Morning campers. Well today feels a bit weird. I was hoping to be celebrating Tiger Woods winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational this morning but a tropical Florida storm meant that he only completed two holes of his final round. Play will continue at around 2.30pm our time. He did manage to extend his lead to three shots with an excellent birdie at the second hole mind. Rickie Fowler looks the only conceivable danger, although having said that the course is likely to play a lot slower today.
Just the one selection yesterday and he was a very easy winner indeed. He got absolutely hammered in the market and was backed from 3/1 into 11/8 before winning very easily. I hope many of you put him in your bets!
Only the one meeting today but I’ve been sifting through Proform all morning and come up with some interesting insights.
The Proform stats for the last 14 days have thrown up two trainers with high win and place strike rates:
Richard Hannon 66.67% (Mysterial 4.10) and Gay Kellaway 60% (Conducting 5.10)
PRINCE OF BURMA has been on my horses to follow list for a while. If he doesn’t win the first today, he will firmly be dropped off it!
By far the most interesting horse on the card for me today is KINDIA (5.10) trained by Michael Attwater. She started her career in France before racing here for the first time in November and she has shown steady pieces of form since whilst not really having the pace to win over a mile. Today she steps up in trip for the first time and she looks sure to improve for it. Her 2nd at Kempton on 28th January has worked out well and today she drops into 0-70 company for the first time. This does look a good race for the grade but the 16/1 about her this morning is far to tempting to leave alone and is a very good each way price. The favourite MUBTADI is very solid however and the form of his last win has worked out incredibly well and he may be up to progressing again.
You will know I have been following POLARITY (4.40) for a while. She is a massive price again today (50’s on betfair) but I have that nagging feeling that she will pop up soon at a massive price off a tumbling mark. Thomas Brown takes off another 5lbs today which will help further and whilst she is likely to finish last, she is certainly going to pop up at some point so I will back her small and throw some darts at the place market too.
By process of elimination with regards handicap marks and trip, ELUSIVE HAWK (3.10) should be very difficult to beat under a penalty. He won incredibly easily at Kempton the other night and is expected to do so again today. The bottom weight Sannibel may be the danger.
So a couple of big priced arrows to fire on a quiet day. Miako is entered on Wednesday and it looks a good race. I’m off to get the kettle on to watch the Tiger bring home the bacon!
Good luck today, be lucky