Updated eye catchers and today’s interests!

I know the blogs over the winter were few and far between but I hope that plenty of you slotted Cullingworth into your trackers from the early posts. He re-appeared at Mussleburgh this week and travelled really well through the race before coming through well to win. He was available in the morning at fancy prices and returned at 16/1. Absolutely delighted with the performance of Next Stage at Newmarket on Tuesday too, the Defrocked form from last year was strong and back on better ground he was excellent.

A couple running today out of the Proform Watcher. That is Mystique Moon (5.20 Newmarket). I liked the way he dominated a slowly run four runner contest first time in a handicap. The result doesnt do him justice for how much he was on top and a 6lb rise won’t stop him. This should suit even better and he is well worth backing at a general 5/1 today, personally I’ve invested 3 points.

Final is a horse that I’m just a bit baffled at the campaigning of. He has shaped more times than I can remember like 12 furlongs plus is where he desperately needs to be. It may be that MJ has a long term target (Ebor maybe) and that he is trying to get as much out of him at 10 first. Anyhow he goes again today over that trip at Ripon and if he can get an early position and they go quick enough, he could well have a say in the finish. I’ve had one point to win (15/2) and will be having more points on him in the place and 4TBP markets.

On to all the lastest entries to Proform from the last week……..

Dinneratmidnight

Tends to come on for first run so highly encouraging effort on return at Wolves 17/4/17. All his wins have come at 6 furlongs so this was especially interesting over a quick five here. They went quick and he travelled really well from off the pace and was just punched out by Fanning close home.  He is on his last winning mark of 77 and should be very interesting in the next few weeks.

Rose Berry

A small note of a horse to follow. Been pitched in at the deep end a couple of times. Firstly her last run last season in a group 3, then on her return to action at Wolverhampton 17th April was thrown straight into a competitive 0-85 contest. She travelled ok through the race which was won from the front and was never asked too much of. That should have blown away the cobwebs and she looks well capable off 77 to me. I would assume next time they will look to slip her into a less competitive 0-80 and we can see her progress again.

Whitecliff Park

Not one at all for maximum faith but shaped encouragingly at Wolverhampton on 17th April 17. Held up off a steady pace he went through it quite nicely, but got outpaced as the quicker horse accelerated. He was closest at the finish. this was 9.5f, his best efforts have been over a mile and a half and with his knee action and bit of juice might be ideal on turf. Going back through his form, surprised to see that he has not tried beyond a mile and a half yet. certainly one to have on side moving forward up in trip. Jockey bookings could be crucial.

Medahim

A nice horse. He sluiced in on debut just before Christmas and re-appeared at Wolves 17th April when travelling through the race like much the best horse off an opening mark of 87. He was tucked in a pocket and was second to Original Choice (Haggas) who mas given a masterful ride by De Sousa. Frankie didn’t overdo it once it was clear he couldn’t win and I think on a more conventional track (straight) we might see him progress some way past 87. He has an entry in the 2000 Guineas, but they may take the option to bring him along steadily and take in a couple of handicaps instead.

Mutarakez

Interesting if not all together decisive. A couple of lack lustre efforts to get him race fit this year before being pretty well backed at Newmarket 18th April. The race was won by the unexposed Next Stage of Godolphin (who I was extremely keen on) from the front in a race where they didn’t go mad up front. Mutakarez was held up out the back and went comfortably through it. When the pace quickened he just got caught on heels once or twice and was forced to switch and was doing all his best work late on. Bearing in mind his mark has dropped from 101 down to 89 it seems he may be worth following for a few starts given his conditions as he was clearly better than the result shows. One note of caution would be that his head carriage wasn’t great. His best speed figures and ratings have been on genuine good ground.

Vibrant Chords

Like so many sprinters, especially from this yard, he seems to have come on leaps and bounds from 3 to 4. He was heavily backed ahead of his reappearance at Newmarket 18/4/17 and it was absolute head in hands stuff. He tanked through the race off a strong gallop but just as the race developed he got squeezed out at a crucial stage. Once in the clear he flew but it was too late and he finished on the heels of the leaders, i’ve absolutely no doubt he would have run out a ready winner. Given he’s already rated 90, not sure what will be next as they may well head in to pattern company, but if they stay in handicaps he is a must bet next time. Definitely one to follow with interest.

Stradivarius

Very much learning on the job and after scrambling home in his maiden he moved into handicap company for the first time at Beverley 19/4. Moving up to ten furlongs for the first time, the further he went the better and he laughed at his rivals close hom on what is ultimately a speed favouring track off his opening mark of 78. Mr Handicapper is likely to give him a sharp rise for this, probably 10lbs I would imagine but that should not be stopping the progress as his pedigree screams a mile and a half. As he steps up in trip, keep following.

Powerallied

Just a small note, he didn’t run as badly as the result may suggest at Beverley on his return 19/4. He came on a bit for first run last year and has a good record round Chester, so would be interesting if he turns up there off what is a winnable mark, especially as he may got another small drop for this effort.

Our Charlie Brown

Held up on return off a strong pace at Beverly 19th April, he ran on late passed some beaten horses and shaped with much encouragement. This should bring him on quite a bit and I would expect him to take a step forward from this in the coming weeks.

Inshaa

One for a bit of a health warning as he’s still a maiden after 18 starts. He has though, managed to fall down the weights as a result and would surely have gone incredibly close to winning at Wolves 19th April but for 2 or 3 run stopping moves. The ay he finished off the race was eye-catching to say the least. That just may be him all over but in this basement grade stuff he is surely playable.

The flat is back! Week one eye catchers

An absolutely fantastic time of the year, my favourite without doubt as we head towards the summer season, the flat, cricket and sunny days!

Here are the latest additions to the Proform Horse Watcher that you should be looking to back…..

Lord George

Steady improvement in 2016 and actually ran really well in a race where they didn’t go quick on re-appearance at Newcastle. Race was won by Wild Hacked which stacks up with the Big Country form and is very strong indeed. Considering he was hampered up the straight and they didn’t go a great pace, he did really well to get as close as he did. Quite possibly a pattern horse moving forward and should be followed under optimum conditions.

Amood

A very interesting run after completely missing the break at Newcastle on 14th April 17. He has shown a real liking to this place and is on a nice mark. After missing the break he effectively finished on the bridle after just getting stuck behind a wall of horses about a furlong and a half out. He has clearly come on for his initial outing and is surely ready to win and should be kept on the right side of.

Scuzeme

Having won his maiden really easily at Newcastle in January he took another step forward with his run on handicap debut at Nottingham 12th april. Held up out the back he made smooth headway to come through the field to finish 2nd to what looked like an absolute handicap blot in Justanotherbottle. He won this off 73 but could be at least a 90+ horse so I have to mark up Scuzeme. If you watch the video closely, Phil Makin can see that the race is gone and is very sympathetic with him close home yet he still comfortably picks up 2nd. There is every chance on pedigree that he may appreciate a step up to 6 at some point too. One to follow with interest.

Weekend Offender

A large eye catcher at Nottingham on his re-appearance 12/4/17. Downside to this one is that his run would have been picked up by all the decent race readers and might not be any price at all. Firstly it was a day at Notts were being handy was an advantage. He was noted travelling really well back in the field and as the race developed he had to wait for the gaps to appear before moving to the outside to challenge. He made ground up quickly and was surely unlucky. He has come on for his first run in his first two seasons so should be of major interest in the coming weeks with conditions to suit. Bearing in mind he’s a Lope De Vega, soft ground should not be a problem at all.

Hertford Dancer

She’s only rated 72 and is one of the lesser lights for Gosden but again she has shaped here (12th April – Nottingham) like she is going to be a middle distance horse. Outpaced and slightly unbalanced as the race quickened turning for home, once she was switched out wide she stayed on really nicely without ever really looking like winning. She looks a 12f+ horse to me on all evidence and when stepped up in trip, if placed well she’ll be wining races soon.

Masarzain

Not one for maximum faith but quite interesting all the same. Having steadily dropped down the weights over the last six months he is on an attractive mark. His run at Catterick 12th April has pricked my interest. He was in first time blinkers off a career low mark of 65 and was a little slowly into stride which meant that he was poorly placed at the rear of the field. After coming four wide off the bend, he played bumper cars for the first furlong in the straight but once seeing clear daylight he picked up really well without the weapons being chucked at him. One to keep on side

The Armed Man

This is only a minor entry. Seems to have done well over the winter and travelled really smoothly at Catterick in apprentice race on re-appearance when given a really poor ride by Paula Muir. The horse effectively carried her and nothing more, she took about 100 yards to get her stick sorted. Having tickled down the weights, chances are he’s on a winning mark.

Desert Ruler

Looks to have done well from 3 to 4 and was absolutely desperate on re-appearance at Ponte 11th April. He was in last on the rail turning in and couldn’t get a clear run. When the gaps came he absolutely flew and just failed to get there. He’ll probably get a rise in the weights for this and would have been picked up by quite a few eyes but he looks like a seriously well handicapped horse on that evidence.

Melabi

Has changed hands several times which may mean all is not grand but since his switch to Richard Ford he has managed to get him dropped another ten pounds to 67. Peak rating of 80 after his maiden win means he’s on a nice mark now and if you watch his comeback run at Pontefract 11th april 17 you might be salivating. Jockey never moved a muscle on him after a tardy start until long after the race had gone and to the untrained eye it looked like he was just plugging on for a nice fourth place. Watch more closely and you’ll see there is very minimal effort. Chances are he will get dropped a coupled more for this and will become very interesting now in the coming weeks.

A note to remind you all that NEXT STAGE is entered at Newmarket on Tuesday. He hated the soft ground on his final run last year but on what he showed us previously, must be ahead of his mark and should be backed with the ground drying out.

 

 

Pomme’s time to shine & a large priced dart…

Proform

I’m looking forward to Pomme switching to a mares race ahead of the 2.50 at Carlisle tomorrow. She has shown lots of promise on all her starts so far and I’m pretty sure if you look at the figures that you can make a good case for her to be favourite in this race.

If you want more details on why I like her then you can read back through previous posts. Which One Is Which and Lastbutnotleast make this an interesting contest. The latter has a penalty to carry but has shaped like this step up in trip will suit, whilst the former is under priced on what she’s achieved.

They clearly had a choice here with Pomme of going for a similar race to last time and getting her a nice mark or going for a mares race with a big chance of a gaining a win. The way she travels should suit Carlisle and she’ll hopefully be the last off the bridle before going on to score. Bet365 have opened up at 3/1. I think she should be favourite.

Elsewhere, I do have one of the interesting horses running today in the form of CASTANEA (5.20 Kempton). Now let’s not go mad, he’s a 42 rated 18 race maiden. So let that sink in, this is not a bank job and it has health risks attached to it but I do think there is a case to be made.

I get the feeling there may have been one or two issues in 2016 as he started to look awkward. He was given a six month break on the back of his last run in July before making a very interesting return over an inadequate 8.5f at Wolverhampton on Jan 26th. Here are my Proform notes.

This is probably one to come with a health warning. An 18 race maiden that has clearly had a few issues. Throw in the fact that he’s now rated just 42 and this should not be one to go over board with but certainly of interest as we’ll get some juice in the price because of the profile.

I’d urge you to watch the replay of the run at Wolverhampton on January 26th 17, which was his first run for 6 months having previously been seen running terribly at Ffos Las and Brighton in mid summer. Now watch closely. The first thing to note is that the trip was short of what he needs, he clearly wants about 10f, so it was obviously intended as a prep run or cobweb blower. Second thing to note is watch the draw, missing the break, wide trip early, and the effort on board to actually get close….

Now I must stress that there could just be a chance that he is a rogue and that he was really well and fresh ahead of this run. There could also be a small chance that whatever was the issue previously has been sorted and he is ready to rock and roll.

His price is going to allow us some fun. He has opened up at 16/1 tonight and is a really good each way bet. The only negative might be that it may have been picked up by other race readers so he may get well backed. If he does, then he may not even try.

Before we go I must just give you the details of a horse to follow in the early part of 2017. CULLINGWORTH is the one, here are the notes…

I think he’s potentially quite nice horse to follw for 2017. Ran in quite a few conditions races early on before having a mid summer break. Most intersting run was certainly the last start of 2016 when running in a messy race at Chester 9/9/16 when a horse fell and traffic problems. The way he travelled through that race and the fact that he was hampered were both interesting considring how he finshed off. Although well beaten was doing excellent work late on. Definitely capable of achieving much more than 81 this year. The form of this race has worked out really well too.

Pomme – 2.50 Carlisle

Castanea – 5.20 Kempton. E/W.

Be lucky today.

MG

Proform

The dudes are waiting!

Proform

Well February has got off to a flying start. Of the nine eye-catchers I’ve given positive mentions too on the blog over the last few weeks, a total of zero have won. One or two have shown promise for next time, one or two have simply ran terribly. Really disappointed with Big Windmill yesterday. He jumped poorly in truth and was just on the back foot from the first fence. He shaped like that track/trip is too sharp for him. Line through it and move on.

I’m writing this Sunday evening as I’ll be up till god knows what time watching Tom Brady win the Superbowl MVP and Lady Gaga lighting up half time (food break and beer).

Two average meetings on Monday, just a couple of Proform notes in terms of trainer form. Ken Slack, Tracy Waggott and Chris Dwyer have all had a 66.67% strike rate of win & placed horses the last 2 weeks. Ian Williams has sent out 23 runners in the last 14 days, 9 have won.

I will only pass on one horse today from the list and hopefully this one will break the blog hoodoo. HYMN FOR THE DUDES (5.50 Wolverhampton) was a huge eye-catcher two starts back when basically finishing on the bridle back on the 31st May. On the back of that run he was off the track for 8 months before re-appearing at Wolverhampton on Jan 23rd. He clearly needed it and after travelling well through the race he was forced wide and weakened late on in a race where Adam Kirby seemed to be given a charmed life if you get my drift.

The key to this is, I’m sure this was a quiet ride to get him spot on. He is clearly better than his mark of 51 and even more importantly, Adam Kirby has been booked for the ride too. Whilst I am writing this his price is already starting to go tonight, but there is still some 5/1 about so I am happy to put him up.

COLD FUSION is in the same race and it will be interesting to see how she fares back here compared to Southwell last week. I may have a final tiny saver on her as a last chance saloon before she is dropped off the list.

Hymn For The Dudes – 2pts win @ 5/1.

Have fun tonight and be lucky tomorrow!

MG

Proform

Hoping the windmill will blow away the Saturday tears!

Proform

Ahh. How annoying was yesterday. Testa Rossa got absolutely hammered late doors into 4/1 from 7’s. Unfortunately the dropping back to seven didn’t really help but in truth he was given a poor ride. Edmunds let him get squeezed out and then just sat behind the whole field. I was shouting at the screen 5 furlongs out for him to switch wide.

I don’t think enough of the jockeys watch enough of the racing. When the horses come under pressure at Newcastle on the all-weather, the majority of them tend to drift to the far side. Horses that try to weave through have a very poor record. Once he switched wide and got daylight he took off but it was too late in a really steadily run race.

I will for now consider it money borrowed. As he is still thriving and will clearly win again soon. Preferably over a mile.

Anyway on to the Sunday action and I will grace you with the first maximum bet for February. I have had the max on BIG WINDMILL (3.20 Taunton). He was one of my eye-catchers in the WeighedInRacing magazine this month. Here are my Proform Notes…..

He’s had the typical education, very much slowly slowly with an eye to chasing I believe. He made his chase debut in a novice handicap off a mark of 112 on January 25th and having been nibbled most of the day he jumped the first three fences really well before seeming to slip or catch heels of the horse in front and unshipped Adrian Heskin.

He looks a big natural chasing type and I really liked the way he jumped the first three fences. He should be followed with interest in the coming weeks..

It’s about time they started winning so fingers crossed the max lands! It should be an interesting few days as plenty of this month’s eye catchers are entered this week so things should really start to pick up!

BIG WINDMILL – 3.20 Taunton – 5pts Max bet @ 9/4 (bog).

Top result for the hammers yesterday. Seems the lads are playing with far more freedom away from home at the moment. Good result at a difficult place to go. Top half finish looks more likely each week whilst the relegation race is wide open!

So looking forward to the Superbowl tonight. Should be an absolute belter. Fingers crossed the windmill will give us plenty of ammo to have an interest!

Be lucky today!

All the best

MG

 

Proform

 

 

Fire Up The Testa Rossa!

Proform

I won’t dwell on yesterday. As I’d feared the mile was just no good for Gold Return and once she missed the break she was a million. She is certainly not one to give up on and will remain on the interesting list when conditions are more suitable.

I have a couple that I must throw into the mix today. First off I’ve had my first decent go on one since I started blogging again in the form of TESTA ROSSA (7.45 Newcastle). He has improved immeasurably over the last over the last 3 or 4 months and it is almost exclusively down to the test that the all-weather track provides. I am absolutely convinced that he would have won again on Jan 21st had he not been stopped in the run not once but twice. He gets to race off the same mark of 80 in here again tonight and I see no reason why he will not win again granted a clear passage. He is actually 2lbs better off as Lewis Edmunds can claim 5lbs rather than the 3 of Downing. The drop back to 7f doesn’t worry me, there is a chance given how he has raced that it may even suit better and there should be plenty of pace on.

Clearly Safe Voyage is a sharp improver and could be a huge danger but I had them much closer together in the market than they are and at 7/1 I think he represents a decent bet. If it is your way I couldn’t put you off backing him each way as I can’t see him out the first three, but he’s a decent bet for me at the prices.

The other one I have to give a positive mention too is FLY TRUE (2.30 Lingfield). Jeremy Gask’s filly should in my opinion have won last time and I’ll be backing her to gain some compensation today. She’s a hold up horse with an excellent turn of foot. Granted round here she will need some luck, but if the gaps come she will go very close. With Mossgo and Come On Dave in here they should go a relentless clip that will bring the closers in to play. It will be hair-raising late doors but I’m convinced she’s better than her current mark.

TESTA ROSSA – 7.45 Newcastle – 3pts win @ 7/1.

FLY TRUE – 2.30 Lingfield – 1 pt win 9/2.

Be lucky today with your punting….oh and COYI

Proform

Friday’s blog…On Thursday night. Hoping for a Gold Return!

Proform

Hello one and all. Threw a small dart at The Lock Master yesterday but although he ran well he wasn’t quite up to it. Looks like his best days are done now but no surprise to see him win a similar event in the near future.

One other note to make from the meeting was something completely off the cuff. Whilst looking at the form for a 50/1 shot, I looked at some sire stats and noticed that Poets Voice is building himself quite a nice book on fibresand. That is a line at Southwell that I will start to follow with interest over the coming months.

I’ll kick thing off today with some trainer Proform stats for you…. these are trainers that have an outstanding win & place strike rate in the last 14 days that have had a minimum of 5 runners.

Marco Botti – 87.50%

John Gosden – 76.92%

Jeremy Gask – 71.43%

James Tate – 66.67%

From Marco Botti’s last 8 runners 7 have finished in the frame. He has Basheer entered today in the 6.15 Kempton. I feel I should give a mention as well to a few trainers that are having plenty of winners. Jonathan Portman has sent out 5 runners in the last two weeks of which 3 have won. Ian Williams and Jamie Osbourne have also been responsible for 14 winners between them in the last fortnight.

So where are we going today? Well a just a couple of chancy ones for you. The first one I will mention, I’m a bit annoyed about the entry, as there is every chance they are just running her to lower her mark. I’m talking about GOLD RETURN (2.00 Ling). As I write this on Thursday night, she’s the complete outsider of the four with Ryan Moore’s mount, Remember Me a short priced favourite.

Now the negative is I think she needs slightly further than a mile, but there are quite a few positives. To start with her are my Proform notes on her from her last run……

“An interesting addition. A fairly lightly raced 4-year-old who was with David Lanigan until December 2016. We all know how Lanigan likes to profile his horses and bring them along slowly with handicap marks in mind. She has now switched to John Ryan and after a couple of quiet runs for this yard (planned), she goes into the book on the back of her run at Wolverhampton 26th Jan 17. She was held up in last which is her style before staying on really well under what we will call a fairly inexperienced ride by young Jonathon Fisher. They went no pace at all early and after an awkward start she did remarkably well to finish as close as she did.

Given a better/stronger ride she would have gone very close to winning this race and can be marked up. Her last win for Lanigan was off 60 and this was off 62. I think 9f should be classed as her minimum now and that a future step up in trip to 10f plus could bring about some more improvement. She should be followed with interest. Likely that she will get well backed next time.”

I hope this clears up why I think she’s interesting. If you find this intriguing just watch that video of her last run. I don’t think having Darragh Keenan on board is a bad thing. He looked really stylish when winning on Piazon a few weeks back. I hope he’s patient as with Skidby Mill in there they should go a fair gallop.

Don’t get me wrong she should probably be the outsider of the four on what we have seen, but I don’t think she should be 14/1. On figures all three of her rivals will need a career best to win this so she is far from out of it. I am concerned this could be another quiet run before the main event but I’m prepared to take the chance at the prices. Even though the mile may be sharp enough.

She will be quite interesting to play in the place and 3TBP markets in a four runner race too assuming her price holds up.

Next up I am going to give one chance and one chance only to a horse in the opening race at Kempton (5.45) called PLEADINGS. He has shown improved form the last twice and was particularly promising at Lingfield last time. He has shaped like a step back up in trip from 6f would be a real good move. Here are the notes I made from his last run.

No real form to talk of before a small note from his run at Lingfield 27th Jan 17 when Shane Kelly seemed to let others go by him before giving him a smack. He is very lowly rated but his pedigree and this run both suggests 6f would be way short of his potential best. Could find a poor race for him.

As you can see from the race is doesn’t get much lower than a class 7, 0-50 at Kempton that he has managed to sneak in to here off top weight. Shane Kelly has kept the ride. He is by Street Cry, whose progeny do well here operating at about a 15% strike rate and I think he has lots going for him. He also comes out well clear at the top of the Proform Power Ratings too.

I don’t think he’s a long-term project but is worth a bet tonight.

GOLD RETURN – 2.00 Lingfield 1 pt win @ 14/1.

PLEADINGS – 5.45 Kempton 2 pts win @ 9/2.

I will probbaly pop them into a small double too for a bit of light entertainment.

Fingers crossed for two good runs. Best of luck with your punting today!

All the best

Mark.

Proform

Proform

Morning all. Good to see from the entries that the diary for all the eye-catchers is starting to fill up nicely over the coming days. I will do my best to get them out nice and early unlike today.

I’ve had a one point bet today on THE LOCK MASTER (2.20 Southwell) at 16/1. In the time it’s taken me to get to London on the train and double-check his price I see it has halved so not much use now but he’s a really well handicapped horse. He loves it round Southwell and if you watch the comeback run last time he travelled really well in that race behind two very well handicapped horses before getting tired turning for home. Bear in mind it wasn’t that long ago he was running in a class 2 off a mark of 92 and today he is down to 70.

If he has come on from that run then he will probably laugh at this lot and you can still have a small interest at around 10/1.

THE LOCK MASTER – 1pt Win at 10/1.

Proform

Another blank day! Article writing time for @weighedinracing

Proform

Morning all, just a post to let you know we have no eye catchers running today. Having been doing racing commentaries for the last three days I will be spending today in my office doing all the videos since Saturday so we should have plenty more to add to the interesting list.

I will also be writing my first eye-catchers article for Weighed In Racing (@weighedinracing) today too. This will contain 3 or 4 of the months biggest eye catchers that have yet to run since and should be placed firmly in your trackers.

Just to touch on one or two of the horses that I’ve mentioned so far. Pulsating is definitely being messed about with so we’ll strike her off. Cold Fusion got pretty well backed at Southwell, well from 40’s into 25’s, but just ran terribly. I will keep an eye on him for now but can’t see him being a betting proposition in the near future on the back of that.

Good luck today!

All the best

MG

Proform

Quick one for Monday

Just very briefly.

One to note today is COLD FUSION (4.15 Southwell).

Caught the eye a couple of times and it seems this is more his trip. Fibresand suits and he could run well at a very big price. 40/1 in places.