Afternoon! Well how miserable is this weather? Split day for me today as I’m off to Timeform Radio to host the evening action from Wolverhampton and Stateside so I don’t have much time.
Conditions at all tracks today are very testing indeed, my best bet of the day however comes over at Lingfield park. I’ve had a pretty lumpy each way bet on STATEGIC ACTION (3.35). Linda Jewell’s gelding is lightly raced with only 11 starts in the bag and has shown some improvement of late. He got into a bit of trouble last time at a crucial stage and would have gone very close to winning. I think that went largely un-noticed. He’s a big player if he gets a clear run.
The feature race of the day is the Betfair Chase (3.05 Haydock) and I feel that we have to take on Long Run. For quite some time now I have felt that he is just a one paced out-and-out galloper. He will struggle to win any grade one on decent ground in my opinion if the opposition is up to scratch. Today’s bad ground obviously add to his claims but for me he just doesn’t jump well enough and I have visions on Ruby just tracking him on SILVIANACO CONTI and not pressing the button until as late as possible. He will do for me at 9/4.
I’ve also backed BLACK THUNDER at Haydock (12.55) and ROWE PARK (2.25 Ling). Both to me who look like winning off their current marks, especially Rowe Park who will appreciate this drop in trip today.
Better get myself into gear.