Morning, well afternoon actually. A long four days away and work last night meant the once a week customary sleep in this morning! Woke to great news that all of today’s meetings have beaten the weather, fingers crossed the weather relents for tomorrow.
Another great days for the stats yesterday if you follow them on Proform, with Camachoice and Divine Rule both winning at Kempton. I was disapoointed with the way the race panned out for Clapped but after missing the break he was always up against it. William Van Gogh won really easily and was always going to win. A large bet was had by all and a lovely profit for the day! Ta for the thanks.
A devilishly difficult day today all round with ground likely to be very testing. Here are the top four trainers with win & place strike rates over the last 14 days….
Kevin Ryan 61.54%
Richard Hannon 61.54%
Andrew Balding 54.55%
Laura Mongan 50%
That leads me nicely onto the most interesting horse at Newbury for me today in TUSCAN GOLD (5.30). He looks on a winnable mark as he moves into handicaps over obstacles for the first time. Improving with each run so far this year. The yard is going particularly well and this may not actually be as competitive as it looks on paper. For you each way thieves he is a very backable 5/1.
Also at Newbury I think that a seven pound rise will not stop KAYLIF ARAMIS (4.25). He cruised through the race and looks all about stamina. I would be surprised and disappointed if he wasn’t good enough to follow-up this afternoon and he is just about the best bet of the day.
I will be backing ALLNECESSARYFORCE (2.00 Donc). Richard Fahey’s record in early season (March-April) handicaps reads really well on Proform and judged on his 4th in a listed race at the back-end of last season he could be very well handicapped off a mark of just 78.
I won’t be betting in the 2.30 but will of course be cheering on ART SCHOLAR for obvious reasons. Hope Mick’s Mops Angel goes well in the Brocklesby too.
My best bet of the day though comes in the form of HEAVENS GUEST (3.35 Doncaster). He improved with each run last year and finished with a comfortable success in a Catterick maiden. An initial mark of 77 seems fair enough and he may well just improve bundles for this step back up in trip on soft ground with another winter behind him. Any market support would be a big bonus but the 5/1 about him this morning will do lovely.
On other news when Tiger Woods drifted to 7/2 I couldn’t resist. He largely played very well yesterday and provided that Rose doesn’t have another freaky few days then he is bang there on -3. Looks like West Ham will get the Olympic Stdium…bugger. David Gold has been tweeting all the positives this morning. The main one of course being the football clubs worth in a 60,000 seater stadium David…….oh did you miss that one?
Good luck today. Fingers crossed for the weather!