressive when winning the Oh So Sharp back in September when winning with quite a bit in hand. She can be forgiven being beaten on her re-appearance as the race was a mess from the start. It will at the very least have put her cherry ripe for this afternoon.

A quick look back at some of the results yesterday. Absolutely So won really well as did Fort Bastian. Waseem Farris ran a blinder at a huge price and was actually maybe unfortunate not to win. Fingers crossed plenty of you backed them all.

Time for some Proform stats for trainers that have runners this afternoon:

Trainers win and place strike rate with more than 10 runners in the last 14 days:

A P O’Brien 68.18% (22 runners)

Ralph Beckett 61.54% (26 runners)

Saeed Bin Suroor 60% (10 runners)

John Bridger 53.85% (13 runners)

Michael Dods 52.38% (21 runners)

Clive Cox 52.38% (21 runners)

Andrew Balding 51.52% (33 Runners)

I should also note from these figures that Karl Burke currently has a 35.71% winning strike rate as 10 of his last 28 runners have won. He sends out Odeliz and Yeeoow today.

On to today’s eye catchers. First up we have ECONOMIC CRISIS (1.55 Ham) who has been in the book since an interesting run back in October.  He is now a well handicapped horse as he is 5lbs below his last winning mark. His two runs this year will have made him cherry ripe for this afternoon and he absolutely loves it here (all three career wins at Hamilton). He is as big as 8/1 in places in a race that looks very winnable indeed.

YEEOOW (3.10 Newmarket) looks to be coming to the boil really nicely and he is on a winning mark. The yard is absolutely bouncing as we have already mentioned sending out 10 winners from their last 28 runners. This is really competitive but it should be run to suit and if you shop around then you can get some 14/1 with the first five places being paid by some of the big firms if you like the each way angle. I would almost insist on a saver or maybe split stakes on NINJAGO in the same race. He was potentially unlucky not to have won a couple of big prizes last year and from a handicapping point of view is surely capable off 101. He goes very well fresh and Hughesy is up which is a positive. Play the two against the field at 14/1 and 11/1 respectively.

Longshot

Without doubt the horse on the day that is probably most over-priced is the Linda Perratt trained ROYAL STRAIGHT (4.10 Hamilton). The negatives are that he can take a run or two to get race ready some times and that he may well be better now over 10 furlongs but both of these negatives are out weighed by the price. He is a general 28/1 chance but there is much bigger available on Betfair. His last two wins were off marks of 64 and 67. Today Royal Straight will race off 63. He is very capable and if he is race fit he could just run a massive race at a big price. If today is not the day, keep an eye on him for next time.

The dilemma of what to do when three of your horses to follow all end up in the same race. Hamiton’s 4.45 has thrown up SIRVINO, O Ma Lad and Pixie Cut. Of the three (who I think will all win soon) I do favour Sirvino. He ran an absolute blinder at Musselburgh last time on a track that was suiting front-runners. He missed the break and had to come from a long way back. The 2lb rise will not stop him from winning. O Ma Lad was given a very interesting ride back on his re-appearance and I would expect him to go close too. I am also convinced that Pixie Cut is a well handicapped horse but she might struggle against the top two. I would strongly suggest backing Sirvino and O Ma Lad for a profit and have a saver on Pixie Cut.

I hope the above digs out the odd winner. Another day of cricket for me this afternoon. Should just leave on the note of how enjoyable beating Spurs three times in a season was. Epic. they spent 108 million pounds on new players. We bought a crocked number 9 who has played about 8 games……. funny old game eh? COYI

What a comeback too by the Boston Bruins last night in the 3rd period. Their skating speed and fore-check late in the game has really set the tone for the rest of the series.

Enjoy today,

All the best

MG