Today’s racing blog #HorseRacing

Proform

Morning all. I hope today’s blog finds you well. Hopefully you are not a pound overweight and haven’t dispensed with your slippers in order to do todays correct weight. I have had to lose the shoes, bag, trousers, shirt, underwear and I’ve still been jocked off. Seriously what was Seb thinking? Have an actual full day off today which means you know the cricket season is coming to an end! I will be slouched on the sofa for a lot of the day watching the ODI and keeping my eye on events at New Road as we cheer Sussex to victory in the LV=County Championship. Obviously I want Sussex to stay up, but also tipped up Worcester for relegation. A win for Sussex today/tomorrow is close to a double whammy! I will also be finishing off my jumps horses to follow which I’ll be sending out soon.

I’ll kick things off with a few stats from Proform. Simon and the team are holding training seminars on the Proform software throughout the Autumn at various locations around the UK. You can find all the details on the website if you click on the Proform logo it will take you directly there.

Here are a lost of trainers that have exceptional win and place strike rates over the last 14 days:

Jed O’Keeffe 87.50%

Iain Jardine 70%

John Ferguson 68.75%

Jose Santos 66.67%

Saeed Bin Suroor 65.38%

M O’Callaghan 60%

One note of caution on those stats are that although Jed’s runners are running very well. He hasn’t had a winner but 7/8 have placed at prices ranging from 9/4 to 16/1. Three of those runners traded odds on in the run too. He has Desert Ruler entered in a couple of nurseries over the coming days who could be interesting. Iain Jardine’s horses are running well and he has Push Me entered in the 3.55 at Sedgefield today. He’s been pretty well backed but would need a career best. Still interesting to a degree.

Good card at Salisbury today but I found it hard to eek out any value anywhere. I do think that MELODIOUS is worth backing in CGA “PERSIAN PUNCH” CONDITIONS STAKES at 4.50. She gets weight off the favourite and with the step up in trip arguably going to bring about a bit of improvement, there is a case to say she could be favourite herself. Flying officer is 8/11 and she is 15/8. Well worth backing at that price.

I’m quite keen on the chances of STAR RIDER (6.45 Chelmsford) for Hughie Morrison. She loved the surface at Chelmsford when winning her maiden. She has hinted a few times on turf that she is still potentially better than her current mark and this is the weakest race she has run in this season. Back here with Charlie Bennett claiming 7lbs I think she is potentially on a really nice mark and is well worth a go. She is readily available at 5/1.

They are the two for me today. Be back tomorrow with more bits and pieces.

Be lucky

MG

Proform

@NFL Markets 2015/16 #NFL #Betting

Proform

I’ve started to plough through the NFL markets as we close in on the start of the regular season. I thought I would pick out one or two of them as we look for some involvement. A small overview of things will kick things off.

Firstly in the Superbowl market the Seahawks are ridiculously short and should be readily opposed. The acquisition of Jimmy Graham has meant that a small shift towards a throwing game had been the focus. The correlation between Graham and Wilson in pre season thus far has not been great. I’m sure they will sync up and be productive, but moving away from the running game is a negative in my opinion. Max Unger going the other way in the trade with New Orleans is a big loss too. All of the negatives for me are on offense but no doubt their defense is still top 5 and will keep them in games but they are no way a 9/2 shot.

The two most complete  sides for me are Green Bay and Indianapolis. The loss of Jordy Nelson for the cheese heads is a huge blow. He is the most consistent receiver in the league. Yet another pre season ACL injury. I still think they are the most likely winners and are priced about right. The news that Randall Cobb got injured Sunday was a worry although that doesn’t sound serious. That is of course biased as he is my main fantasy receiver.

Indy will be very good on offense. Luck has so many weapons. For the Colts a deep run will rely on how much the D has improved. Will be in the shake up for sure. New England are the Champs and will be there or thereabouts. Brady might miss games, he may not, that will be resolved soon enough. Even without him they will be 4-2 at worst when he returns. Big players and rookies alike just adapt to the way Bill runs the acquisitions. Coral have stuck their necks out and put the Pats up at 10/1. They are however 14.5 on Betfair………. I’d take that in a heartbeat over the 9/2 about Seattle.

In the 10/1-20/1 range you have the Broncos (12/1), Cowboys (16/1) & the Eagles (20/1). If you could bet just on this range we would all be rich! They are completely the wrong way round to me. Philly have made some super signings. Demarco Murray is the new running back, Sam Bradford (torn ACL) has just recovered and moved from the Rams to be starting QB. Just before he got hurt I thought he was bordering on becoming the new Brady. I think he is class. His accuracy is absolutely smoking! The big question about Bradford is going to be his fitness. Can he get through sixteen regular season games? We saw last year just how difficult that is for a QB trying to recover from ACL injuries in Washington when RG3 got hit low more times than a cheap Winmau arrers board.

Dallas are Dallas. Over rated chokers.

I think that even the most hardcore Denver fan might be watching most games from behind the couch this year. Manning just cannot throw deep anymore. The dink and dunk method works to a degree until you do what Indy did last year, stacked the middle of the field and you have nowhere to go. Rumours that they will be a run first team this year with complimentary throws means that they will be getting boos after all the three and outs from weeks one from the home not so faithful. Don’t get me wrong Denver will still win a lot of games, but they are more a 10-6 team than the 15-1 team from two years ago.

To sum this range up I think that the 20/1 about the Philadelphia Eagles is too big and they are a definite bet in the outright market. I don’t think the 20’s will last. On the back of that they are top price 17/10 to win the NFC East. This looks a one horse race to me and is absolute maximum bet in spades. If you have a spare ten grand to be locked up for 4 months then steam in. General 6/4 chance.

Of the remainder the teams that are likely play off contenders that are big prices are as follows:

Pittsburgh Steelers. Big ben has a lot of weapons and they will put up points for sure. D needs to improve on last year but they will win a lot of games. They are a general 28/1 chance. The Buffalo Bills have the potential to be one of the most improved teams in the league. They are a general 40/1 shot. The Minnesota Vikings are set for a better season. Adrian Peterson is cleared to play, has bulked up and looks immense in what we have seen pre season. He is an absolute stonking bet to have most regular season rushing yards at 5/1 in my opinion. If he has a quick start he could be odds on within 5/6 weeks. A lot of real shrewdies in the game believe that Teddy Bridgewater is all set for a break out season too. I like the Vikes, they are in a tough division though but I expect them to be in the wild card hunt for sure.

Last but not least we have the St Louis Rams. A team I think are on the brink of greatness. I cannot believe they traded Bradford. With him at QB I thought we were looking at play offs at the very least. They are young and hungry. Their defense is in my opinion probably the best in the league. I’ve never been Jeff Fisher’s biggest fan but what he has done there is certainly working. The D will win them a lot of games alone and I think they might make the play offs. The trick plays that won the game against the Hawks last year were top quality. I wouldn’t put it past them wining the division ahead of Seattle. I would certainly have them in front of Arizona. Although I do think the Card’s will be slightly better this year. The Rams are 9/1 to win the division and you will back many many worse 9/1 shots in your lifetime. They are 65/1 on Betfair in the outright market.

I have already touched on Peterson in the player markets, he should be backed as should Calvin Johnson who has been largely ignored in the market after his injury hit season last year. Megatron is a general 8/1 chance to have most receiving yards and again could well trade an awful lot shorter than that. I will be backing both and putting them in a double.

SEASON BETS:

My main bet for the season will be to back the Eagles to win the Superbowl at 20/1. As a Redskins fan that is just about the hardest thing I have ever written! I will also trade several other teams on Betfair in the outright market so that I have a potential very green book come the play offs:

Philadelphia Eagles 3 pts win @ 20/1

New England Patriots 2 pts @ 14.5

Green Bay Packers 2 pts @ 8.0

Minnesota Vikings 1 pt @ 50

St Louis Rams 1 pt @ 65

Philadelphia Eagles to win NFC East – Maximum bet at 17/10.

St Louis Rams to win NFC West – 1 pt @ 9/1.

Adrian Peterson most rushing yards – 2.5 pts @ 5/1

Calvin Johnson most receiving yards – 2 pts @ 8/1

The Peterson/Johnson double pays 54/1 and will also get 2 pts in the bid for an absolute smash up!

I’m sure I will come across quite a lot more before we get underway so I will update nearer the time.

Less than two weeks!

NFL Time!

MG

Proform

Report on @whufc_official and @ afcbournemouth

Proform

Morning all. It’s been a rocky 8 days to be a West Ham United fan once again. The opening day win at Arsenal has well and truly evaporated from the memory having lost to two teams you really should be beating. I missed the Leicester game so I can’t pass too much comment on that but I was at the game Saturday and it wasn’t pretty viewing.

First off our formation was wrong. This I understand is partly due to the injuries in the squad. The decision to play Nolan was a poor one. He is massively out of his ground now. He spent most of his time on the pitch, huffing and puffing two or three yards behind everyone else. We were at home against a newly promoted side and surrendered possession constantly by lumping the ball towards Nolan, who was strangely further forward than Sakho most of the first half. When either Nolan or Sakho were winning the header (approx 10%) there was no one within thirty yards of them to pick up the second ball. We played with absolutely no width whatsoever and it didn’t bother Bournemouth at all. We played well for the first ten minutes of the second half then very quickly pressed the self destruct button.

Bournemouth started brightly. They are newly promoted and will thrive on big away days like this. They were buzzy, quick and to be honest much smarter than us almost all over the pitch. The worry I would have for them is that we can’t really play much worse than we did and yet we still scored three goals. That may be their undoing this season. Both the first two goals have to be the responsibility of Aaron Cresswell. The first one he got turned inside out on the wing, the second a strange touch back towards goal. I really hope that all the praise he has received hasn’t gone to his head. He needs to buck up quick and get back to his best.

If I am going to criticise the left back then I don’t know where to start with the right back. Carl Jenkinson was woefully off the pace. Got caught in possession several times, was at fault for the third goal and then proceeded to give away the penalty for the fourth, receiving a red card in the process. This opens up a huge issue. Stood right next to me most of the game was Guy Demel. Guy was released by the hammers at the end of last season. Whilst he doesn’t fit the picture of where we are going forward he is a much better second choice than O’Brien, who will probably now deputise for the banned Jenkinson. I spoke to Guy and he doesn’t have a club, although he has a few appointments this week. We could do a lot worse than re-sign him on a short term three month deal to ensure we have some sort of cover other than Joey.

Sakho worked hard up front but was so isolated it was always going to be a tough ask for him. Mark Noble was non existent for most of the game. This is a real worry. The biggest issue is I don’t think we won a second ball throughout the whole game. The Cherries absolutely out run us in midfield. Slavan missed a trick when he replaced Ogbonna with Tomkins after the two goals. He should have replaced Nolan with Tomkins, switched to 3-5-2 and pushed Payet on. You are at home against a newly promoted side and two goals down after twenty odd minutes. No need to panic. Address the situation, change formation and start again.

Matt Jarvis came on and again looked lost. Since the purchase of Jarvis for 10 million from Wolves (who will be funding the Christmas party for the next hundred years on that) we have almost always played him on the left. He doesn’t have the pace to get past the last defender and whip a left footed scorcher into the box. He always cuts back inside and then floats it in the box. It is so frustrating. Is this coached? He also spent a lot of the second half on the last man when the ball was down the right and being lumped forward. Bit like a garden gnome trying to out-jump giant haystacks that one.

It wasn’t all doom and gloom. Cheikhou Kouyate ran his butt off and was by far our best player. There were also glimpses of the brilliance of Payet but he barely had the ball at his feet all afternoon. When he came on, James Tomkins was outstanding.

No need to panic. Just re-evaluate. Get our strikers fit as soon as possible. We need to sign another asap too. I have a feeling that when the pressure is off away from home and we can counter attack quickly we will seem to play a lot better. At home, we have to play more attacking. 4-4-2 is a must in my opinion. We cannot let a newly promoted side like Bournemouth come to Upton Park and have 55% possession.

I’m sure we will bag three points at Anfield on Saturday and all will be forgiven!

COYI

Mark

Friday’s action…

Proform

Morning one and all. I hope and trust all is well and that you’ve all been smashing in winners left right and centre. After a dismal day hosting Sussex vs Essex on Wednesday in the Royal London Cup (not due to the cricket, but due to the weather) I finally managed to get back on the horse on the racing front in the last 24 hours or so. Had a good go on Tasleet in the opener at York yesterday. My main bet of the day though was on the Godolphin filly Mistrusting in the last. After her win in the four runner handicap at Newmarket last week I’d convinced myself that she was a potential group horse. I think the way she travelled through the race yesterday lead me to believe that again, it was a nervy last 100 yards but she held on well, possibly just idling in front.

I have started going through the videos, so within a few days we will have a nice big bank of eye catchers and horses to follow. Before we get on to today’s racing, just thought I should give a mention to the test match. It is a really flat pitch. A typical five day Oval pitch. The Aussies showed yesterday that if you get through those early overs, then the afternoon is normally a batters paradise. The next two days are set for very good weather, then there are storms and rain forecast for Sunday and Monday. The draw is available at 7/4 in places this morning. Providing England bat well later on today I cannot see this being anything other than a draw. I think the prices are wrong. I’ve backed the draw. If today follows a similar pattern to yesterday, then I expect the draw will be about 4/7 by the close of play. Tradetastic for all you that like to “cash out”.

I’m still coming to terms with the fact that I can’t click a race replay on RacingPost.com whilst looking at a race. The basic membership is about £14 a month now, and £26 if you include all the tipping pages. Cannot imagine that anyone is paying for that. I use the basic package but only due to the fact that all of my notes are stored on the database. Once I upgrade my office computer, I think I many well transfer all my notes onto the Proform database so that it’s all in one place. Taking the videos off the website I’m sure is a big mistake.

Found the opening race at York difficult. Plenty of possibilities, but nothing that leapt out for a bet. I don’t have a strong opinion in the Yorkshire Cup either. I wouldn’t be surprised if anyone of them won to be honest.

First bet of the day will be Richard Pankhurst in the Sky Bet City Of York Stakes at 3.05. I know he’s only had two starts and has had 426 days off since winning the Chesham last year but that was a really taking victory, one that suggested he was going to be better than listed class. He is in great hands and I’m sure he’ll be ready. He is a general 13/2 chance this morning, if that had been at this years Royal Ascot he’d be 6/4 so I think he represents value and if he is anywhere near his best; I think he’ll be really hard to beat. I will be having a small saver on Short Squeeze. He was given one of the rides of the season in a big handicap here last year by Smullen and he is back on board today. Whilst he is probably better at a mile, there is a good chance this will be frantic. Salateen, Toocoolforschool and Glory Awaits all have double figure pace figures on Proform so I’m expecting a strong gallop and this brings Short Squeeze into calculations. At 12/1 I’ll be saving on him.

On to the feature race of the day the Nunthorpe at 3.4o and I cannot get away from ACAPULCO. She ran to a topspeed figure of 110 at Ascot. Only Muthmir (111) has run anywhere near that this season. She gets a 24lb allowance from her elders here which whatever way you look at it makes her very very hard to beat. Tactics may be important. There is the smallest chance things could get to her jockey Irad Ortiz Jr, who is not guaranteed to get the best of receptions from the patriotic’s. The Nunthorpe is a race that can throw up an odd result too. All things said, I honestly could’t go against her. I hope she wins. Whether she is bankable at 2/1 or not I’ll leave up to you. She might go in a multiple.

acapulco-easton-angel_3315932

I’ll jump to the evening card at Wolverhampton for the next interest. BUSH BEAUTY (8.20) is mildly interesting in the class 6, 6 furlong handicap. Normally better over slightly longer she needs a real test at six to figure but I think we may well get that tonight as Cloak And Degas, Captain Future, Bosham and Indian Affair all like to rattle along. We have to forgive the run last time but she has never shown much on turf. Back on tapeta she is drawn in stall 2 so Rachel Richardson can just pop out and take her time. If they go stupid up front then she will be a big player when they turn for home. She comes out top on the PROFORM  ratings by some way too. She’s 10/1 in places this morning and must represent a fairly good each way bet.

At Sandown in the opener I thought KOMEDY (2.20) may be interesting. She has a piece of form (debut) that would make her particularly interesting off an opening mark of 64. Her last run in a maiden certainly smacked of “nursery type” and the yard are in much better form than earlier in the year. I’ve had a small interest on her at 7/1.

On a totally separate note, the Redskins went 2-0 in pre-season last night after beating Detroit 21-17, that unfortunately though does not tell the story. The first two quarters, the offensive line decided not to block for RG3, he got hit 7 times and sacked 3 more. He ended with a  busted shoulder and a concussion. This is clearly unacceptable and this needs to be addressed as soon as possible. We moved the ball with ease once Colt McCoy came in. It was all too similar a story to last year when RG3 was in. The pocket was collapsing with ridiculous ease. I hope there is no skulduggery going on.

For the first time I’m starting to think that it might be time to trade him as there are clearly some trust issues within the team.

Have a good day today, be lucky.

MG

Proform

It’s been a while!

Proform

Well it has certainly been a while since the last time I rambled on. The cricket season as always takes up my time in the summer. As well as my frequent visits back to my second home in Zante. Unfortunately, the knee injury I’ve been ignoring for a year has finally taken its toll and I am pretty much done. Waiting for a specialist appointment which I’m told will take 6-8 weeks. We all know the actual spread is 16-18.

My coverage of racing has taken a back seat as per usual over the main summer months. Which is probably not the best idea considering my flat racing far outweighs my jump racing analysis. Looking forward to tackling the racing again with some gusto into the back end of the season and into the all-weather (the boos from the back of the room can be heard all round).

The first thing I’ll touch on will be the beloved West Ham. Overall I have to consider the summer a slight success. Whilst a lot of know it alls will say we were mad to part company with Allerdyce, they are also the people that don’t watch us week in week out. His gusto had gone. We started last season playing much better football, attacking with gusto and going after the better teams. Whilst I knew we wouldn’t sustain our top 4 place, to drop away like we did with such timid and poor performances it was clear the time had come. There were times in his reign that Sam got things bang on. The 3-0 win at White Hart Line was a touch of managerial beauty. There were other times when we had no plan B, selected weak teams because he felt we couldn’t win the game. He also relentlessly picked Kevin Nolan, which meant we had to play 4-5-1 to accommodate his old legs, which other teams worked out and took full advantage of. Nolan is his prime was a master at reading the game and knowing where to be. Last season, he was unfortunately way off the pace. The fact no side (even championship) has shown any interest in him says all you need. He will be Big Sam’s assistant in his next job (NAP).

So we move onto the Bilic era. I think he was the right choice for now. I like his ethos and attitude towards the game and what he wants to achieve at the club. I couldn’t give two hoots about playing kids in the Europa League and an early exit. Means nothing. English teams that get in to the group stages have terrible records in the Premier League. Our sole concentration, should be on going to the Olympic Stadium next year on the back of a top ten finish and progress. A massive positive is the signing of Payet from Marseille. He looks a classy player with the ball at his feet. He can beat a man with trickery, pace and strength. His assist stats are phenomenal. Everyone saw at the Emirates last week what an asset he is going to be. Very pleased with the additions of Obiang and Ogbonna. My one criticism would be that on the back of Enner Valencia’s injury news we should have gone and got a striker straight away. Sakho is streets ahead of the others but cannot play alone all the time. Who knows if Carroll will be back, when he’ll be back and how long he’ll last.

I still think we have the basis of a good squad and I really hope that a top ten finish should be doable comfortably. There are some really very average sides in the league this year. If Sunderland don’t finish bottom I’ll be shocked. They were a disgrace on Saturday. Players walking all over the pitch. Watch Cattermole for the 2nd goal. He don’t care.

Cricket hasn’t been too enjoyable over the summer. Whilst I’m very much at the back end of my career we are playing the highest level we ever have down at Rottingdean. It shows. We are 4/5 players short of where we need to be in all honesty. Playing for a year on dodgy knee ligaments has all but done me in. For Sussex again it’s been disappointing. Thought the squad looked capable of challenging in the Championship this season but they have been poor. Managed to get to the quarter finals of the T20 Blast largely down to Luke Wright, but again a poor home performance (said that on repeat the last two years) meant defeat. Let’s just hope having Chris Jordan back for the final few games means that they can have enough fire power to leapfrog Worcester in the table and stay up.

The positive about the cricket season coming to an end means that the NFL season is just a few weeks away! 25 days to be precise. Literally cannot wait this year. I will run a blog on a season preview at some point in the coming months. Could be all change this year. The Seahawks look like they are going to try and throw the ball. The Patriots have plenty of new faces and don’t look like they’ll have Brady for the first 6 weeks (still be 5-1). The Packers look very good, as do the Colts. There are a couple of cracking bets I’ve lined up at bigger prices but I’ll touch on them another day.

With regards to the racing. I’m hearing from Proform Racing towers that a brand new feature is being prepared for the upcoming jump season called the Cheltenham Trail. It will preview up to 80 of the major races that lead to your Cheltenham Festival bets, with facts, figures, stats and trends. Looks a cracking development and I will give you more details as and when they come through to me.

Looking forward to York this week. The Juddmonte looks an absolute belter with Gleneagles taking on Golden Horn. Time Test is no back number either. Should be the race of the year so far. Very much looking forward to seeing Acapulco in the Nunthorpe. She looked an absolute beast at Ascot and gets more allowances than the cast of benefit street. She might break the track record. Gutted that for the 3rd year in a row I can’t go. Bad planning on my part. I’m hosting Sussex vs Essex on Wednesday then on Coral TV duties the rest of the week.

I must end this edition with a note to my beloved pal Bryn Jones who we tragically lost in a car crash in Zante at the weekend. So many fond memories I wouldn’t know where to start on talking about them. He was an infectious character that just made life great. He was my neighbour for a few years with his Mrs Cat, who for the record is just nothing short of a diamond. My heart goes out to her and all of their family. Bryn was 29 and a massive hammers fan. We went away together and always bumped into each other at Upton Park. We were together just a few days ago celebrating beating the Arsenal and being general boys amongst a crowd of gooners. The Zante family has shown themselves to be nothing short of remarkable in their efforts to support Bryn’s family. Saturday was a particularly tough day. Being so far away has not helped. Rest in piece pal. You know that every time I ever sing bubbles I’ll be thinking of you. Now have a word with the big man upstairs and get us in the Champions League.

Mark

Proform

Friday’s selection at a big price

Proform

Just a couple to note today. The first of which I’m quite keen on a big price. I like the chances of Divine Call (5.45 Wolverhampton) who has been running ok in similar races without troubling the judge. Again last time out here he was only beaten 2 lengths in the end despite being last turning for home. Under both of his last two rides I scribbled “would be very interesting under Baker” and hey presto! George is riding today. He will be patient, he will probably need some luck and will certainly need a pace to run at but with Spowarticus in the field, coupled with several young riders, I think they might go a real good clip. If they do and George can time things right then he is surely overpriced off a mark that is 6lbs lower than his last winning one. There are obvious dangers but Risk N Reward has been winning at Southwell and needs a career best on a track he hasn’t sparkled at so happy to take him on. I thought ITALIAN TOM might be the main danger. He has dropped to a very dangerous mark and is probably worth monitoring. All in all Divine Call looks a real interesting each way bet at a swanky price.

DIVINE CALL – 2pts each way @ 12/1 with Bet365 & WilliamHill

The second horse I will back today is LAST SHADOW (2.30 Kempton). Won off 105 on reappearance at Uttoxeter back in November before an average effort off today’s mark on New Years Day. That was right in the middle of Jonjo’s cold snap and with the yard absolutely thriving over the last few days it is not hard to see him continue that potential promise of improvement today.

LAST SHADOW – 2 pts win @ 7/2 generally.

Of the remainder well it will be great to see WEST WIZARD back on course this afternoon. He has hinted on both occasions that he has been beat that a step up in trip might be the making of him. He is 33/1 for the Neptune this morning, that might look a very big price come 2.10 this afternoon. I hope he wins really well. Elsewhere I thought THE FRIARY was very interesting up in trip at Bangor (3.15). Whilst at Wolverhampton tonight I liked the look of TOP COP in the opener (5.15) as there is plenty of pace on there and he might just sit and pounce down in grade. Steve Rogers should win again up in trip and Cookie Ring ran better than the form suggests last time. Stepping up to seven should suit him and he is the least exposed in that race.

All in all good to have a full day’s racing back. Let’s hope George can pull all the string s later on!

Be lucky!

MG

Proform

Thursdays racing

Proform

Morning peeps.  One of those days today where several horses that I have been waiting for are all going and we seemed to have been found some opportunities.

We will start proceedings with TELEGRAPH (2.55 Wolverhampton) who would surely have won last time out with better luck in running. He is currently down to his last winning mark of 57 (equal lowest) and should really have picked up the prize last time out when being trapped on the inside rail and having to be pulled back by John Egan on at least two occasions. As they turned for home both he and the well backed winner went for the same gap, the winner got it and again Egan had to switch, once he regained momentum it was too late and he went down by half a length. This today is a weaker race and whilst I respect one or two who are down to basement marks, I would be disappointed if Telegraph were not good enough.

TELEGRAPH 2 pts win @ 2/1 with SKYBET (Best odds guaranteed).

I really like the chances of CABAL (4.05 Wolverhampton) to follow up his victory from last week. He won well last week when pulling clear with another notebook horse that is also well handicapped after tanking through the race. This if anything looks weaker than that contest and with only a 4lb rise to contend with it is hard to see him not winning again. There is money this morning for the top two which is good news. They are regularly backed but rarely perform and it has pushed our price right out.

CABAL –  4 pts win @ 3/1 with SportingBet. (BOG).

Another with outstanding claims today is CELESTINE ABBEY (4.35) who with slightly more luck would have gone close to winning last time with a better run. Held up last the race developed around her and she never had a chance to land a blow. That was a 0-65 and she has dropped down to 0-55 company this afternoon with the handicapper also generously dropping her another 3lbs. This puts her just a pound above her last winning mark and she should be up to taking this weak affair.

CELESTINE ABBEY 3 pts win @11/4 with Boylesports/Betway.

I feel inclined to throw a point at LITTLE CHOOSEY (6.40 Chelmsford) who we backed last time. She didn’t have the best of runs, constantly wide and giving away ground. The winner that day was ridden by Ali Rawlinson and it’s interesting he takes this ride today as he is perfect for her. If he can sit as quietly as possible on her till as late as possible then I think she’s likely to go close in a race where several of these have something to find.

LITTLE CHOOSEY 1 pt win @ 11/2 generally (BOG).

The 7.10 at Chelmsford is an interesting contest and case can be made for several of the runners. There is so much pace in here however that I felt it might be worth chancing a point on LONG AWAITED. He ran well in some better races last term and might just find several of these falling into his lap late on if he is ready to go after a break.

LONG AWAITED 1 pt win @ 7/2 generally.

I will also place Telegraph, Cabal and Celestine Abbey in a 1 pt treble. Which pays 39/1 via oddschecker.

Be Lucky

MG

Proform

Wednesdays action!

Proform

Apologies don’t have much time this morning but will quickly blast through today’s selections.

WALK LIKE A GIANT – 2.30 Chelmsford – 1 pt win @ 9/2 generally.

THIRD STRIKE/DUKE OF DUNTON 2.35 Kempton – 1 pt win each @ 10/1 @ 9/2.

WENTWORTH FALLS 3.40 Chelmsford – 3 pts win @ 15/8

RIZAL PARK 4.45 Kempton – 2 pts win @ 9/2

Be lucky

MG

Proform

Tuesday blog!

Proform

More crossbar hitting action again yesterday. Sea Tiger travelled well through the race but got locked in a pocket against the rail as they came down the hill and quickened things up. He barged through to finish fourth without having a hard race and will be of obvious interest over the coming weeks off a basement mark, it was very encouraging how much money came for him.

I’m still not quite sure how Rat Catcher didn’t win. I suspect now that he actually got to the front too soon and is going to be a horse you have to produce on the line. He traded at 1.18 in running. Still he was always going to be an each way certainty in that line up so no damage done and we go again.

We have lost the two jump meetings today so the action revolves around Southwell and Kempton. I’m on Coral TV duties today so I’ll keep it short and sweet.

I’m sure I’m not the only person that added BENNELONG to the horse watcher after his run at Lingfield four days ago. He was held up off a steady pace by his inexperienced rider and never got into the race despite never coming off the bridle. He has dropped to his last winning mark of 59 and has generally saved his best performances for Kempton so in a weak looking race he must come here with outstanding claims. He is a strong traveller that is versatile in his run style but I would exect Amir to have him close to the pace in here.

BENNELONG 3.15 Kempton Park- 2.5 pts win @ 7/2 generally (best odds guaranteed)

I’m sure we have a great opportunity to back ARTIST CRY (4.40 Southwell) this afternoon to get off the mark for Richard Fahey. Progressed with each of three runs in maidens and was actually unlucky not to go close last time after some trouble in running and being well backed. Have the feeling a mark of 60 probably underestimates him and I would be disappointed if he was not good enough to win this.

ARTIST CRY – 4.40 SOUTHWELL – 4pts win @ 9/4 (William Hill – Best odds guaranteed)

Be lucky today

MG

Proform

Two selections go in Monday’s log

Proform

Morning peeps. Left slightly frustrated yesterday as things didn’t go my way. At Chelmsford you had to be right on the pace to have any chance so that didn’t pan out. I thought we’d nicked a biggie on KRUZHLININ who went off at a BFSP of 22.4 and traded at 1.17 jumping the last but got chinned by the progressive horse in the race. That was an interesting prep run for his national campaign. I’m sure that plenty of you may have traded out in running for a profit. Bravo if you did.

Unfortunate we’ve lost the jumping action today but we have two fairly decent Monday cards on the all-weather and I do like the look of a few. First up we got to the last race on the card at Lingfield (4.20) to back SEA TIGER. He’s not had much racing to date with just nine starts all told and has dropped right down to a basement mark of 45. He hinted (again) last time that a step up in trip might bring about a bit of improvement and he gets that today. My one worry about the race is that there is hardly any natural pace in here so this potentially could get messy. Hopefully Pat Cosgrave will go forward from stall one (has a sleeper in Munsarim in two) and just sit handy to pounce. We will need some luck and a bit of improvement but both are possible so at 20/1 I think we can throw a bullet at it.

SEA TIGER 1 pt win @ 20/1 BET365 and William Hill.

We have to back RAT CATCHER (5.40 Wolverhamton) later on too. He’s thrown in on some of his back form and has ben running well without winning of late. Although I think he might want six furlongs now this is going to be fast and furious and having been drawn in stall one, Rob Hornby will be able to take his time and pounce as late as possible. Obviously in this type of race we may need a bit of luck but if the gaps appear then I think he will go very close to winning and can’t see him out the frame.

RAT CATCHER 2 pts each way @ 5/1 generally.

Be lucky!

MG

Proform