Spending such an enormous amount of time on the road as a broadcaster means that days, weeks and months just seem to fly by. I cannot believe we are already half way through May, the first test match of the summer is two days away and the longest day of the year just four weeks from now. Where has the time gone?
Anyway, I hope everyone is having a great year to date? Backing loads of winners and generally rolling in it. I know I haven’t blogged, well at all since my last promise in September. Lots gets in the way. Mostly laziness I’m sure.
Personally I’m not a big fan of racing in April. Year on year it is my worst month. Once Cheltenham is done with, the jumps falls off a cliff and the early season turf form can be so erratic, even if certain trends to tend to produce profits each year. I enjoy Chester and York, but once they are out the way, all the patterns tend to settle down and we can really crack on.
As things stand there are 79 horses on my very interesting list. I won’t bore you with all of them in one hit as that will take all day, but over the coming days I will certainly highlight the ones that are entered and why they have gone in the book. You can then all take your own personally views on how to deal with them. First up here’s a few that are entered today.
FLEURTILLE (4.40 Newcastle) 28/1
Probably a horse that should have been scrubbed off my list a while back, but I’m just going to see how today pans out. Clearly we have no idea how Newcastle’s new all weather track will ride but a lot of her peak figures were at Newcastle on turf. She’s down to near her last winning mark and after a quiet 2015, it will be no surprise to see her run well. The comeback run was encouraging although her one run on the all weather (albeit 3 years ago) was awful. She’s likely to be a massive price, probably 50’s+ on @Betfair so you haven’t got to spend big to have a tiny interest.
GERRY THE GLOVER (4.10 Newcastle) 16/1
Had a good year last year and progressed nicely. I think he is better than 88 and might win a decent pot this summer. First ever run on the all weather today which is a bit of an unknown but he actually ran ok on a track that wouldn’t suit his style on his re-appearance and I would not be at all surprised if he went well today. He is probably another one for your trackers and will hopefully grab a decent pot this year. He’s 25’s plus on the machine so again, small stakes for an interest. There is a chance that the favourite (PERIL) is still well ahead of his mark.
LAUGHTON (3.15 Nottingham) 9/2
I really like him. If he doesn’t end up considerably better than a mark of 71 by the end of the year then I’d have got him completely wrong. You can easily put a line through his comeback run. He was pitched out wide and in truth given a poor ride. I’ve felt for a while like 6 furlongs will suit more than 5 and Nottingham will be much more to his liking. Clearly I don’t want Jamie Spencer to give the others too much rope, the dogs are well and truly barking about Mutarajjil but you should never be afraid of one animal. I believe he could be a 90+ horse so if that is the case, you would hope he could go very well today at this level. Probably an absolute each way steal at 9/2.
Others to note…….
Mr Haggas made no bones about how he felt about Fadillah in an interview at the Craven meeting. She won her maiden over a mile three weeks ago when the penny dropped late on. The third from that race absolutely bolted up at Chester and with the step up in trip she is likely to laugh at her opening mark of 76 before going to the Oaks. If you like her for Epsom back her this morning as she will only shorten if she’s impressive.
That is just a taster of where we are at today. Will update you all with plenty more over the coming days.
All the best