Apologies once again yesterday for forgetting to add the NFL rundown for last nights game between the Vikings and the Buccaneers. I did tweet last night that the best bet was Tampa +6.5 on the handicap and that they were probably value in the outright market at around 11/5 with some 9/4 about. Well Tampa steam rolled the Vikes 36-17 with the rookie Doug Martin rushing for 136 yards. He looked impressive but the biggest thing this highlighted again is how poor the odds compilers are with the NFL. Every week the games are priced on the teams records rather than the actual ability of the two teams in that particular match up. The home crowd were booing in the first quarter…..wtf???
Hold Court made a pleasing enough hurdling debut to bring home the bacon at Ludlow. He came off the bridle fairly early and didn’t jump too fluently but he was ultimately well on top at the end. He looked to me like he may be in the need of slightly further on a more galloping track.
There has been plenty of chit-chat over the last 48 hours about the new channel 4 racing line up. There have been some good additions to the squad and one or two interesting appointments too. Nick, GC and Gina are all solid additions to the team and well deserved. The one thing that really gets me is why people who can’t broadcast are given jobs as broadcasters? One thing I think you can be sure of from January 1st is that fashion might take up as much air time on the racing program as the actual racing. I also think it’s a real shame that Chris Dixon wasn’t at least put in the squad. I know I am slightly biased as he’s a mate but he honestly walks all over most of the team with his work ethic, knowledge and outright zest for the game. Having said that he has plenty of time and in my book is 1.01 to get there eventually and I’m sure he’ll be propelled up the RUK ranks with others less frequently available.
There are several horses running from the hotlist today……here goes.
Bet of the day material was tough to come by today as all of the list horses are reasonable prices. The hammer came down on DULKASHE (4.00 Newbury). The daughter of Pivitol has only had six starts to date and has shown some steady progression with each run except for a weak effort at Sandown last month on very fast ground. She seemed to appreciate the softer surface when a staying on third at Nottingham last time behind the very well handicapped Art Scholar. That form has a real solid look to it and back on a soft surface she jumps off the page at me this afternoon. She’s generally available at 9/2 and 5/1.
Also at Newbury I like the chances of KING DRAGON (4.00). The Brian Meehan trained gelding has been mixing it with some big guns for most of the season and has largely been running with credit. Today represents his easiest challenge for a while with the drop down to nursery company and I thought he represented some value at around 8/1 this morning with Stan James.
ARCHIE STEVENS (6.10 Wolv) is not the most straight forward by any means, but having said that he has shown glimpses that make me think he would be well handicapped off his current mark in a handicap so that makes him of interest dropped to a seller. The yard continue to go well and if the money came that could be significantfor this drop in grade.
Then there are the two slightly more speculative horses that have managed to weasel their way onto the interesting list. The first of them is EDGEWARE ROAD (8.10 Wolv). A short stint over hurdles must have given the yard the impression that he wants a trip. Well Either that or they have been setting this up for a touch. A strong traveller who likes to lead and he has been in front at the 9f pole on most of his recent starts before blatantly not seeing out the final 2/3f. The drop back in trip looks absolutely ideal tonight and the blinkers are going back on. Very interesting at around 13/2 this morning.
The last bet of the day will be FORTUNATE BID 9.10 Wolv. Although it is a speculative one. He’s caught my eye on more than one occasion in the process of dropping in the weights and is definitely handicapped to win. He is though probably better over 7/8f so this just does stretch him a little although if he is ridden with patience he does see it out. Patience will be needed but as a result 12/1 is much too big and is an each way play.
It’s the last day of four on the sidelines today and the dreaded flu has stopped me from getting half the things done that I wanted to. I am on Timeform Radio tomorrow for Racing Post Trophy day at Donny and then I’m off to Wembley on Sunday for the NFL matchup between the Pats and Rams so a busy weekend lies in store.
Be lucky today. Back some winners.