Super Saturday! – Seconditis……..

I feel a bit lost this morning. My first venture out the flat for three days yesterday after dealing with an epic encounter with man flu had made me think I’d been in doors for two months after realising it was literally baltic outside. I immediately came home and got back under the duvet after purchasing some chicken from the Tesco express over the road. Literally bloody freezing.

I’ve made various comments about smashing crossbar’s to smithereens over the last few weeks. Well I’ve been banned from all parks after yesterday……take a look at why I use this phrase:

Countrywide Flame 2nd 9/1

Art Scholar 2nd 12/1

Nordic Quest 2nd 7/1

Taro Tywod 2nd 12/1

Hold On Julio 3rd 13/2

Galaxy Rock 2nd 7/1

Bold Cross 2nd 12/1

Langham Lily 2nd 11/4 (Actually in my mind the winner still grrrrr)

Tawaasul 3rd 11/4

Archie Stevens 2nd 9/2

Edgware Road 2nd13/2

Fortunate Bid 3rd 12/1

That my friends is what you call smashing the crossbar to pieces. I can’t complain as it has still been a very profitable month, but it just goes to show….one or two better rides and we would be in Barbados rather than freezing our bits off on a train to London.

The ride on Archie Stevens yesterday cost us and plenty of other people the money yesterday. The money was seriously down as he went from 9/2 into 7/4 and effectively almost finished on the bridle. It was painful to watch and things didn’t really get any better on Edgeware Road. Both are effectively winners without penalties but their hands have been well and truly shown, bugger.

Today is an absolute feast of racing. I’m hosting Timeform Radio this afternoon from 1.15pm. With 5 cards plus the 2 big races from Ireland to take in I won’t have to talk too much today which will save the old vocal cords that have been suffering through the week.

As it is Saturday I am going to start the betting column with a facemelter of a bet of the day! This comes in the form of AVONVALLEY (6.15 Wolv). Peter Grayson’s mare has risen a total of 17lbs in this calendar year after some nice performances. You can forget the last run after being pitched in at the deep end from out fo the weights in a big handicap. Back in class today on a course that she generally runs very well she looks way overpriced to me. Was rated as high as 78 a couple of years ago so this mark is potentially still workable. Massive price at 12/1 this morning!

The second best bet of the day is without doubt INVINCIBLE WARRIOR (4.10 Donc). Brian Meehan’s colt was a huge eyecatcher on debut before winning impressively on his second start. He showed a really smart turn of foot that day and looked a colt of considerable potential. This does not look the strongest of listed contests and his opening OR of 85 probably underestimates his actual ability and therefore he doesn’t have as much to find with a few of these as it seems. The 5/1 this morning was an early chilly Xmas present.

I thought BIG FELLA THANKS represented some value this morning too at a general 5/1. He has a long absence to overcome but that is the only negative I could really find. He is potentially very well handicapped on his old form and the trip will suit perfectly. His course record is very good here too (although national course) and there is a lot to recommend him for a big run this afternoon.

Art Scholar runs again today in the 2.00 at Donny. I’m sure he will run well again on the back of a 2lb rise. This is by far the toughest race of the season and the step up in trip asks another question. He should run well and I certainly wouldn’t put you off backing him again each way if you fancy him. I probably will at 12/1, price too big.

Another big day for West Ham today as the boys travel up to Wigan. The home side have been on a poor run and I think it represents another opportunity for us to bag some very much-needed points. We have a brutal 6 weeks coming up against basically the top 6 so every point counts at this stage. 4000 away fans making the trip….blimey that may well be more than the amount of home fans……..minimum of a point please lads “jingle bellls, jingle bells………….”

I’m off to put ten layers on before the trek up to London.

Have an awesome Saturday and back plenty of winners!

MG

@markagrantham

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