Big Saturday Racing Blog

Proform

It doesn’t matter what your favourite racing blend is on days like today. We have top flat and jumps action as well as the introduction to the new all-weather racing championships at Wolverhampton this evening. If you’re in the area, get yourself along to Dunstall Park. It’s just £10 entry tonight and there is some quality all-weather action http://www.wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk/horse-racing/fixturedetails/281

Whilst there is some cracking action across the cards today, as per usual my Proform racing horse watcher is alight with runners on the slightly lower graded stuff and I think we may well have found a few decent opportunities. Having said that I do like the look of Edgardo Sol in the Old Roan Chase (3.05 Aintree). He is 2-2 at the track and has far fewer miles on the clock than his rivals this afternoon and is surely overpriced at a general 13/2. I also think that Lamb Or Cod has an excellent chance in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow (4.10). He won this race last year off 6lbs lower before struggling on a couple of occasions when things just didn’t fall right (struck into on second occasion). Off since January he could be a bit better than a 130 animal and the 9/1 available is tasty (of the Nandos variety).

On to the main selections of the day. We’ll go in time order rather than strength of fancy.

4.25 Doncaster crownhotel-bawtry.com Nursery Handicap (CLASS 3)

I will be playing two against the field in on paper what looks an open race. The first is MALACHIM MIST who brings a strong piece of form into this race having been a good third last time at Nottingham. The first two in that race in my opinion are clearly group horses in the making and MM did well to finish nicely clear of the rest in third. Dropped another couple of pounds and given the services of Richard Hughes today he is of major interest at 8/1 (StanJames). I will also be having a saver on ARROWZONE. A horse that has been badly campaigned this year. On the back of his three maiden efforts he was given an opening mark of 55. A mark that was a long way under his ability. Had he been held back for nurseries he would have run up a sequence. As it turns out he was kept to maiden company next time and his mark shot up. He is not handicapped out of this though and I like the race he went close in last time at Catterick. He is a battler and is not an 11/1 chance in my book.

5.10 Newbury – Free Bets freebets.co.uk Handicap (For Lady Amateur Riders) (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

An end of season googly for you in the form of SIR BOSS. He caught the eye at Wolverhampton last time when traveling strongly and not getting the best of runs. He gets in here off top weight and is on a winning mark. Whilst it is a lady riders race stakes should be kept to a minimum but the 22/1 (30’s on Betfair) is much too big and I expect you will get a good run for your money.

5.30 Doncaster – Universal Recycling Apprentice Handicap (CLASS 4) (3yo 0-85)

Very very keen on the chances of GLANELY today. He was given a very interesting ride at Kempton last time in a race that didn’t really suit, staying on late in the day when the race had gone. Everything seems in his favour today, the trip, the track and conditions are all likely to play to his strengths and with Lewis Walsh claiming 5lbs he is very interesting indeed. The son of Exceed and Excel has only had 6 starts and I expect him to be much better than a 78 animal in time. Absolute knocking bet at 9/2.

7.15 Wolverhampton – Coral Mobile “Just Three Clicks To Bet” Handicap (CLASS 6) (3yo 0-65)

Another one from out the back of the hand tonight that just strikes me as being overpriced. The race will be made by the favourite (Mystery Drama) who bolted up last time at Southwell but I like the chances of OUR GOLDEN GIRL who has improved for the application of blinkers the last twice. She races a little bit lazy but she does stick to her task nicely and with the way the track has been running the last few nights I just get the feeling that it will suit her this evening. Robert Tart keeps the ride and she is bred to be better than a 55 beast (Dutch Art/ Pivotal Mare). 9/1 is a fair price and I think she is very likely to out run those odds.

8.15 Wolverhampton – 32Red.com Nursery Handicap (CLASS 2) (2yo)

I doubt that today is the day for MONEY TEAM but I couldn’t let this go without at least a mention. The sn of Kodiac was claimed out of Bill Turners after dotting up earlier in the summer. He was given an alarming ride at Pontefract last time which got the button pressing twitchy. Down another pound I am sure that he is being set up for a punt but there hasn’t been a penny about today. I will watch with major interest today and if there is any blue on Oddschecker I will be pleased.

8.45 Wolverhampton – 32Red On The App Store Fillies´ Handicap (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-75)

One of the most interesting horses on the whole day goes in the very last contest of the day in the form of IT’S MY TIME. Richard Fahey’s runner caught the eye last time on the back of a break in behind Tatting who was in the form of his life at the time. He is only 4lbs higher than winning at Chester earlier on in the season and the Fahey team have hit a rich vein of form in the last week or so. I think he is very interesting indeed in the lucky last and is ready available in double figures. Cracking each way value.

I hope we have managed to find you one or two bets to get your teeth into today. Enjoy what is going to be a great day!

All the best

MG

Proform

 

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Wednesday 23rd October!

Proform

A really busy days racing to look forward to this afternoon with a full mix of flat, jumps and all-weather action. Talking of weather I’m surprised my hotel room lasted through the storm here last night. It is regularly described by a few as “Butlins” and I was sure the rain was gonna come in at some point!

Pleased with Jay Bee Blue yesterday, with some clever placing he could win again. The races were not run to suit the others at kempton which was a tad annoying.

An interesting card down at Fontwell today although conditions are likely to be knee-deep. SHANTOU MAGIC (3.25) looks very interesting indeed as does HERONRY (4.00).

At Newmarket DEGLET NOOR (4.45) looks on a really tempting mark in the first time head-gear and should be backed. DEVILMENT (5.20) is also very, very interesting.

For my sins though I have concentrated mostly on the all-weather card at Kempton tonight which is actually a really interesting card.

The 6.50 is a particularly interesting maiden with several million pounds worth of two-year olds racing for less than three grand. Several Derby entries and a few fancy pedigrees. The most interesting of them may well be MOONFAARID for Mick De Kock who cost the best part of half a million pounds. No bet race but a must for the videos.

Playing in two races tonight, first up in the 8.20. Whilst there is no doubt that the short priced favourite (Bold Lass) is on a nice mark, I think there is good value available to take her on with a few of these that are over priced. We start with KING OF MACEDON who was much better than the bare form suggests at Catterick last time. The track didn’t suit, he missed the break when wanting to be up with the pace and ran on really well suggesting that his mark looks well within range. I’ll be having two savers though on big priced runners who both also look capable of their marks in the form of BASIL BERRY and BOOGANGOO. They are both available at massive prices on Betfair (20’s and 32’s) so will save on them,

I will also be looking at FOOTSTEPSINTHERAIN (8.50) who didn’t appreciate the switch to very soft ground at Ascot last time but prior to that had looked very progressive and consistent. He is surely overpriced at around 10/1 this morning and is well worth an each way play.

Good luck with all your bets today!

MG

Tuesdays racing action!

Proform

It was really good to have some action at Plumpton yesterday and I’m pretty sure that will be the last Monday of the winter I will miss!

I’ve made the dash upto Coral TV for a few days so I’ll have to keep this short and sweet as I don’t have much time.

One bet this afternoon is JAY BEE BLUE (4.00 Ling). Been running very well of late and actually did well to finish as close as he did last time with the race not run to suit. Plenty of pace in here and off bottom weight he looks a cracking play.

Two against the field at Kempton in the 6.40. EVIDENT looks well handicapped based on his last effort of Wolverhampton and this should tee up nicely for him. I do think that LUTINE BELL must be backed too. His last run went largely unnoticed as he got trapped behind a wall of horses at a crucial stage. With the blinkers left on he is very much over priced at 10/1.

Bit of a flyer in the last in ROYAL ETIQUETTE (8.10). Been running a little bit better than the form suggests of late and has slipped down to a handy mark for tonight. Gets in here off bottom weight and the 14/1 is wrong. Good each way shout.

For what it is worth, Chelsea look cracking value at 11/8 tonight.

All the best,

MG

Mondays Racing Blog

Proform

Strange scenes at Bath yesterday and some very strong words from Richard Hughes to boot about the facilities at the ARC run track. There is an interesting interview with SkySportsNewsRadio that you can listen too. I wasn’t too worries about the abandonment as I’d already pinched a nice little earner on Fitzwilly!

Today is a strange one. For some reason I have managed to mess up my diary so that I am missing a Monday Plumpton meeting! I will be in the hot seat at Timeform Radio alongside Rory Delargy this afternoon. Feel free to tune into the action, we will be on air from about 1.45 today with racing coming from Plumpton (can’t believe I’m not there), Pontefract and the last meeting of the year from Windsor.

I’ve managed to summon up two small interests today.

Long Lunch – 2.20 Plumpton

In my eyes he should be favourite for the opener on the card down at the Sussex track. He has been a little keen in his bumpers but has shown fairly smart form. With the addition of jumping hopefully helping him to settle I thought he should be clear fav on what we have seen especially with the yard going so well.

Best bet for me today is TOP BOY 3.10 Pontefract (12/1)

Really caught the eye last time out when trying to go via Milton Keynes when traveling ok at Wolverhapton. It wasn’t too long ago this son of Exceed And Excel was competing in group 2 company with an official rating of 101. Today he gets to race off 77 and must rate of particular interest. Not the greatest draw in stall 11 but with 17 runners he looks a good each way bet at around 12/1 this morning!

Tune into the show today at http://www.radio.betfair.com

All the best

MG

Sunday 20th October!

Proform

Afternoon campers. I hope you all enjoyed a great days sport yesterday. Champions day went pretty well with a stunning victory for Farhh in the feature. Lots of credit has to go to the team for having him fit and ready off such a long lay off. He will now head straight for stud duties…. lucky sod. Jack Dexter ran an absolute blinder in the sprint but just failed to get to Slade Power. When previewing the race in the morning with Dicko on Coral TV he was worried about the lack of an out and out front runner and he said SP was a solid bet. A really great shout (again). Very pleased with Dark Lover winning at Cheltenham, although a little lucky as Balder Success looked in control when falling two out. Delighted to see Balthazar King lead at a good pace, jump like a stag and win. I know a lot of people fancied him yesterday.

At Wolverhampton things didn’t pan out. Ajeeb ran a stinker and is probably gone at the game. I won’t touch him again unless I see strong early money. He could do with a change of yard. Available ran well to be 3rd but for one who likes to be on the pace he had to go via Milton Keynes to get near the lead after traveling well into the race. Hannah’s Turn was much to keen and didn’t really do herself justice. I cannot wait to see her back on fibresand where she will win!

Nothing from the http://www.proformracing.com horse watcher today. I do think that Fitzwilly (2.30 Bath) is interesting if getting a soft lead. Maybe a play in running!

NFL SUNDAY

Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions

Two improved teams on what we saw last year and I think we are in for a tight one in the early game on Skysports this evening. Both sides have weapons on each side of the ball and I have really enjoyed the progress of Giovani Bernard and Tyler Eifert for the Bengals. They are finally a franchise moving in the right direction. Andy Dalton is not the greatest QB in the game but he is a very good game manager and I expect them to push the Lions all the way. Turnovers could end up being the difference between these two teams today so defense is going to play a huge part. I think the handicap line is so tight here it doesn’t justify a play. I think the under 47 total points is the best play in the game market with the NAP coming on GB to score anytime.

UNDER 47 pts @ 10/11 with William Hill

GIOVANI BERNARD anytime touchdown scorer with Paddy Power at 7/5 (NAP)

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs

The later game on sky is a tale of two franchises in opposite ends of the scale that we expected. Houston we have a problem has been used more times than ever in the last few weeks! QB problems a plenty they will be ripe for the picking at Arrowhead tonight. Kansas are 6-0 but they are not a genuine 6-0 team. They have had a soft schedule so far and we will see them in a much better light when they play Denver in two weeks. I think I’ve found a cracker in here though in the sacks market.

SkyBet are going 10/11 on over 5.5 sacks! Neither offensive line is particularly strong and you should get as much as SkyBet will allow on!

Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts

One simple and easy bet for you here. OVER 55 PTS. Maximum bet material.

New England Patriots at New York Jets

Once again last week Tom Brady showed why he is probably the best ever. The Pats 4th quarter winning drive was just a joy to behold and had his rookie receivers held on to the ball better in recent weeks they would still be unbeaten. I was very disappointed with the Jets last week and I had the Pats in as 7 pt favs here so the fact you can get -3 on the handicap across the board is a bonus.

NEW ENGLAND -3pts @ 10/11.

I may well stick Bernard (7/5), Pats -3 (10/11), over 55 pts (den v ind) in a sexy treble!

Enjoy the games!

MG

British Champions Day and the return of the blog!

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Ok first off many apologies. The summer has been so busy I’ve struggled to blog anywhere near as much as I would like. Now the sporting world slows down a bit I have a bit more time on my hands to concentrate on getting some words down. As most of you know my bread and butter through the winter is largely the all-weather so I’m very much looking forward to getting my teeth into those cards that most people hate! I spent a big part of this week doing the videos of the last few weeks and my Proform horse watcher is overloaded with horses that have caught the eye in a positive or negative way.

Qipco British Champions Day takes place down at Ascot this afternoon with over 4 million pounds up for grabs in prize money. Excellent racing that for me brings the flat racing season largely to a close. The ground is set to be pretty testing with soft conditions on the round course and potentially good to soft on the straight course which does drain a lot better.

One or two small angles in to the card today. There is a lack of a confirmed front-runner in the sprint (2.20) and that may set the race up for JACK DEXTER. He has returned to form the last twice and conditions will suit him down to the ground. He is likely to sit close to the pace and Graham Lee can try to kick on two out, he is a fair each way price at 5/1,

In the feature race of the day the Champions Stakes (4.05) I do think at a short price it is worth taking the favorite Cirrus Des Aigles. He has no doubt been one of the top ten furlong performers of the last few year. His performances in the early part of the year however were disappointing. He does have conditions to suit this afternoon and will relish the soft ground but no seven-year old has one this since the 1800’s so he has to be taken on. If you got on the 8/1 about FARHH a week ago you are sitting in a lovely situation and although he has his absence to overcome, I was really taken with his performance in the Lockinge and I think he might take all the beating.

There is a superb supporting jumps card down at Cheltenham this afternoon which looks incredibly tricky. I am very much looking forward to the chasing debut of DARK LOVER though in the novice chase at 5.00. He has looked a chaser in the making for some time and I will be disappointed if he doesn’t win.

Let’s move proceedings on to the big meeting at Wolverhampton tonight. Five horses from the http://www.proformracing.com horse watcher go on the card there tonight and most of them are over priced.

Ajeeb – 6.20 Wolverhampton

A little bit of a flyer as Ajeeb will need to improve significantly on what he has been achieving of late. Michael Scudamore’s charge has dropped massively in the weights though in recent times (peaked at 80, runs off 58) which makes of him particular interest over the coming weeks from a yard that likes to land a tickle. He shaped a bit better than the bare form suggests last time despite being beaten over ten lengths and I think he is over priced in a weak race this evening. There is plenty of 16/1 available.

AJEEB 1 pt E/W @ 16/1.

7.50 Wolverhampton

I like the look of two against the field here. The two that caught my eye last time were AVAILABLE and HANNAH’S TURN. The former has been running with great credit of marks in the high 70’s through the summer and races off a much lower mark on the all-weather. He got collared late last time over seven furlongs by a heavily backed jolly and the drop to six tonight may well play to his strengths. Hannah’s Turn improved rapidly last winter with several excellent performances at Southwell. On the back of a break she returned with a nice effort last time when traveling strongly through the race which suggests she may well have improved again. There is every chance she is being tee’d up for another tilt at Southwell but she is overpriced today and I will take these two against the field.

AVAILABLE 1.5 PTS WIN @ 6/1, HANNAH’S TURN 1 PT WIN @ 10/1

The last one has just been called a non runner so I will keep that under my hat for another day.

Good luck with all your bets today, Blog will be back on a daily basis from here on in

MG

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