It’s amazing how quickly 2014 is progressing. Feels like only yesterday the Christmas tree was coming down, now we are just 24 hours away from the first classic of the year. Point to note…. there is an awful lot of rubbish being spoken about the ground at Newmarket ahead of the weekend. Just ignore it all and you will be fine! Kingman is 7/4 on the Betfair Sports book. That is surely too big.
Just a quick note on the horses yesterday. Eddiemaurice was a non runner so will stay on the keep an eye on list for now. Of the other two Petergate shaped very nicely and will definitely be winning. He travelled very strongly through the race but in hindsight was beaten by such a well handicapped horse that he would have won with me on his back clutching a barrel of Harvey’s finest ale. NOTED.
Whilst writing this I am still cursing not having a life changer on Ronnie in the snooker. I thought about it for some time beforehand but the price was just too skinny. He is currently taking Hawkins apart similar to the way that I would dismantle a curry.
OK time for some Proform stats for trainers with runners today…..
Top win and place strike rates last 14 days (over 50%)
Warren Greatrex 78.57% (14 runners)
Nicky Henderson 64.29% (28 runners)
Gary Moore 62.50% (24 runners)
Ralph Beckett 61.54% (26 runners)
William Haggas 57.89% (19 runners)
Andrew Balding 54.84 (31 runners)
Win strike rates over 30% last ten days you can add Ben Case to that list….
Ok on to today’s action and we have one or two from the interesting list to throw into the mix.
Today’s nap comes in the form of GIANTSTEPSAHEAD (5.20 Lingfield) for Denis Quinn and Jack Mitchell. I am convinced he is a well handicapped horse on what we have seen so far. The son of Footstepsinthesand comes here on the back of a break of 237 days having last been seen at Wolverhampton over a mile and a half in September. He was very well backed that day (yes we were on) and he got soundly beaten by nine lengths into second. Now on face value that might not be so encouraging but the winner that day was ROYAL ALCOR who was absolutely trotting up off a mark of 65 and is now rated 81 so he had every right to be winning well. Giantstepsahead has had another winter to strengthen up and grow into his frame and he has shaped like this ten furlong trip might just be ideal. He rates as NAP material and if you can get some of the 5/1 or 9/2 about that is lovely.
Today’s NB is the James Fanshawe trained GREEN MONKEY (4.45 Lingfield). Up a total of 18lbs for his three victories at the back-end of last season he looks the type to continue progressing this year. The initial wide draw of nine is no longer a concern as there are now three non runners so he is effectively in six. The market has been made by a gamble on Port Alfred. I can’t have any confidence about any of the horses coming out of Charlie Appleby’s at the moment. Some of them are running too bad to be true. We can get some 5/2 about Green Monkey who is also in the Timeform 50 to follow for the year…….
Just one or two other notes. CHOISAN (4.40 Mussle) looks like he is being lined up for a punt. His form over further than a mile and a half is a concern so I wouldn’t be totally convinced that today is the day but he is worth backing.
NORWEIGAN REWARD (2.05 Lingfield) is thrown in on his old form after a lengthy absence. Fallon has been booked so if the money comes for him that could tell its own story.
Finally I thought I should give a mention to SWAMPFIRE (3.10 Lingfield). Given the form of the yard at present (Gary Moore) and the fact that on his old form he would pick these up and carry them he could just be too big a price. His recent form has not been anywhere near good enough but this is a drop into 0-65 for the first time (was rated 99 early on). The 16’s and 14’s in places this morning could look massive value later on IF he hasn’t given up on the game altogether.
Busy day, hope you enjoy. All usual re-tweets appreciated.
All the best