Good morning. I hope that everyone is well refreshed after last week. It was an up and down week but a really good Friday made it a nice winning one. Thanks for all your messages regarding Miako on Tuesday. Obviously the initial reaction after the race was disappointment that he had been beaten, but on the face of it he actually ran really well on a surface that was riding much slower than his previous run. He travels like a dream and has the ability to get his rivals off the bridle very quickly. If we just ride him with a tad more restraint he will definitely win off his new mark, hopefully next week!
We have lost Huntingdon today so I have concentrated todays efforts onto the all-weather (no surprises there I hear you shout!) I am so looking forward to the start of the flat season. I do love the jumps but by far my most profitable time of year is the summer! Fingers crossed the horrid snow manages to bypass Doncaster over the next couple of days as it seems the meeting could be in doubt.
I found it hard to pinpoint the best bet of the day today as I fancy three horses quite strong. First one or two interesting stats from Proform. Quite a few trainers with very good win and place strike rates floating about at the moment but by far the most interesting of those are the top four!
Ed Vaughan 83.33% (Clapped 9.00 Kemp)
Marco Botti 68.75% (Camachoice 8.30 Kempton)
James Unett 66.67% (Big Sylv (5.50 Wolverhampton)
Laura Mongan 62.50% (Indy Spirit 6.30 Kempton, Divine Rule 9.00 Kempton)
This leads me on nicely to the first bet of the day which comes right towards the end of the day in the form of CLAPPED (9.00 Kempton). He is a horse that went firmly into the notebook when upped from 6f to a mile and a half on handicap debut last time which he clearly didn’t stay. This may well have been used as an experiment to see how far he would travel as he had been running on strongly over 6. He drops back to a mile tonight for the very in form Ed Vaughan and has been given the first time blinkers to try to eek out a bit of improvement. He definitely looks capable of winning off this mark and looks of real interest at a tasty each way price of 8/1 this evening.
I really like the claims of WILLIAM VAN GOGH (5.50 Wolverhampton). Based on his old form he looks incredibly well handicapped and he has given two clear indications the last twice that he is ready to strike. He wasn’t given the best of rides last time so it may be significant that Graham Gibbons takes over this afternoon. This is a better race than last week but based on his old ability and off such a light weight he is of major interest to me this afternoon and must be backed!
The other one which took my eye today was QUALITY ART (2.30 Wolverhampton). By no means as strong a selection as the first two but he is another one that is very well in on his old turf form to the tune of about 20lbs. He showed a spark last time suggesting that the time is not far away. He is a hold up horse so will need the gaps appear at the right times. The application of first time blinkers are also another factor to eek out a bit of improvement. He is very interesting but has been well found in the market at 7/2 this morning and I wouldn’t be surprised if he went off pretty short!
Tiger Woods looks like a bit of a banker back at Bay Hill this weekend but he is very well found in the market and is generally an 11/4 shot. I hope he wins for everyone that has piled in!
Good luck today! Here is to three winners!!