Thursday 28th November

Morning peeps. A pretty solid day all round yesterday. Was pleased Tinshu finally got his head in front, he has been on the list since an unlucky run at Ascot earlier in the year and it was just a case of finding the right race. Langham Lilly just about managed to land the maximum despite the fact that the race wasn’t run to suit at all. On the evidence of that she may well want 14f+ in future.

The start of the winter festival at Newbury today brings in some decent jumps action. It will be interesting in the first race to see how AAIM TO PROSPER gets on in his first start over hurdles. The dual Cesarewitch winner was highly rated on the flat and if he takes to hurdling, could be a very interesting recruit. I have to say that strictly on what we have seen from the others I think he will be very hard to beat if he jumps well.

The novices handicap hurdle at 1.30 is a really interesting race and might be one to follow for future bets. I backed OTTO THE GREAT at Ascot last time when getting a 9l beating from IVORS KING. He gets an 11lb pull in the weights today which certainly brings them close together but there is no saying how much Ivors King had in hand that day. There are plenty of alternatives in a competitive heat, and it’s a watching brief for me.

My first bet of the day goes in the 12.55 in the form of KRUZHLININ. He made a real impression on me when winning last time despite jumping badly to the left at Carlisle. He won with plenty in hand that day and looks useful. Going left-handed round here today can only bring out a bit more and I think he will win again.

My best bet of the day today however will require some patience as it is in the last race of the day (7.35 Kempton) in the form of KAYLEE. She firmly went into the notebook two starts back when a little unlucky. I backed her last time when she was 2nd at a big price. Given a more patient ride she may well have won and I think she will be cherry ripe for tonight in what is a pretty weak race. Ned Curtis takes over in the saddle as it’s an apprentice handicap so if she wins tonight she can run again without a penalty. StanJames have just gone 3/1 and that will do me lovely jubbly.

Good to see all three ante-post bets for the Hennessy still stand. The closer we get to the race the more confident I am about Hold On Julio who is still freely available at 8/1 today.

I’m on the late show on Coral TV today so a lazy afternoon is in store!

Be lucky today!



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