Yesterday was as tough as we all thought it would be. I feel Countrywide Flame would have won with a better ride. Jimmy was switching in and out for a good half a mile looking for a run, he should have gone on earlier. Brae Hill went about half a furlong then seemed to go wrong. I have no idea what happened to Baltic Prince. Looked the winner three out and stopped to a walk, I think it is fair to say it has been one of those weeks.
Sat and watched the X-Factor for my sins last night. What a load of shite. It is not a singing competition, it’s a popularity contest. The groups are all average and the overs are karaoke singers! I know a lot of it is just done for TV with the judges arguing like little kids but some of it is terrible to watch. Rylan Clark is the joke of the series. Still don’t understand why when what is still ultimately a singing competition, they feel the need to add the novelty act every year that can’t sing. The highlight of the night was Gary Barlow’s comeback on the taxi comment, genius. Ella Henderson however is extremely talented and they have found a star there.
Difficult day on the racing front today. Tough card at Goodwood with plenty of runners. I think that Presto Volante will complete the hat-trick in the first but the price is just a little skinny for a bet. If he touches 3/1 I will probably get involved. He looked better the further he went at Salisbury and I think he is still ahead of the handicapper over staying trips and the extra two furlongs may bring about even more.
DETROIT LIONS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
The tale of two underachievers at the Linc gets the Sky coverage underway tonight. Michael Vick and the Eagles have real ball security issues. More turnovers than a dj with Insomnia. Whilst the Lions have been struggling on Defence and with their terrible special teams. There is always the danger that the Eagles will click into gear at some point and if that happens, someone is going to get a real hiding. I don’t really see that happening tonight but I do see a lot of offense. If this is the case, the Lions tend to desert the run pretty quickly and start slinging it to Megatron (Calvin Johnson). I think Stafford’s passing yards is a value play.
MATT STAFFORD OVER 275.5 YARDS @ 5/6 WITH PADDY POWER
NEW YORK GIANTS @ SAN FRANSISCO 49ERS
This is the big re-match of the NFC Championship game from last year and I feel there is a bit of an over reaction to how well the 49ers are doing. Yes granted, their run D is amazing and it is almost impossible to run on them. Will this bother the Giants? No. Manning loves a good 500 yard passing game and also loves the odd shootout. On the flip side I still really don’t rate Alex Smith under centre for the 49ers. He has a good unit around him, but if they had an elite quarterback they would be different gravy. This is a game the Giants will be so pumped up for so watch out for a few special team plays that could swing it. the giants getting 6.5 here is too big in my opinion. They are always in the game with manning.
NEW YORK GIANTS +6.5 pts @ 10/11 generally.
Early start tomorrow so I’m going to have to record the late game. The Texans are amazing at home and should win comfortably.