A thrilling 2000 Guineas was the highlight of the action on Saturday with 40/1 shot Night Of Thunder taking first prize despite drifting across half the track. The runners split into two groups which have led some reports to believe the race has thrown up an odd result, I personally don’t really buy into this. Kingman ran a blinder to finish 2nd. Probably in front early enough on the far side. Australia is now a short price favourite on the back of his 3rd for the Derby, which is good news as I will be keen to take him on at Epsom.
Today is the turn of the ladies in the 1000. As per usual my ante-post position on My Titania has gone with the wind! 17 fillies are set to go to post at 3.50 and I am really keen now on the chances of MISS FRANCE. Andre Fabre’s filly was most impressive when winning the Oh So Sharp back in September when winning with quite a bit in hand. She can be forgiven being beaten on her re-appearance as the race was a mess from the start. It will at the very least have put her cherry ripe for this afternoon.
A quick look back at some of the results yesterday. Absolutely So won really well as did Fort Bastian. Waseem Farris ran a blinder at a huge price and was actually maybe unfortunate not to win. Fingers crossed plenty of you backed them all.
Time for some Proform stats for trainers that have runners this afternoon:
Trainers win and place strike rate with more than 10 runners in the last 14 days:
A P O’Brien 68.18% (22 runners)
Ralph Beckett 61.54% (26 runners)
Saeed Bin Suroor 60% (10 runners)
John Bridger 53.85% (13 runners)
Michael Dods 52.38% (21 runners)
Clive Cox 52.38% (21 runners)
Andrew Balding 51.52% (33 Runners)
I should also note from these figures that Karl Burke currently has a 35.71% winning strike rate as 10 of his last 28 runners have won. He sends out Odeliz and Yeeoow today.
On to today’s eye catchers. First up we have ECONOMIC CRISIS (1.55 Ham) who has been in the book since an interesting run back in October. He is now a well handicapped horse as he is 5lbs below his last winning mark. His two runs this year will have made him cherry ripe for this afternoon and he absolutely loves it here (all three career wins at Hamilton). He is as big as 8/1 in places in a race that looks very winnable indeed.
YEEOOW (3.10 Newmarket) looks to be coming to the boil really nicely and he is on a winning mark. The yard is absolutely bouncing as we have already mentioned sending out 10 winners from their last 28 runners. This is really competitive but it should be run to suit and if you shop around then you can get some 14/1 with the first five places being paid by some of the big firms if you like the each way angle. I would almost insist on a saver or maybe split stakes on NINJAGO in the same race. He was potentially unlucky not to have won a couple of big prizes last year and from a handicapping point of view is surely capable off 101. He goes very well fresh and Hughesy is up which is a positive. Play the two against the field at 14/1 and 11/1 respectively.
Without doubt the horse on the day that is probably most over-priced is the Linda Perratt trained ROYAL STRAIGHT (4.10 Hamilton). The negatives are that he can take a run or two to get race ready some times and that he may well be better now over 10 furlongs but both of these negatives are out weighed by the price. He is a general 28/1 chance but there is much bigger available on Betfair. His last two wins were off marks of 64 and 67. Today Royal Straight will race off 63. He is very capable and if he is race fit he could just run a massive race at a big price. If today is not the day, keep an eye on him for next time.
The dilemma of what to do when three of your horses to follow all end up in the same race. Hamiton’s 4.45 has thrown up SIRVINO, O Ma Lad and Pixie Cut. Of the three (who I think will all win soon) I do favour Sirvino. He ran an absolute blinder at Musselburgh last time on a track that was suiting front-runners. He missed the break and had to come from a long way back. The 2lb rise will not stop him from winning. O Ma Lad was given a very interesting ride back on his re-appearance and I would expect him to go close too. I am also convinced that Pixie Cut is a well handicapped horse but she might struggle against the top two. I would strongly suggest backing Sirvino and O Ma Lad for a profit and have a saver on Pixie Cut.
I hope the above digs out the odd winner. Another day of cricket for me this afternoon. Should just leave on the note of how enjoyable beating Spurs three times in a season was. Epic. they spent 108 million pounds on new players. We bought a crocked number 9 who has played about 8 games……. funny old game eh? COYI
What a comeback too by the Boston Bruins last night in the 3rd period. Their skating speed and fore-check late in the game has really set the tone for the rest of the series.
All the best