Morning campers. Woke up to a Twitter feed full of people talking about snow? Nothing here, but I practically live on the beach and it tends to stay away! Well how frustrating a day was yesterday? Knowe Head was basically given no chance at all of winning by his inexperienced jockey. they went absolutely no pace whatsoever and the front two remained in that position throughout. He remains off interest though as does Fortunate Bid. What a frustrating run! He was cantering all over them two furlongs out and looked all over the winner. Tony Hamilton just didn’t know which way to go off the bend and his indecisiveness cost him not only the race but the place money. He is a horse that has to do as much of the work on the bridle as possible and I have no doubt with a clearer run he would have won. He has been heavily backed the last twice now though so all hands have very much been shown. Upto Something must have traded very short in the run too. He was going much the best turning for home but seemed to idle in front then got out stayed up the hill. Keep an eye on that Coneygree form, it looks strong.
I fancy a few speculative ones today. I have to follow in on OFFICER IN COMMAND (1.30 Ling) as he travelled so well last time. Have a feeling that Lingfield might just suit him a little better and he’s a definite each way player at double figure odds.
The old problem of two list horses in the same race comes up at 2pm. I really like the chances of EXCEEEDEXPECTATIONS but he has been drawn widest of all which is the only negative. That is however factored into his price and the 8 & 9/1 available in places is much too big. In the same race I have also had an each saver on FISHFORCOMPLIMENTS. I’ve backed him the last twice and he is so consistent. Today is last chance saloon in the hope that he can get that head in front.
I think the best bet of the day comes a little later in the day though in the form of BAAN (3.30 Ling). On some of his old form he would actually pick this lot up and carry them and of late he has dropped a couple of hints that he is ready to strike. He is a better horse on the all-weather than he is on turf and races today off a career low mark of 55. Last time out he actually ran much better than the bare form suggests on really bad ground behind the very well handicapped Beyeh from the Mick Appleby stable. In my opinion that makes him of massive interest in a race of this nature. The only problem really lies in how much assistance he is likely to get from the saddle. Stevie Saunders has only had one ride in public and it was on Baan two starts back. It might not be pretty but I am prepared to give him and chance and the 9/1 available is much much too big!
I have also thrown a few arrows at LOYAL ROYAL (5.50 KEMP). It is just such a weak race that his consistency might well just pay off!
Not too much more to report on for today,
Hope you back plenty of winners!